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ADANIGREEN Diversified 30 Apr 2026

Adani Green Energy Limited — Q4 FY26

Adani Green Energy reported a strong Q4 FY26 with revenue from power supply up 22% YoY to INR 11,602 crore and EBITDA up 23% YoY to INR 10,865 crore, achieving an EBITDA margin of 91.2%.

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Revenue ₹3,502 Cr +22%
EBITDA ₹10,865 Cr +23%
PAT ₹514 Cr
EBITDA Margin 82%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

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Adani Green Energy reported a strong Q4 FY26 with revenue from power supply up 22% YoY to INR 11,602 crore and EBITDA up 23% YoY to INR 10,865 crore, achieving an EBITDA margin of 91.2%. The stellar performance was driven by record greenfield capacity addition of 5.1 GW in FY26, taking the operating portfolio to 19.3 GW, led by the Khavda project (9.4 GW operational). Energy sales surged 34% to 37.6 billion units. Management guided for 4.5-5 GW capacity addition in FY27, with a major push on battery storage (10 GWh planned) to mitigate curtailment risks. The company lost an estimated INR 1,200-1,500 crore in EBITDA due to curtailment and lower merchant realizations, but expects this to normalize as more capacity is tied to long-term PPAs. Key risk: transmission evacuation constraints could persist, impacting new capacity utilization.

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Transmission evacuation constraints

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Quarter Snapshot

Operating Capacity 19.3 GW
+35% YoY

Cumulative operating portfolio reached 19.3 GW, with 5.1 GW added in FY26.

Energy Sales 37.6 billion units
+34% YoY

Energy sales surged 34% year-on-year, driven by capacity additions and strong plant performance.

Khavda Operational Capacity 9.4 GW
N/A

World's largest renewable installation at Khavda now has 9.4 GW operational, including 1.4 GWh battery storage.

Battery Storage Addition Target 10 GWh
N/A

Plans to commission over 10 GWh of battery storage in FY27 to hedge against curtailment.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY26 vs Q3 FY26
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
FY27 capacity addition of 4.5-5 GW

Management guided for 4.5-5 GW of new capacity in FY27, constrained by transmission evacuation availability.

NEW
10 GWh battery storage commissioning in FY27

Plans to commission over 10 GWh of battery storage in FY27, with capital cost of ~INR 1.5 crore per MWh.

NEW
More than 90% of new capacity tied to long-term PPAs

Going forward, over 90% of capacity additions will be under long-term PPAs, reversing the FY26 anomaly of high merchant exposure.

NEW
50 GW target by 2030 unchanged

Management reaffirmed the 50 GW target by 2030, with no current revision despite near-term constraints.

DROPPED
FY26 run-rate EBITDA of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided for FY26 run-rate EBITDA of INR 17,000 crore, including INR 1,000 crore other income, with power supply EBITDA at INR 16,000 crore.

DROPPED
CapEx of INR 35,000-40,000 crore next year

Management guided for CapEx in the range of INR 35,000-40,000 crore for the next fiscal year to support 50 GW target by 2030.

DROPPED
Battery storage capacity to more than double next year

Management expects to commission 3.5 GWh battery storage this fiscal and more than double that capacity in the coming year.

DROPPED
50 GW operational capacity by 2030

Management reiterated target to achieve 50 GW operational renewable capacity by 2030, with 5.6 GW added in calendar 2025.

NEW RISK
Transmission evacuation constraints

Inadequate transmission infrastructure could limit capacity additions and utilization, especially at Khavda.

NEW RISK
Curtailment and merchant price volatility

Curtailment and lower merchant realizations caused an estimated INR 1,200-1,500 crore EBITDA loss in FY26; recovery depends on PPA conversion and grid improvements.

NEW RISK
Execution risk on battery storage ramp-up

Ramping battery storage to 10 GWh in one year involves supply chain and capital flexibility challenges.

NEW RISK
Regulatory and policy uncertainty

Changes in renewable energy policies or grid regulations could impact project economics and timelines.

RISK GONE
Grid curtailment delays impacting generation

Delays in grid augmentation (2-3 GW pushed to Q4) have caused curtailment, particularly at Khavda, reducing revenue and EBITDA.

RISK GONE
Subdued merchant power pricing

Merchant power realizations fell sharply (solar Rs 2.20/unit vs Rs 2.82 last year) due to market conditions, impacting revenue.

RISK GONE
Commodity price risk (silver/module costs)

Rising silver prices (3x increase) could increase module costs by ~10%, potentially impacting project IRRs if not hedged.

RISK GONE
CERC DSM regulation tightening

CERC draft regulation on tighter DSM norms for renewables could increase penalties, though management sees storage as mitigation.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Run-rate EBITDA of INR 16,000 crore post 6 GW addition

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q3 FY26

Management guided for FY26 run-rate EBITDA of INR 17,000 crore, including INR 1,000 crore other income, with power supply EBITDA at INR 16,000 crore.

CapEx of INR 30,000-35,000 crore annually for next 2 years

Mentioned in Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26

Management guided for CapEx in the range of INR 35,000-40,000 crore for the next fiscal year to support 50 GW target by 2030.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY27 capacity addition of 4.5-5 GW

Management guided for 4.5-5 GW of new capacity in FY27, constrained by transmission evacuation availability.

Top risk Transmission evacuation constraints

Inadequate transmission infrastructure could limit capacity additions and utilization, especially at Khavda.

View Risks →