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ABCAPITAL Diversified 30 Apr 2025

Aditya Birla Capital Limited — Q4 FY25

Aditya Birla Capital reported a solid Q4 FY25 with consolidated PAT of INR 865 crore (+6% YoY) and revenue of INR 14,138 crore (+13% YoY).

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Revenue ₹14,138 Cr +13%
EBITDA
PAT ₹865 Cr +6%
EBITDA Margin
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Aditya Birla Capital reported a solid Q4 FY25 with consolidated PAT of INR 865 crore (+6% YoY) and revenue of INR 14,138 crore (+13% YoY). The NBFC segment delivered strong growth with AUM reaching INR 1.26 trillion (+20% YoY) and credit costs improving to 1.21% (-22bps YoY). The housing finance business was a standout, with AUM surging 69% YoY to INR 31,053 crore and asset quality best-in-class (GS3 at 0.66%). Management guided for NBFC portfolio CAGR of 25% over three years and HFC ROA expansion to 2%-2.2% in 8-10 quarters. Life insurance VNB margin held at 18%, while health insurance achieved breakeven. Key risks include elevated NPAs in unsecured business loans (GS3 at 4.7%) and potential margin pressure from a declining rate environment.

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Quarter Snapshot

NBFC AUM INR 1.26T
+20% YoY

NBFC loan portfolio grew 20% year-on-year to about INR 1.26 trillion.

HFC AUM INR 31,053 Cr
+69% YoY

Housing finance AUM grew 69% year-on-year, crossing INR 31,000 crore.

NBFC Credit Cost 1.21%
-22bps YoY

Credit cost improved 22 basis points year-on-year to 1.21% in Q4.

Life Insurance VNB Margin 18%
flat YoY

VNB margin for life insurance stood at 18% for FY2025, with absolute VNB up 17%.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q3 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
NBFC portfolio CAGR of 25% over three years

Management expects to double the NBFC loan book over the next three years, implying a CAGR of ~25%.

NEW
HFC ROA target of 2%-2.2% in 8-10 quarters

Housing finance aims to achieve ROA of 2%-2.2% within 8-10 quarters, driven by operating leverage.

NEW
Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20%-25% over three years

Life insurance business targets 20%-25% CAGR in individual first-year premium over the next three years.

NEW
Health insurance combined ratio below 100% at earliest

Health insurance aims to achieve combined ratio below 100% as per old accounting norms, and as per new norms shortly.

DROPPED
Life Insurance VNB margin of 17-18% for FY25

Management expects full-year VNB margin to reach 17-18%, driven by product repricing and cost efficiencies.

DROPPED
NBFC credit cost below 1.5%

Credit cost guidance maintained at below 1.5%, with Q3 at 1.36%.

DROPPED
HFC ROA target of 2-2.1% in 18-24 months

Housing finance aims for ROA of 2-2.1% as operating leverage improves with scale.

DROPPED
Amalgamation of Aditya Birla Finance with ABCL by March 2025

The amalgamation is expected to be completed by 31st March 2025, subject to NCLT approval.

NEW RISK
Elevated NPAs in unsecured business loans

GS3 in unsecured business loans rose to 4.7% due to stress in the segment, though partly explained by government guarantee delaying write-offs.

NEW RISK
Margin pressure from declining rate environment

With 50bps repo rate cut, asset yields may reprice faster than liability costs, potentially compressing NIMs in the near term.

NEW RISK
HFC capital adequacy near regulatory threshold

HFC CRAR at 14.3% is close to the regulatory minimum of 15%, requiring continued capital infusion to support growth.

RISK GONE
Margin compression from product mix shift in NBFC

Shift towards secured loans has compressed NIM by ~90bps YoY, with ROA declining from 2.4% to 2.1%.

RISK GONE
Impact of surrender value regulations on life insurance margins

New surrender guidelines and product repricing caused timing losses in Q3, though management expects recovery in Q4.

RISK GONE
Slowdown in NBFC disbursements due to cautious stance

Disbursements decelerated in Q3, particularly in consumer loans, as management dialed down unsecured lending.

RISK GONE
Potential impact of rate cuts on HFC margins

Analyst raised concern about margin risk from rate cuts; management noted 95% variable rate assets and diversified liabilities.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Life insurance VNB margin guidance of 18-20% for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management expects full-year VNB margin to reach 17-18%, driven by product repricing and cost efficiencies.

Credit cost guidance of ~1.5% for NBFC

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY24

Credit cost guidance maintained at below 1.5%, with Q3 at 1.36%.

Life insurance margin compression from regulatory changes

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

New surrender value regulations could impact traditional product margins by 150-200 bps, though management expects to mitigate through commission realignment.

Margin compression from product mix shift in NBFC

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Shift towards secured loans has compressed NIM by ~90bps YoY, with ROA declining from 2.4% to 2.1%.

NBFC book to double in three years, ROA to 3%

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management reiterated guidance to double NBFC loan book in three years and improve ROA to 3% through product mix shift and margin improvement.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance NBFC portfolio CAGR of 25% over three years

Management expects to double the NBFC loan book over the next three years, implying a CAGR of ~25%.

Top risk Elevated NPAs in unsecured business loans

GS3 in unsecured business loans rose to 4.7% due to stress in the segment, though partly explained by government guarantee delaying write-offs.

View Risks →