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ADANIPOWER Diversified 2024-07-??

Adani Power Limited — Q2 FY25

Adani Power delivered a strong Q1 FY25 with 29% revenue growth to INR 14,717 crore and 57% EBITDA growth to INR 6,290 crore, driven by higher PLF (78% vs 60% YoY), lower imported coal costs, and strong merchant realizations.

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Revenue ₹14,717 Cr +29%
EBITDA ₹6,290 Cr +57%
EBITDA Margin 42.7% +770bps
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Adani Power delivered a strong Q1 FY25 with 29% revenue growth to INR 14,717 crore and 57% EBITDA growth to INR 6,290 crore, driven by higher PLF (78% vs 60% YoY), lower imported coal costs, and strong merchant realizations. EBITDA margin expanded ~770 bps to 42.7%. PAT stood at INR 3,912 crore, down YoY due to absence of large prior-period regulatory income. Management highlighted robust power demand, a 30 GW capacity target by 2030 (from 15 GW), and progress on inorganic acquisitions (Lanco, Coastal). Guidance includes 80% PPA tie-up for new capacity and 20% merchant exposure. Key risk: merchant tariff volatility could impact near-term profitability if demand softens.

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Merchant tariff volatility

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Quarter Snapshot

PLF (Plant Load Factor) 78%
+18pp YoY

Improved from 60% in Q1 FY24 due to higher demand and full Godda capacity.

Sales Volume 24 BU
+37% YoY

Increased from 17.5 BU in Q1 FY24, driven by higher PLF and Godda commissioning.

Merchant Contribution per Unit INR 4.66/kWh
+INR 0.85/kWh YoY

Improved from INR 3.71/kWh due to lower coal costs and stable merchant tariffs.

Target Capacity by 2030 30.67 GW
+15.67 GW vs current

Includes organic expansion, acquisitions, and brownfield projects.

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Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Capacity target of 30.67 GW by 2030

Plans to double capacity from ~15 GW to 30.67 GW through organic expansion (Mahan Phase II, Raipur, Raigarh, Mirzapur) and acquisitions (Lanco, Coa...

Top risk Merchant tariff volatility

Merchant power tariffs could decline if demand softens or coal prices rise, impacting the 20% open capacity.

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