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Maruti Management Guidance Tracker

46 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.

Expansion

Q1 FY24Acquire SMG by March 2024Active

Board approved acquisition of Suzuki Motor Gujarat shares from SMC, to be completed within FY24 at net book value.

Q3 FY24Kharkhoda plant first line operational in 2025Tracked

First plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity on track to start production in 2025.

Q3 FY24Capacity expansion to 4 million units by 2030-31Tracked

Company plans to double annual production capacity to about 4 million by 2030-31, including Kharkhoda and Gujarat plants.

Q4 FY24Kharkhoda plant operational in 2025Tracked

First plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity is on track to be operational in 2025.

Q4 FY24Gujarat greenfield facility with 1M units capacityTracked

MOU signed for a new plant in Gujarat with potential 1 million units capacity and INR 35,000 crore investment, subject to land and board approval.

Q1 FY2528 models in portfolio by end of decadeTracked

The company aims to expand from 18 to 28 models by 2030-31, adding at least 10 new models.

Q2 FY25Kharkhoda plant commissioning by Q4 FY25Active

The new 300,000-unit capacity plant in Kharkhoda is on track to be commissioned by end of this financial year.

Q3 FY25Kharkhoda plant to start operations in Q4 FY25Active

The upcoming greenfield plant at Kharkhoda is expected to begin operations within Q4 FY25.

Q4 FY25Two new model launches in FY26Active

Plans to launch the e Vitara EV and another SUV in FY26, with e Vitara sales starting in H1.

Q1 FY26EV exports to 100 countries by end of FY26Tracked

The company will dispatch EVs to about 100 markets globally, including Europe and Japan, within this financial year.

Q2 FY26Eight new SUV launches by 2030-31Tracked

Global President announced eight more SUVs to be launched in India by the turn of the decade, excluding Victoris and eVITARA.

Q3 FY26Two new plants to add 500,000 units capacity by mid-2026Active

Kharkhoda second plant (April 2026) and Gujarat D-line (soon after) each add 250,000 units annual capacity.

Growth

Q1 FY24Target 4 million units capacity by 2030-31Tracked

Production capacity to double from current levels, with 1 million capacity at Kharkhoda and additional 1 million under study.

Q2 FY24Exports target of 750,000-800,000 units by FY2031Tracked

Management plans a threefold increase in export volumes from current levels to about 750,000-800,000 units by 2030-31.

Q2 FY24Market share recovery to 50%Tracked

Management expressed commitment to gradually recover market share to the 50% mark over time.

Q3 FY24Industry volume target of 4.3 million units for FY25Tracked

SIAM preliminary estimate for passenger vehicle industry in FY2024-25 is 4.3 million units, up from ~4.2 million expected in FY24.

Q4 FY24CNG sales target of 600,000 units in FY25Tracked

Management expects CNG volumes to grow from ~480,000 in FY24 to 600,000 in FY25, aided by resolved component supply and new capacity.

Q4 FY24Export volume target of ~300,000 units in FY25Tracked

Exports are expected to increase from 283,000 in FY24 to about 300,000 in FY25, with diversified markets.

Q1 FY25Export volume target of 300,000 units for FY25Active

Management reiterated that 300,000 export units is achievable for the full year, with growth in Middle East and Latin America.

Q1 FY25CNG vehicle sales target of 600,000 units for FY25Active

Management guided for 600,000 CNG vehicle sales in FY25, with Q1 achieving slightly less than 150,000 units.

Q2 FY25Full-year retail sales growth of 3-4%Active

Management expects retail sales to grow 3-4% for FY25, with April-October already at 3.9%.

Q2 FY25One EV launch per year on average till end of decadeTracked

Management plans to launch 5-6 EVs by the end of the decade, averaging one per year.

Q3 FY25Q4 FY25 retail growth ~3.5%Active

Management expects retail sales growth in Q4 to follow the 9-month trend of ~3.5%.

Q4 FY25Export growth of ~20% in FY26Active

Management expects exports to grow by at least 20% in FY26, building on the 17.5% growth in FY25.

Q4 FY25Domestic industry growth of 1-2% in FY26Tracked

Maruti forecasts a modest 1-2% growth for the domestic PV industry in FY26, with the company aiming to outperform.

Q1 FY26Two SUV launches in FY26, including one EVActive

Maruti will launch two SUVs this fiscal year, one electric and one ICE, targeting the growing SUV segment (55% of industry).

Q2 FY26Industry growth of 6% in H2 FY26Active

Management expects overall industry growth of about 6% year-on-year in the second half and beyond.

Q2 FY26Exports to exceed 400,000 units in FY26Tracked

Given H1 exports of over 200,000 units, management expects to exceed the full-year export guidance of 400,000 units.

Q3 FY26Export volume target of 400,000 units for FY26Active

On track to achieve the export guidance of 400,000 units for the current fiscal year.

Q3 FY26Sustainable volume growth of ~7% initially estimatedTracked

Management had given an initial sustainable volume growth figure of about 7%, to be reassessed in three months.

Q4 FY26Domestic volume growth of ~10% in FY27Tracked

Management expects Maruti's domestic sales to grow by about 10% year-on-year in FY27, driven by new capacity and strong demand.

Ai Strategy

Capex

Revenue

Other

Margins