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BAJFINANCE Financial Services 15 Jan 2025

Bajaj Finance Ltd — Q3 FY25

Bajaj Finance reported a solid Q3 FY25 with PAT of ₹4,308 crore (+18% YoY) and AUM growth of 28% YoY to ₹3.98 lakh crore.

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PAT ₹4,308 Cr +18%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Bajaj Finance reported a solid Q3 FY25 with PAT of ₹4,308 crore (+18% YoY) and AUM growth of 28% YoY to ₹3.98 lakh crore. New loan bookings hit a record 12 million and customer franchise reached 97.12 million, on track to cross 100 million by year-end. Credit costs stabilized at 2.16% of average AUM, with management guiding Q4 credit cost to 2.00-2.05% and FY26 below 2%. Operating efficiency improved as OpEx-to-NTI fell to 33.1% from 33.9% a year ago. However, asset quality remains under watch: Stage 2 and Stage 3 formations are still elevated, particularly in urban B2C and two-wheeler portfolios. The company is proactively pruning risky segments and expects credit normalization by Q4. The strategic partnership with Bharti Airtel and the FinAI transformation (BFL 3.0) are key medium-term growth drivers. Risk: A sharper-than-expected economic slowdown could delay credit cost recovery and pressure growth.

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Quarter Snapshot

New loans booked 12 million
+? YoY

Highest ever quarterly new loan bookings, indicating strong demand momentum.

Customer franchise 97.12 million
+? YoY

On track to cross 100 million by FY25-end, a major milestone.

AUM ₹3.98 lakh crore
+28% YoY

Strong AUM growth driven by new car loans and secured products.

Net NPA 48 bps
+11 bps YoY

Slight increase from 37 bps last year, but within medium-term guidance.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
FY26 credit cost below 2%

If Q4 credit cost lands in the guided range, management expects FY26 credit cost to be sub-2%, barring significant macro deterioration.

NEW
FY26 balance sheet growth of ~25%

Management targets consolidated balance sheet growth of around 25% in FY26, with profit growth of 22-23%.

NEW
Rural B2C business to grow 20-23% in FY26

After returning to growth mode, the rural B2C segment is expected to grow 20-23% in the next fiscal year.

UPDATED
Q4 FY25 credit cost guidance of 2.00-2.05%

Management expects loan loss to average AUF to decline to 2.00-2.05% in Q4, from 2.16% in Q3, driven by portfolio pruning and improving collection efficiency.

DROPPED
AUM growth of 27-28% for FY25

Full-year AUM growth guided at 27-28%, with new businesses contributing 2-3%.

DROPPED
New customer addition of 15-16 million in FY25

Management expects to add 15-16 million new customers in FY25, marginally higher than last year's 14 million.

DROPPED
Non-Bajaj Auto two-wheeler AUM to replace Bajaj Auto AUM by FY27

Non-Bajaj Auto two-wheeler financing will scale to 720,000 accounts in FY26, fully replacing Bajaj Auto AUM by end-FY26/FY27.

NEW RISK
Urban B2C collection efficiency still weak

Despite lower default rates, collection efficiency in urban B2C remains below normal, and management expects this segment to take the longest to normalize.

NEW RISK
Two-wheeler portfolio deterioration

The two-wheeler and three-wheeler portfolio is classified as 'amber' with Stage 2 rising from 3.83% to 5.53% YoY, though part of the degradation is due to portfolio degrowth.

NEW RISK
Pricing pressure across lending segments

Management acknowledged that pricing pressure has intensified as credit growth slows, which could compress NIMs if not offset by operating leverage.

NEW RISK
Economic slowdown risk

Management flagged that high-frequency data shows the economy slowing, which could worsen asset quality and delay credit cost recovery.

RISK GONE
Elevated credit costs may persist

Credit costs remain above long-term averages; management is cautiously optimistic but normalization may take longer if macro conditions worsen.

RISK GONE
Unsecured lending stress from multiple loans

Clients with 3+ live unsecured loans show higher default propensity; supply-side slowdown may not fully mitigate risk.

RISK GONE
Loss of Bajaj Auto captive financing business

Bajaj Auto's captive financing unit is taking over two-wheeler/three-wheeler financing, impacting AUM and profitability in the near term.

RISK GONE
Regulatory and compliance risks

Management declined to comment on regulatory matters; ongoing investments in compliance may not fully mitigate future actions.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

AUM growth of 27-28% for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY24

Full-year AUM growth guided at 27-28%, with new businesses contributing 2-3%.

NIM compression of 30-40 bps over next two quarters

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Net interest margin is expected to moderate by 30-40 bps from current levels due to rising cost of funds and shift to secured assets, then stabilize.

Rural B2C credit stress persists

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Rural B2C business continues to show elevated loan losses, leading to slower growth; management has slowed AUM growth to 6% but risk remains.

NIM compression from rising cost of funds

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Cost of funds is expected to rise as low-cost borrowings mature and are replaced at higher rates, compressing NIM by 25-30 bps for the full year.

RBI restrictions on eCOM and Insta EMI Card not yet lifted

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

The embargo on two products continues to impact loan bookings and AUM growth; timing of removal is uncertain.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Q4 FY25 credit cost guidance of 2.00-2.05%

Management expects loan loss to average AUF to decline to 2.00-2.05% in Q4, from 2.16% in Q3, driven by portfolio pruning and improving collection...

Top risk Urban B2C collection efficiency still weak

Despite lower default rates, collection efficiency in urban B2C remains below normal, and management expects this segment to take the longest to no...

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