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MARUTI Diversified 29 Jul 2024

Maruti Suzuki — Q1 FY25

Maruti Suzuki reported a strong Q1 FY25 with net sales of ₹33,875 crore (+9.8% YoY) and net profit of ₹3,650 crore (+46.9% YoY), driven by cost reduction, favorable commodity prices, and forex gains.

bullish medium
Compare with...
Revenue ₹35,779 Cr +9.8%
EBITDA
PAT ₹3,760 Cr +46.9%
EBITDA Margin 14%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Maruti Suzuki reported a strong Q1 FY25 with net sales of ₹33,875 crore (+9.8% YoY) and net profit of ₹3,650 crore (+46.9% YoY), driven by cost reduction, favorable commodity prices, and forex gains. Total volumes grew 4.8% YoY to 521,868 units, with exports up 11.6% to 70,560 units. CNG penetration reached a record 33% of domestic sales. Management noted muted domestic demand due to heat waves and elections but remains optimistic about festive season recovery. Capacity utilization is ~85%, and inventory stands at 37 days. Risks include potential commodity price increases and yen appreciation impacting margins. Guidance for export volumes of 300,000 units for FY25 remains intact.

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Quarter Snapshot

Total vehicle sales 521,868 units
+4.8% YoY

Total sales volume for Q1 FY25, including domestic and exports.

CNG share of domestic sales 33%
+8pp YoY

One in three cars sold domestically was CNG, up from 25% in Q1 FY24.

Export volume 70,560 units
+11.6% YoY

Exports grew strongly, with Jimny becoming the largest exported model.

Discount per vehicle ₹21,700
+50% QoQ

Average discount increased from ₹14,500 in Q4 FY24 to ₹21,700 in Q1 FY25.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Six EV models planned by 2031

Maruti plans to launch six electric vehicle models by 2031, with the first EV to be displayed at Auto Expo in January 2025.

NEW
28 models in portfolio by end of decade

The company aims to expand from 18 to 28 models by 2030-31, adding at least 10 new models.

UPDATED
Export volume target of 300,000 units for FY25

Management reiterated that 300,000 export units is achievable for the full year, with growth in Middle East and Latin America.

UPDATED
CNG vehicle sales target of 600,000 units for FY25

Management guided for 600,000 CNG vehicle sales in FY25, with Q1 achieving slightly less than 150,000 units.

DROPPED
Kharkhoda plant operational in 2025

First plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity is on track to be operational in 2025.

DROPPED
Gujarat greenfield facility with 1M units capacity

MOU signed for a new plant in Gujarat with potential 1 million units capacity and INR 35,000 crore investment, subject to land and board approval.

NEW RISK
Commodity price increases

CFO noted that commodity prices are dynamic and could reverse, impacting margins. Non-ferrous metals have already seen some increase.

NEW RISK
Yen appreciation impacting forex tailwind

CFO acknowledged that yen has started appreciating, which could moderate the forex benefit seen in Q1.

NEW RISK
Muted domestic demand and high discounts

Discounts rose 50% QoQ to ₹21,700 per vehicle due to heat wave and elections. Demand recovery depends on festive season.

NEW RISK
CAFE-3 norms compliance uncertainty

Stringent CAFE-3 norms from April 2027 may require significant EV/ hybrid mix. Super credits and penalties are still under policy consideration.

RISK GONE
First-time buyer demand remains weak

First-time buyer share is ~40-43% and not showing recovery; small car segment continues to shrink, which could limit market share gains.

RISK GONE
Commodity cost headwinds (steel, copper, aluminum)

Steel prices rose ~2% sequentially in Q4; copper and aluminum are expected to increase, impacting margins. Management flagged these as concerns.

RISK GONE
SUV mix shift may pressure CO2 compliance

SUV share continues to rise, increasing fleet CO2 emissions. Future CAFE norms could require more aggressive green technology adoption, raising costs.

RISK GONE
Export profitability volatility

Export margins are variable due to forex fluctuations and geopolitical risks; past markets like Algeria and Sri Lanka have seen sudden drops.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Small car segment structural decline

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Hatch segment share fell to 25% from 47% peak; first-time buyer share at 41% remains below pre-COVID levels. Recovery uncertain.

Industry volume target of 4.3 million units for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

SIAM preliminary estimate for passenger vehicle industry in FY2024-25 is 4.3 million units, up from ~4.2 million expected in FY24.

Kharkhoda plant first line operational in 2025

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

First plant at Kharkhoda with 250,000 units annual capacity is on track to be operational in 2025.

Rising steel prices may pressure margins

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management noted steel may show upward movement, partially offset by PGM benefits, but commodity risk remains.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Export volume target of 300,000 units for FY25

Management reiterated that 300,000 export units is achievable for the full year, with growth in Middle East and Latin America.

Top risk Commodity price increases

CFO noted that commodity prices are dynamic and could reverse, impacting margins.

View Risks →