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DIXON Diversified 30 Jan 2025

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited — Q3 FY25

Dixon Technologies delivered a stellar Q3 FY25 with consolidated revenue surging 117% YoY to INR 10,461 crore, driven by a 176% YoY jump in mobile revenues to INR 8,089 crore.

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Revenue ₹10,461 Cr +117%
EBITDA ₹398 Cr +113%
PAT ₹217 Cr +124%
EBITDA Margin 3.8% -10bps
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Dixon Technologies delivered a stellar Q3 FY25 with consolidated revenue surging 117% YoY to INR 10,461 crore, driven by a 176% YoY jump in mobile revenues to INR 8,089 crore. EBITDA grew 113% to INR 398 crore, while PAT rose 124% to INR 217 crore. The mobile segment benefited from strong volumes across Motorola, Xiaomi, Oppo, and iSmartu, with total smartphone volumes at 8.3 million (excluding Samsung). The company is aggressively expanding into components, including a display module JV with HKC and a proposed display fab with $3 billion capex, awaiting government subsidy guidelines. Management guided for margin expansion of 100-120 bps in mobile over 24-36 months via backward integration. Key risks include execution of large capex projects and potential customer diversification away from Dixon.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Quarter Snapshot

Smartphone volumes (ex-Samsung) 8.3M
+176% YoY

Q3 FY25 smartphone volumes excluding Samsung, including iSmartu.

Feature phone volumes 9.3M
N/A

Q3 FY25 feature phone volumes.

Telecom revenue INR 977 Cr
+48% QoQ

Telecom segment revenue for Q3 FY25, driven by Airtel JV.

Refrigerator market share (direct cool) 8%
N/A

Market share captured in direct cool refrigerator category within first year.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Mobile segment margin expansion of 100-120 bps over 24-36 months

Backward integration into components like display modules, mechanicals, and camera modules will expand mobile EBITDA margins by 100-120 bps starting H2 FY26.

NEW
Display module production to start by Q1 end/Q2 FY26

Manufacturing of display modules in partnership with HKC will commence by Q1 end or Q2 beginning of next financial year.

NEW
Telecom revenue to double in next fiscal

Telecom segment revenue expected to double from ~INR 3,000 crore in FY25 to ~INR 6,000 crore in FY26, driven by new capacities and order book.

UPDATED
IT hardware revenue target of INR 2,500-3,000 crore in FY26

IT hardware segment (laptops, tablets) expected to generate INR 2,500-3,000 crore revenue in FY26, supported by a potential JV with a global ODM.

DROPPED
Telecom revenue of ~INR 2,400 Cr in FY25

Telecom segment is targeting ~INR 2,400 Cr revenue this fiscal, up from ~INR 700 Cr last year, with next year's order book at INR 6,000-7,000 Cr.

DROPPED
Component backward integration to improve margins in 15-18 months

Management expects margin expansion to start reflecting in 15-18 months as the component ecosystem (HKC display, camera modules, mechanicals) stabilizes, targeting 27% BOM capture.

DROPPED
CapEx of INR 550-580 Cr for FY25

Total CapEx for FY25 is expected to be INR 550-580 Cr, with INR 360 Cr already spent in H1. HKC display JV alone will require ~INR 375 Cr.

NEW RISK
Customer concentration and diversification risk

Brands may seek to diversify vendors beyond Dixon, as raised by an analyst. Management acknowledged the need to remain efficient and customer-obsessed to retain share.

NEW RISK
Execution risk in display fab project

The $3 billion display fab project is complex and dependent on government subsidy guidelines. Any delay or change in policy could impact timelines and returns.

NEW RISK
PLI incentive receivables risk

PLI receivables of ~INR 1,000 crore (gross) are pending, with some amounts yet to be cleared. Any delay in government disbursement could impact cash flows.

RISK GONE
LED TV industry decline

LED TV volumes fell 10% YoY to 9.7 million units, reflecting broader industry weakness. Management noted the industry is declining, not just Dixon.

RISK GONE
Dependence on PLI for IT hardware viability

Analyst questioned whether IT hardware business is self-sustaining without PLI. Management acknowledged government support is critical for global competitiveness, though domestic demand may sustain.

RISK GONE
Forex losses from yen-denominated CapEx

Other income turned negative due to FX losses on Japanese yen payments for machinery. The yen appreciated sharply in Q2, impacting reported profits.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

CapEx of INR 400-420 crore for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Similar level of capex as FY24, subject to budget finalization, to support capacity expansion and new customer programs.

CapEx of INR 500-600 crore for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

Total CapEx for FY25 is expected to be INR 550-580 Cr, with INR 360 Cr already spent in H1. HKC display JV alone will require ~INR 375 Cr.

EBITDA margin guidance of 3.9-4%

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management indicated that consolidated EBITDA margins will remain in the range of 3.9-4%, similar to current levels.

FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million (ex-Samsung)

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management guided for FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million units, excluding Samsung, up from 6.5 million in FY24.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Mobile segment margin expansion of 100-120 bps over 24-36 months

Backward integration into components like display modules, mechanicals, and camera modules will expand mobile EBITDA margins by 100-120 bps startin...

Top risk Customer concentration and diversification risk

Brands may seek to diversify vendors beyond Dixon, as raised by an analyst.

View Risks →