Maruti Management Guidance Tracker
46 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Expansion
Board approved acquisition of Suzuki Motor Gujarat shares from SMC, to be completed within FY24 at net book value.
Q3 FY24Kharkhoda plant first line operational in 2025TrackedFirst plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity on track to start production in 2025.
Q3 FY24Capacity expansion to 4 million units by 2030-31TrackedCompany plans to double annual production capacity to about 4 million by 2030-31, including Kharkhoda and Gujarat plants.
Q4 FY24Kharkhoda plant operational in 2025TrackedFirst plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity is on track to be operational in 2025.
Q4 FY24Gujarat greenfield facility with 1M units capacityTrackedMOU signed for a new plant in Gujarat with potential 1 million units capacity and INR 35,000 crore investment, subject to land and board approval.
Q1 FY2528 models in portfolio by end of decadeTrackedThe company aims to expand from 18 to 28 models by 2030-31, adding at least 10 new models.
Q2 FY25Kharkhoda plant commissioning by Q4 FY25ActiveThe new 300,000-unit capacity plant in Kharkhoda is on track to be commissioned by end of this financial year.
Q3 FY25Kharkhoda plant to start operations in Q4 FY25ActiveThe upcoming greenfield plant at Kharkhoda is expected to begin operations within Q4 FY25.
Q4 FY25Two new model launches in FY26ActivePlans to launch the e Vitara EV and another SUV in FY26, with e Vitara sales starting in H1.
Q1 FY26EV exports to 100 countries by end of FY26TrackedThe company will dispatch EVs to about 100 markets globally, including Europe and Japan, within this financial year.
Q2 FY26Eight new SUV launches by 2030-31TrackedGlobal President announced eight more SUVs to be launched in India by the turn of the decade, excluding Victoris and eVITARA.
Q3 FY26Two new plants to add 500,000 units capacity by mid-2026ActiveKharkhoda second plant (April 2026) and Gujarat D-line (soon after) each add 250,000 units annual capacity.
Growth
Production capacity to double from current levels, with 1 million capacity at Kharkhoda and additional 1 million under study.
Q2 FY24Exports target of 750,000-800,000 units by FY2031TrackedManagement plans a threefold increase in export volumes from current levels to about 750,000-800,000 units by 2030-31.
Q2 FY24Market share recovery to 50%TrackedManagement expressed commitment to gradually recover market share to the 50% mark over time.
Q3 FY24Industry volume target of 4.3 million units for FY25TrackedSIAM preliminary estimate for passenger vehicle industry in FY2024-25 is 4.3 million units, up from ~4.2 million expected in FY24.
Q4 FY24CNG sales target of 600,000 units in FY25TrackedManagement expects CNG volumes to grow from ~480,000 in FY24 to 600,000 in FY25, aided by resolved component supply and new capacity.
Q4 FY24Export volume target of ~300,000 units in FY25TrackedExports are expected to increase from 283,000 in FY24 to about 300,000 in FY25, with diversified markets.
Q1 FY25Export volume target of 300,000 units for FY25ActiveManagement reiterated that 300,000 export units is achievable for the full year, with growth in Middle East and Latin America.
Q1 FY25CNG vehicle sales target of 600,000 units for FY25ActiveManagement guided for 600,000 CNG vehicle sales in FY25, with Q1 achieving slightly less than 150,000 units.
Q2 FY25Full-year retail sales growth of 3-4%ActiveManagement expects retail sales to grow 3-4% for FY25, with April-October already at 3.9%.
Q2 FY25One EV launch per year on average till end of decadeTrackedManagement plans to launch 5-6 EVs by the end of the decade, averaging one per year.
Q3 FY25Q4 FY25 retail growth ~3.5%ActiveManagement expects retail sales growth in Q4 to follow the 9-month trend of ~3.5%.
Q4 FY25Export growth of ~20% in FY26ActiveManagement expects exports to grow by at least 20% in FY26, building on the 17.5% growth in FY25.
Q4 FY25Domestic industry growth of 1-2% in FY26TrackedMaruti forecasts a modest 1-2% growth for the domestic PV industry in FY26, with the company aiming to outperform.
Q1 FY26Two SUV launches in FY26, including one EVActiveMaruti will launch two SUVs this fiscal year, one electric and one ICE, targeting the growing SUV segment (55% of industry).
Q2 FY26Industry growth of 6% in H2 FY26ActiveManagement expects overall industry growth of about 6% year-on-year in the second half and beyond.
Q2 FY26Exports to exceed 400,000 units in FY26TrackedGiven H1 exports of over 200,000 units, management expects to exceed the full-year export guidance of 400,000 units.
Q3 FY26Export volume target of 400,000 units for FY26ActiveOn track to achieve the export guidance of 400,000 units for the current fiscal year.
Q3 FY26Sustainable volume growth of ~7% initially estimatedTrackedManagement had given an initial sustainable volume growth figure of about 7%, to be reassessed in three months.
Q4 FY26Domestic volume growth of ~10% in FY27TrackedManagement expects Maruti's domestic sales to grow by about 10% year-on-year in FY27, driven by new capacity and strong demand.
Ai Strategy
EV manufacturing facility at SMG will be part of MSIL; launch expected in FY25.
Q3 FY24EV production start in 2024 with exports to Japan and EuropeTrackedBattery electric vehicle production to begin in 2024; mid-SUV segment product will be exported to developed markets.
Q1 FY25Six EV models planned by 2031TrackedMaruti plans to launch six electric vehicle models by 2031, with the first EV to be displayed at Auto Expo in January 2025.
Q2 FY25EV launch in January 2025 with high rangeActiveThe first EV (e-SUV) will be launched at Bharat Mobility Global Expo, featuring a ~60 kWh battery and high range.
Q3 FY25e VITARA production to begin soon; aspire to be largest EV manufacturer in India within first yearTrackedProduction of the e VITARA EV will start soon, with ambition to become India's largest EV maker within the first year of production.
Q4 FY26Target to enable 1 lakh charging points by 2030TrackedMaruti aims to facilitate a network of over 100,000 charging points across India by 2030, in partnership with dealers and charge point operators.
Capex
Capital expenditure for the current fiscal year is expected to exceed INR 8,000 crore.
Q4 FY25Capex guidance of ₹8,000-9,000 crore for FY26TrackedCapital expenditure for FY26 is expected to be in the range of ₹8,000-9,000 crore, including SMG.
Q1 FY26Solar capacity target of 319 MW by FY31TrackedPlans to scale solar generation capacity from 78.2 MW to 319 MW by FY31, targeting 85% renewable electricity share.
Q3 FY26CapEx run rate of INR 10,000 crore per yearTrackedCurrent CapEx run rate is about INR 10,000 crore annually; next year's budget to be finalized by March.
Q4 FY26Additional 500,000 units annual capacity in FY27TrackedKharkhoda Phase II (commissioned April 2026) and Hansalpur Line 4 (operational within FY27) each add 250,000 units, totaling 500,000 units of new capacity.
Q4 FY26CapEx of ₹14,000 crore for FY27TrackedCapital expenditure for FY27 is planned at ₹14,000 crore, primarily for the two new plants.