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Bajaj Finance Management Guidance Tracker

28 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 7 quarters.

Growth

Margins

Q1 FY24Credit cost guidance of 155-165 bps for FY24Tracked

Full-year credit cost expected to be range-bound between 155-165 bps, including 6-8 bps from model redevelopment.

Q1 FY24NIM compression of 10-15 bps in Q2 and Q3Active

Net interest margin expected to compress by 10-15 bps each in Q2 and Q3 due to repricing of borrowings.

Q2 FY24NIM compression of 25-30 bps expected for full yearActive

Management guided for another 25-30 basis points of NIM compression over the remainder of FY24, driven by rising cost of funds and competitive pressure on yields.

Q2 FY24ROA to sustain at 5% on exit basisTracked

Despite NIM compression, the company expects to sustain a return on assets of 5% on an exit basis for FY24, supported by operating leverage.

Q3 FY24Credit cost guidance of 175-185 bpsActive

Management expects annualized loan losses to average AUM to remain in the 175-185 basis points range, consistent with pre-COVID levels.

Q4 FY24NIM compression of 30-40 bps over next two quartersActive

Net interest margin is expected to moderate by 30-40 bps from current levels due to rising cost of funds and shift to secured assets, then stabilize.

Q4 FY24OpEx-to-income improvement of 20-40 bpsActive

Operating expense to net interest income ratio is expected to improve by 20-40 bps from current levels as the company moves to consolidation.

Q2 FY25FY25 credit cost guidance revised to ~2.05%Active

Net loan loss to average assets expected at 2.00-2.05% for FY25, up from earlier 1.75-1.85%.

Q3 FY25Q4 FY25 credit cost guidance of 2.00-2.05%Active

Management expects loan loss to average AUF to decline to 2.00-2.05% in Q4, from 2.16% in Q3, driven by portfolio pruning and improving collection efficiency.

Q3 FY25FY26 credit cost below 2%Tracked

If Q4 credit cost lands in the guided range, management expects FY26 credit cost to be sub-2%, barring significant macro deterioration.

Q4 FY25Credit cost corridor of 185-195 bps for FY26Tracked

Loan loss to average AUM expected to improve from FY25 levels as early vintage metrics improve.

Q4 FY25OPEX to NTI improvement of 40-50 bps in FY26Tracked

Driven by FinAI transformation and productivity initiatives, including fixed-term contract conversions.

Expansion

Other

Revenue

Ai Strategy