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DELHIVERY Diversified 31 Oct 2024

Delhivery Limited — Q2 FY25

Delhivery reported Q2 FY25 revenue of INR 2,190 crore (+13% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 57 crore (2.6% margin), with PAT of INR 10 crore.

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Revenue ₹2,190 Cr +13%
EBITDA ₹57 Cr
PAT ₹10 Cr
EBITDA Margin 2.6%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Delhivery reported Q2 FY25 revenue of INR 2,190 crore (+13% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 57 crore (2.6% margin), with PAT of INR 10 crore. Express parcel volumes were flat at 185M consignments, while PTL freight tonnage grew 23% YoY to 427K tons. Service EBITDA margins in express dipped to 15.1% from 18.2% QoQ due to early peak-season capacity investments. Management highlighted a 30% volume surge in October and outlined growth initiatives including a third-party quick commerce network, faster regional/air products, and expanded franchise reach. Risks include consumption slowdown, potential insourcing by large clients, and labor market tightness. The company expects express margins to remain in the 17-18% range and PTL margins to improve toward express levels.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Claim Ledger 92% answered

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12 analyst questions audited.

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Promises 1 promise

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Consumption slowdown impacting e-commerce growth

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Quarter Snapshot

Express Parcel Volumes 185M
+3% YoY

Core e-commerce express parcel volumes, excluding returns, grew 3% YoY to 185 million consignments.

PTL Freight Tonnage 427K tons
+23% YoY

Part truckload freight tonnage grew 23% YoY, with revenue up 27% to INR 474 crore.

Active Customers 38,000
+30% YoY

Total customer base grew 30% YoY to 38,000, driven by SME and D2C segments.

October Volume Growth 78M consignments
+30% vs pre-festive

October closures reached 78 million consignments, a 30% increase over the pre-festive monthly average.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Express service EBITDA margins to remain at 17-18%

Management expects express parcel service EBITDA margins to stay in the 17-18% range, with no structural change despite Q2 dip.

NEW
CapEx intensity to reduce to ~6.5-6.7% of revenue in FY25, sub-6% in FY26

CapEx as a percentage of revenue is expected to be ~6.5-6.7% for FY25 and below 6% for FY26, driven by lower trucking CapEx.

NEW
PTL margins to reach express-like levels (15-17%) as volumes grow

PTL service EBITDA margins are expected to improve from current ~3% to 15-17% over time as volumes scale, without yield improvements.

NEW
Working capital days to improve by 1-2 days per year

Net working capital days are expected to reduce by 1-2 days annually over the next few years, driven by improvements in supply chain and cross-border businesses.

DROPPED
Express Parcel EBITDA margin to remain in 18-20% range

Management expects Express Parcel service EBITDA margins to stay stable at 18-20% in the short to medium term, with potential pricing benefits passed to customers to drive volume.

DROPPED
PTL margins to converge with Express over time

Part Truckload margins are expected to reach Express-like levels (18%+) as scale benefits and cost advantages materialize, potentially even higher.

DROPPED
Robust pipeline for Supply Chain Services

SCS has a strong pipeline across auto, electrical, and FMCG sectors, with anticipated solid growth going forward.

NEW RISK
Consumption slowdown impacting e-commerce growth

Management acknowledged a real consumption slowdown affecting the e-commerce industry, which could pressure volume growth.

NEW RISK
Insourcing by large clients may persist

Analysts raised concerns about insourcing by major marketplaces; management believes bulk of impact is behind but cannot rule out further shifts.

NEW RISK
Labor market tightness could increase costs

Management noted the labor market is challenging and may continue to tighten, potentially impacting delivery costs and availability.

NEW RISK
Quick commerce may not materially reduce parcel distances

Management argued quick commerce's impact on e-commerce parcel distances is limited, but structural shifts could alter network economics.

RISK GONE
Meesho insourcing impact on Express Parcel volumes

Meesho's increasing self-logistics could reduce volumes for Delhivery, though management notes they are satisfied with current volumes and the strategy is fluid.

RISK GONE
Aggressive pricing from traditional competitors in D2C

Competitors like Blue Dart may price aggressively in the D2C segment, but management believes their cost leadership and service quality provide a buffer.

RISK GONE
Quick commerce disruption to e-commerce logistics

Quick commerce growth could shift volumes away from traditional e-commerce, but management views the impact as narrow and limited to specific categories.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Express service EBITDA margins to remain at 17-18%

Management expects express parcel service EBITDA margins to stay in the 17-18% range, with no structural change despite Q2 dip.

Top risk Consumption slowdown impacting e-commerce growth

Management acknowledged a real consumption slowdown affecting the e-commerce industry, which could pressure volume growth.

View Risks →