Risk Intelligence
Political debt waiver in Bihar
View Risks →Bandhan Bank's Q2 FY26 results were below internal expectations, with PAT plunging 88% YoY to INR 112 crore due to margin compression and elevated credit costs.
Financial stats pending filing verification
Bandhan Bank's Q2 FY26 results were below internal expectations, with PAT plunging 88% YoY to INR 112 crore due to margin compression and elevated credit costs. NIM fell to 5.8% (vs 6.4% QoQ) as the bank proactively passed on 75bps repo cut and recalculated MCLR, impacting yields. EEB stress persisted with gross slippages of INR 1,118 crore, though SMA 1/2 declined sequentially. Non-EEB advances grew 24% YoY, driving secured mix to 55%. Management expects NIM to trough in Q2 and improve from Q4 as deposit repricing benefits flow through. Credit cost guidance of 2.5-3% for EEB by FY27 exit remains. Key risk: political debt waiver rhetoric in Bihar could disrupt collections, though management sees no material impact yet.
बैंडन बैंक का Q2 FY26 का नतीजा उम्मीद से कम रहा। मुनाफा (PAT) 88% गिरकर ₹112 करोड़ रह गया, क्योंकि ब्याज दरों में कमी और कर्ज पर ज्यादा घाटा हुआ। बैंक ने रेपो रेट में 0.75% की कटौती ग्राहकों को दी, जिससे कमाई पर असर पड़ा। खराब कर्ज (slippages) ₹1,118 करोड़ रहा, लेकिन शुरुआती संकेत (SMA) कम हुए। गैर-कमजोर कर्ज (Non-EEB) 24% बढ़ा, जिससे सुरक्षित कर्ज का हिस्सा 55% हो गया। बैंक का कहना है कि ब्याज दर का दबाव Q2 में खत्म होगा और Q4 से सुधार शुरू होगा। कमजोर कर्ज पर घाटा 2.5-3% रहने का अनुमान है। बिहार में कर्ज माफी की बात से वसूली पर खतरा है, लेकिन अभी बड़ा असर नहीं दिखा।
Political debt waiver in Bihar
View Risks →Full transcript text is available on this route.
Read Transcript →Gross advances grew 7% YoY to INR 1.40 lakh crore, driven by non-EEB growth of 24% YoY.
CASA ratio improved to 28% from 27% last quarter, aided by sequential CASA growth of 5.6%.
EEB portfolio declined 13% YoY due to technical write-offs and subdued growth amid industry guardrails.
Secured loan mix improved to 55% from 47% a year ago, reflecting diversification strategy.
Management expects EEB credit cost to settle at 2.5-3% by FY27 exit, with overall bank credit cost at 1.5-1.6%.
NIM is expected to bottom at 5.8% in Q2 and improve from Q4 as term deposit repricing benefits flow through.
EEB portfolio is expected to see gradual growth from Q3 onwards as operating environment shows signs of recovery.
Secured loan mix is expected to increase further by 2-3 percentage points over the next 6-7 quarters.
Management reiterated target of 2.5% credit cost for full year, with sequential improvement expected each quarter.
EV book expected to grow 5-8% for the full year, with H2 recovery compensating for H1 decline.
Total advances growth target of around 10% for FY26, driven by non-EV segments growing at 26-27%.
Management expects NIM compression in Q2 but stabilization in H2 due to lower slippages and deposit repricing benefits.
Opposition manifestos in Bihar elections propose debt waivers for SHGs, which could disrupt collections if implemented.
EEB slippages remained high at INR 1,118 crore, and management expects stress to continue for 1-2 more months.
The 200bps MCLR cut and repo rate pass-through compressed NIM more than expected, with full benefit delayed to Q4.
Net new EEB customer addition has stagnated due to industry-wide ineligibility, limiting growth potential.
Procedural change in raising demand on holidays increased SMA-0 pool; management says recoverable but may persist in Q2 due to festivals.
Growing secured loan share (lower yield) and repo rate cuts pressure NIM; management expects stabilization only in H2.
Analyst raised concern about aggressive lending by some players; management acknowledged risk but believes industry discipline will hold.
Analyst noted 4%+ NPA in recent vintages; management attributed to industry stress and expects improvement as new guardrails stabilize.
Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25
Growing secured loan share (lower yield) and repo rate cuts pressure NIM; management expects stabilization only in H2.
Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25
Credit costs remain high at 3.9% due to continued stress in microfinance; management expects H1 FY26 to be challenging.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25
Overall advances growth target of 18% ± 1%, with EEB growing at 10%-12% and secured book growing faster.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25
Tier 1 ratio (including H1 profits) at ~14% is adequate for now, but rapid secured book growth and elevated credit costs could necessitate capital raise if stress persists.
Management expects EEB credit cost to settle at 2.5-3% by FY27 exit, with overall bank credit cost at 1.5-1.6%.
Opposition manifestos in Bihar elections propose debt waivers for SHGs, which could disrupt collections if implemented.
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