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BAJFINANCE Financial Services 15 Apr 2025

Bajaj Finance Ltd — Q4 FY25

Bajaj Finance reported a mixed Q4 FY25 with strong AUM growth of 26% to INR 416,061 crore and record loan bookings of 10.7 million, but PAT growth of 19% to INR 4,546 crore was aided by a one-time tax reversal of INR 348 crore.

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PAT ₹4,546 Cr +19%
EBITDA Margin
Duration 60 min
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Bajaj Finance reported a mixed Q4 FY25 with strong AUM growth of 26% to INR 416,061 crore and record loan bookings of 10.7 million, but PAT growth of 19% to INR 4,546 crore was aided by a one-time tax reversal of INR 348 crore. Credit costs remained elevated at 2.33% (1.97% adjusted for ECL model refresh), leading to a miss on earlier guidance. Management guided for FY26 AUM growth of 24-25%, credit cost of 185-195 bps, and stable NIMs, with optimism on profit growth. Key risks include delayed rate cuts impacting NIMs and elevated credit costs in unsecured portfolios. The company is focusing on credit quality and FinAI transformation to improve operating leverage.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Elevated credit costs in unsecured portfolios

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Quarter Snapshot

New loans booked 10.7M
+4.7M QoQ

Record quarterly loan bookings driven by strong customer acquisition.

Customer franchise 102M
+18.88M YoY

Total customer base crossed 100 million, with 4.7 million new customers added in Q4.

Gold loan branches 964
+137 QoQ

Aggressive expansion in gold loan business, reflecting strategic focus on secured lending.

Cost of funds 7.99%
+3bps QoQ

Marginal increase; management expects gradual decline to 7.75-7.85% by FY26 end.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q3 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
AUM growth of 24-25% in FY26

Aided by new business lines launched in the last 2-3 years, with a focus on credit quality first.

NEW
OPEX to NTI improvement of 40-50 bps in FY26

Driven by FinAI transformation and productivity initiatives, including fixed-term contract conversions.

NEW
Deploy 100 FinAI applications in FY26

Across revenue, cost, customer engagement, underwriting, productivity, and controllership.

UPDATED
Credit cost corridor of 185-195 bps for FY26

Loan loss to average AUM expected to improve from FY25 levels as early vintage metrics improve.

DROPPED
Q4 FY25 credit cost guidance of 2.00-2.05%

Management expects loan loss to average AUF to decline to 2.00-2.05% in Q4, from 2.16% in Q3, driven by portfolio pruning and improving collection efficiency.

DROPPED
FY26 balance sheet growth of ~25%

Management targets consolidated balance sheet growth of around 25% in FY26, with profit growth of 22-23%.

DROPPED
Rural B2C business to grow 20-23% in FY26

After returning to growth mode, the rural B2C segment is expected to grow 20-23% in the next fiscal year.

NEW RISK
Elevated credit costs in unsecured portfolios

Credit cost guidance of 185-195 bps remains above pre-COVID levels, with urban personal loan portfolio still maturing.

NEW RISK
NIM compression from fee moderation and delayed rate cuts

Management expects stable NIMs, but fee income growth is moderated to 13-15% and cost of fund benefits may be slower than anticipated.

NEW RISK
Surplus capital weighing on ROE

Excess capital from BHFL listing and QIP is pressuring ROE; long-term ROE guidance reduced to 19-21% from 21-23%.

NEW RISK
Two-wheeler/three-wheeler captive book wind-down risk

The winding-down captive portfolio (INR 10,000 crore) contributes disproportionately to credit costs; any delay in wind-down could impact asset quality.

RISK GONE
Urban B2C collection efficiency still weak

Despite lower default rates, collection efficiency in urban B2C remains below normal, and management expects this segment to take the longest to normalize.

RISK GONE
Two-wheeler portfolio deterioration

The two-wheeler and three-wheeler portfolio is classified as 'amber' with Stage 2 rising from 3.83% to 5.53% YoY, though part of the degradation is due to portfolio degrowth.

RISK GONE
Pricing pressure across lending segments

Management acknowledged that pricing pressure has intensified as credit growth slows, which could compress NIMs if not offset by operating leverage.

RISK GONE
Economic slowdown risk

Management flagged that high-frequency data shows the economy slowing, which could worsen asset quality and delay credit cost recovery.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Credit cost guidance of 155-165 bps for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24, Q3 FY25

Management expects loan loss to average AUF to decline to 2.00-2.05% in Q4, from 2.16% in Q3, driven by portfolio pruning and improving collection efficiency.

Rural B2C credit stress persists

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Rural B2C business continues to show elevated loan losses, leading to slower growth; management has slowed AUM growth to 6% but risk remains.

NIM compression from rising cost of funds

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Cost of funds is expected to rise as low-cost borrowings mature and are replaced at higher rates, compressing NIM by 25-30 bps for the full year.

Potential impact of economic slowdown on asset quality

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY25

Management flagged that high-frequency data shows the economy slowing, which could worsen asset quality and delay credit cost recovery.

RBI restrictions on eCOM and Insta EMI Card not yet lifted

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

The embargo on two products continues to impact loan bookings and AUM growth; timing of removal is uncertain.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance AUM growth of 24-25% in FY26

Aided by new business lines launched in the last 2-3 years, with a focus on credit quality first.

Top risk Elevated credit costs in unsecured portfolios

Credit cost guidance of 185-195 bps remains above pre-COVID levels, with urban personal loan portfolio still maturing.

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