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DELHIVERY Diversified 31 Jan 2025

Delhivery Limited — Q3 FY25

Delhivery reported Q3 FY25 revenue of INR 2,378 crore, up 8.4% YoY, with EBITDA of INR 102 crore (4.3% margin) and PAT of INR 25 crore.

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Revenue ₹2,378 Cr +8.4%
EBITDA ₹102 Cr -6.4%
PAT ₹25 Cr +108.3%
EBITDA Margin 4.3% -70bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Delhivery reported Q3 FY25 revenue of INR 2,378 crore, up 8.4% YoY, with EBITDA of INR 102 crore (4.3% margin) and PAT of INR 25 crore. Express parcel volumes grew only 2.4% YoY to 206 million shipments, reflecting muted e-commerce growth and in-sourcing by large marketplaces. PTL volumes rose 17% YoY to 412,000 tons, with service EBITDA margins improving to 3.8%. Management expects express service EBITDA margins to return to the 17%-20% range as fleet cost pressures normalize and PTL growth drives line haul efficiencies. Rapid commerce (2-hour delivery) is live in three cities with 50 dark stores planned, targeting INR 80-100 crore revenue in FY26. A key risk is continued pricing pressure from loss-making competitors, though management believes industry consolidation is imminent.

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Quarter Snapshot

Express Parcel Shipments 206M
+2.4% YoY

Total express parcel shipments in Q3 FY25, including returns, grew modestly due to muted e-commerce growth.

PTL Freight Tonnage 412K tons
+17% YoY

Part Truckload volumes grew strongly, with December being the highest month ever at 147K tons.

D2C Customer Growth 30% YoY
+30% YoY

Direct-to-consumer segment grew 30% YoY, while SME segment grew over 50% YoY.

Service EBITDA Margin (Express) 15.6%
-90bps YoY

Express service EBITDA margin declined due to higher fleet costs and fixed cost from new Bangalore facility.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
PTL business to grow 25%-30% in FY26

Management targets 25%-30% volume growth in the Part Truckload business next financial year, driven by expansion in unorganized market.

NEW
CapEx to be 5.6% of revenue or lower in FY25, trending to 3.5%-4% long-term

Capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is expected to decline to 3.5%-4% over the long term, with no major capacity additions planned.

NEW
Rapid commerce to add INR 80-100 crore revenue in FY26

The two-hour delivery service is expected to generate INR 80-100 crore in revenue next financial year, with 50 dark stores in top eight cities.

UPDATED
Express service EBITDA margins to return to 17%-20% range

Management expects express parcel service EBITDA margins to normalize to 17%-20% as fleet cost pressures reverse and PTL growth improves line haul efficiency.

DROPPED
CapEx intensity to reduce to ~6.5-6.7% of revenue in FY25, sub-6% in FY26

CapEx as a percentage of revenue is expected to be ~6.5-6.7% for FY25 and below 6% for FY26, driven by lower trucking CapEx.

DROPPED
PTL margins to reach express-like levels (15-17%) as volumes grow

PTL service EBITDA margins are expected to improve from current ~3% to 15-17% over time as volumes scale, without yield improvements.

DROPPED
Working capital days to improve by 1-2 days per year

Net working capital days are expected to reduce by 1-2 days annually over the next few years, driven by improvements in supply chain and cross-border businesses.

NEW RISK
Continued pricing pressure from loss-making competitors

Competitors may continue aggressive pricing to sustain volumes, delaying industry consolidation and pressuring Delhivery's margins.

NEW RISK
Muted e-commerce volume growth

Overall e-commerce industry growth has moderated, with express parcel volumes growing only 2.4% YoY, limiting operating leverage.

NEW RISK
In-sourcing by large marketplaces

Marketplaces like Meesho have in-sourced volumes to their own logistics arms, reducing the addressable market for third-party players.

NEW RISK
Fleet cost inflation during peak season

Unexpected spike in intracity fleet costs during the festive season impacted Q3 margins by INR 12-15 crore, highlighting operational vulnerability.

RISK GONE
Consumption slowdown impacting e-commerce growth

Management acknowledged a real consumption slowdown affecting the e-commerce industry, which could pressure volume growth.

RISK GONE
Insourcing by large clients may persist

Analysts raised concerns about insourcing by major marketplaces; management believes bulk of impact is behind but cannot rule out further shifts.

RISK GONE
Labor market tightness could increase costs

Management noted the labor market is challenging and may continue to tighten, potentially impacting delivery costs and availability.

RISK GONE
Quick commerce may not materially reduce parcel distances

Management argued quick commerce's impact on e-commerce parcel distances is limited, but structural shifts could alter network economics.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Express Parcel EBITDA margin to remain in 18-20% range

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

Management expects express parcel service EBITDA margins to stay in the 17-18% range, with no structural change despite Q2 dip.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Express service EBITDA margins to return to 17%-20% range

Management expects express parcel service EBITDA margins to normalize to 17%-20% as fleet cost pressures reverse and PTL growth improves line haul...

Top risk Continued pricing pressure from loss-making competitors

Competitors may continue aggressive pricing to sustain volumes, delaying industry consolidation and pressuring Delhivery's margins.

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