Bandhan Bank Management Guidance Tracker
47 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Growth
Advances expected to grow over 20% for the full year, with microfinance growing 17%.
Q2 FY24Loan growth of ~20% YoY for FY24ActiveManagement expects overall advances to grow nearly 20% year-on-year, driven by festive demand and strong disbursements in H2.
Q3 FY24ROA target of 2.5%-2.8% and ROE of 14%-18%TrackedMedium-term guidance for ROA and ROE, with detailed three-year plan to be shared after February strategy meet.
Q4 FY24Loan growth of 17-20% in FY25ActiveManagement expects total advances to grow 17-20% over the next 2-3 years, with EEB growing 14-15%.
Q4 FY24Deposit growth to outpace advances growthActiveBank aims for liability-first approach with deposits growing faster than assets to improve CD ratio.
Q1 FY25Loan growth of 18-20% for FY25ActiveManagement expects overall loan book growth of 18-20% for FY25, with secured book growing faster than EEB.
Q1 FY25Deposit growth higher than loan growthActiveDeposit growth will continue to outpace advances growth, with focus on retail deposits.
Q2 FY25Advances growth of 18% ± 1% for FY25ActiveOverall advances growth target of 18% ± 1%, with EEB growing at 10%-12% and secured book growing faster.
Q3 FY25Secured mix target of 55%+ by FY27TrackedManagement aims to increase secured advances share from 49% to over 55% by FY27, with secured book growing 3x faster than EEB.
Q3 FY25EEB disbursements to be calibrated in Q4ActiveManagement indicated Q4 EEB disbursements will be moderated versus prior year, with focus on renewals for good-quality borrowers.
Q4 FY25Advances growth of 15-17% over next 3 yearsTrackedTargeting 15-17% year-over-year advances growth, with secured mix exceeding 55% by FY27.
Q4 FY25ROA target of 1.8-1.9% over 2-3 yearsTrackedAiming for return on assets of 1.8-1.9% over the next 2-3 years, driven by better asset quality and operating leverage.
Q1 FY26EV portfolio growth of 5-8% in FY26TrackedEV book expected to grow 5-8% for the full year, with H2 recovery compensating for H1 decline.
Q1 FY26Overall advances growth of ~10% in FY26TrackedTotal advances growth target of around 10% for FY26, driven by non-EV segments growing at 26-27%.
Q2 FY26EEB growth to resume from Q3ActiveEEB portfolio is expected to see gradual growth from Q3 onwards as operating environment shows signs of recovery.
Q3 FY26Advances CAGR of 15-17% over 2-3 yearsTrackedManagement guided for 15-17% CAGR in advances, with deposit growth expected to be higher than loan growth.
Q3 FY26EB book to show sequential growthActiveManagement expects the microfinance portfolio to grow sequentially, with degrowth phase behind, supported by improving disbursements and collections.
Q4 FY26ROA target of 1.6-1.8% by Q4 FY27TrackedManagement reiterated guidance to achieve ROA of 1.6-1.8% (give or take 10bps) by exit of FY27, driven by margin improvement, lower credit costs, and higher fee income.
Margins
Credit cost guided at approximately 2%, with a possible variance of 20 basis points.
Q1 FY24NIM guidance of 7-7.5%ActiveNet interest margin expected to remain in the 7% to 7.5% range.
Q2 FY24Credit cost guidance of 2% ±20bps for FY24TrackedThe bank expects credit cost to remain in the range of 1.8% to 2.2% for the full year, supported by lower slippages and higher recoveries in H2.
Q2 FY24OpEx to assets ratio of 3.5% for FY24TrackedManagement guided for operating expenses to assets ratio of 3.5% for FY24, with balance sheet growth in H2 absorbing costs.
Q3 FY24NIM to remain in 7%-7.5% range near-termActiveManagement guided NIM to stay around 7%-7.5% in the near term, with a strategic review in March.
Q4 FY24Normalized credit cost of 1.8-2% in FY25TrackedCFO guided for total portfolio credit cost between 1.8% and 2% in FY25, down from 3.4% in FY24.
Q1 FY25NIM maintained at 7-7.5%ActiveNet interest margin is expected to remain in the range of 7-7.5% for FY25.
Q1 FY25Credit cost guidance of 1.8-2% for FY25ActiveCredit cost for FY25 is expected to be in the range of 1.8-2%, despite Q1 coming in lower at 1.6%.
Q2 FY25Credit cost guidance of 1.8%-2% for FY25ActiveManagement expects full-year credit cost to remain within 1.8%-2% of advances, with Q3 potentially elevated but Q4 showing improvement.
Q2 FY25NIM guidance of 7%-7.5% for FY25ActiveNet interest margin expected to remain in the 7%-7.5% range, with some moderation in coming quarters due to product mix shift.
Q3 FY25Credit cost target of ~2% in near term, 1.5-1.6% by FY27TrackedCFO guided for overall credit cost to stabilize around 2% in the near future and decline to 1.5-1.6% by FY27 as secured mix improves.
Q3 FY25NIM to moderate furtherActiveCEO stated NIM will continue to moderate as the bank shifts to secured assets, but ROA target remains near 2% through volume growth and cost control.
Q4 FY25Credit cost target of 1.5-1.6% over 2-3 yearsTrackedExpect credit costs to improve from current elevated levels to 1.5-1.6% on a full-year basis over the next 2-3 years.
Q1 FY26Credit cost guidance of 2.5% for FY26ActiveManagement reiterated target of 2.5% credit cost for full year, with sequential improvement expected each quarter.
Q1 FY26NIM stabilization in H2 FY26ActiveManagement expects NIM compression in Q2 but stabilization in H2 due to lower slippages and deposit repricing benefits.
Q2 FY26Credit cost target of 2.5-3% for EEB by FY27 exitTrackedManagement expects EEB credit cost to settle at 2.5-3% by FY27 exit, with overall bank credit cost at 1.5-1.6%.
Q2 FY26NIM improvement from Q4 onwardsTrackedNIM is expected to bottom at 5.8% in Q2 and improve from Q4 as term deposit repricing benefits flow through.
Q3 FY26Credit cost target of 1.6-1.7% by Q4 FY27TrackedManagement reiterated medium-term credit cost guidance of 1.6-1.7% overall and 2.5-3% for the EB segment by end of FY27.
Q3 FY26NIM improvement from current levelsActiveCFO expects NIM to improve from 5.9% due to cost of funds declining 35-50 bps over next 2-3 quarters, partly offset by repo rate cut impact of ~11 bps.
Q4 FY26NIM improvement of 10-20bps over next 2-3 quartersActiveExpect further NIM expansion of 10-20bps from current 6.2% level, driven by continued reduction in cost of funds as term deposits reprice.
Q4 FY26Credit cost guidance of 1.6-1.7% by exit FY27TrackedCredit cost expected to improve from current 2% to 1.6-1.7% by Q4 FY27, aided by sustained collection efficiency and lower slippages.
Expansion
Bank plans to reach approximately 1,600 branches by the end of the financial year.
Q2 FY24Secured loan share target of 50% by FY26TrackedThe bank aims to increase the share of secured assets to 50% of total advances by fiscal year 2026, up from 44% currently.
Q3 FY24Secured assets to reach ~50% by FY26TrackedManagement expects secured portfolio share to increase from current 44.5% to nearly 50% by FY26.
Q2 FY26Secured mix to increase to 57-58% over 7 quartersTrackedSecured loan mix is expected to increase further by 2-3 percentage points over the next 6-7 quarters.
Other
Management expects the pending CGFMU audit to conclude in Q1 FY25, with a positive outcome anticipated.
Q2 FY25OpEx to assets ratio similar to FY24ActiveOperating expenses to average assets ratio expected to be at similar levels as FY24, around 3.7%-3.8%.
Q4 FY25OpEx to asset ratio to increase 10-20bps over 2 yearsTrackedOperating expenses to average assets ratio expected to rise by 10-20 basis points from current levels over the next two years due to investments.
Q4 FY26PSLC cost reduction by 50% in FY27TrackedPriority sector lending certificate cost expected to halve in FY27 compared to FY26, with near-neutralization by FY28, driven by process improvements in EEB and direct agri loans.