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DIXON Diversified 31 Oct 2024

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited — Q2 FY25

Dixon Technologies delivered a stellar Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue surging 133% YoY to INR 11,528 crore, driven by a 235% YoY jump in mobile & EMS revenue to INR 9,444 crore.

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Revenue ₹11,528 Cr +133%
EBITDA ₹420 Cr +110%
PAT ₹412 Cr +265%
EBITDA Margin 3.6%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Dixon Technologies delivered a stellar Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue surging 133% YoY to INR 11,528 crore, driven by a 235% YoY jump in mobile & EMS revenue to INR 9,444 crore. Smartphone volumes exploded to 8.13 million (vs 1.43 million last year), aided by the iSmartU acquisition and strong traction with Motorola, Xiaomi, and Oppo. EBITDA grew 110% to INR 420 crore, though margins compressed due to mix shift toward lower-margin mobile business. PAT of INR 412 crore included a INR 210 crore fair value gain from Aditya Infotech stake; adjusted PAT grew 109% to INR 236 crore. Management guided for continued momentum with IT hardware ramp-up (HP, ASUS, Lenovo) and backward integration via HKC display JV, targeting 27% BOM capture. Risk: LED TV volumes declined 10% YoY amid industry weakness, and margin expansion hinges on component ecosystem which is 15-18 months away.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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12 analyst questions audited, 1 evaded or deflected.

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Risk Intelligence

LED TV industry decline

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Quarter Snapshot

Smartphone Volumes 8.13M
+468% YoY

Smartphone volumes surged from 1.43M in Q2 FY24 to 8.13M, including 45 days of iSmartU contribution.

Monthly Smartphone Run Rate 2.7-2.8M
+87% YoY

Current monthly run rate (including iSmartU) is 2.7-2.8M, expected to dip to 2.3-2.4M in Q3 and recover to 2.8-3M in Q4.

Telecom Revenue Guidance INR 2,400 Cr
+243% YoY

Telecom segment targeting ~INR 2,400 Cr revenue in FY25 vs ~INR 700 Cr last year, with order book for next year at INR 6,000-7,000 Cr.

iSmartU Annualized Revenue INR 7,500 Cr
N/A

iSmartU is expected to contribute INR 7,000-7,500 Cr on an annualized basis, with profitability slightly better than existing EMS business.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Telecom revenue of ~INR 2,400 Cr in FY25

Telecom segment is targeting ~INR 2,400 Cr revenue this fiscal, up from ~INR 700 Cr last year, with next year's order book at INR 6,000-7,000 Cr.

NEW
Component backward integration to improve margins in 15-18 months

Management expects margin expansion to start reflecting in 15-18 months as the component ecosystem (HKC display, camera modules, mechanicals) stabilizes, targeting 27% BOM capture.

UPDATED
IT hardware revenue target of INR 4,500-5,000 Cr by year 3

Management expects IT hardware (laptops/tablets) to generate INR 4,500-5,000 Cr annual revenue within 2-3 years, driven by partnerships with HP, ASUS, Acer, and Lenovo.

UPDATED
CapEx of INR 550-580 Cr for FY25

Total CapEx for FY25 is expected to be INR 550-580 Cr, with INR 360 Cr already spent in H1. HKC display JV alone will require ~INR 375 Cr.

DROPPED
EBITDA margin guidance of 3.9-4%

Management indicated that consolidated EBITDA margins will remain in the range of 3.9-4%, similar to current levels.

DROPPED
Display module production to start by Q1 FY26

The display module JV with HKC is expected to commence production by end of this fiscal or Q1 next fiscal, with initial capacity of 2 million units per month.

NEW RISK
LED TV industry decline

LED TV volumes fell 10% YoY to 9.7 million units, reflecting broader industry weakness. Management noted the industry is declining, not just Dixon.

NEW RISK
Margin compression from mobile mix shift

Gross margins declined ~200 bps due to higher contribution from lower-margin mobile business. Management expects sub-4% EBITDA margins until component ecosystem ramps up.

NEW RISK
Dependence on PLI for IT hardware viability

Analyst questioned whether IT hardware business is self-sustaining without PLI. Management acknowledged government support is critical for global competitiveness, though domestic demand may sustain.

NEW RISK
Forex losses from yen-denominated CapEx

Other income turned negative due to FX losses on Japanese yen payments for machinery. The yen appreciated sharply in Q2, impacting reported profits.

RISK GONE
TV market slowdown

The LED TV market declined 17% in Q1, impacting consumer electronics revenue. Recovery depends on festive season demand.

RISK GONE
Execution risk in IT hardware ramp-up

Delays in Lenovo production (now Q3) and new customer onboarding could affect revenue targets. Management acknowledged minor delays.

RISK GONE
PLI scheme expiry post-2026

The mobile PLI scheme ends in March 2026. Uncertainty over replacement scheme could impact margins if component ecosystem doesn't develop.

RISK GONE
Freight cost pressure on home appliances

Sea freight increases due to Red Sea crisis compressed home appliance margins by 40 bps. Pass-through to customers may take time.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

CapEx of INR 400-420 crore for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Similar level of capex as FY24, subject to budget finalization, to support capacity expansion and new customer programs.

EBITDA margin guidance of 3.9-4%

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management indicated that consolidated EBITDA margins will remain in the range of 3.9-4%, similar to current levels.

FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million (ex-Samsung)

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management guided for FY25 smartphone volumes of 28-30 million units, excluding Samsung, up from 6.5 million in FY24.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance IT hardware revenue target of INR 4,500-5,000 Cr by year 3

Management expects IT hardware (laptops/tablets) to generate INR 4,500-5,000 Cr annual revenue within 2-3 years, driven by partnerships with HP, AS...

Top risk LED TV industry decline

LED TV volumes fell 10% YoY to 9.7 million units, reflecting broader industry weakness.

View Risks →