Sunpharma Management Guidance Tracker
37 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 11 quarters.
Growth
Management reiterated full-year R&D guidance, with potential updates if needed. Concert Pharma costs are included.
Q2 FY24R&D spend guidance maintainedActiveManagement expects R&D expenses to remain at similar levels or increase due to clinical trial ramp-up.
Q2 FY24India business to grow higher than marketTrackedManagement aims to grow India formulation business faster than the Indian pharmaceutical market on an annualized basis.
Q3 FY24Phase II/III trials for MM-II and GL0034 to start in H2 2024TrackedPhase III for MM-II and Phase II for GL0034, initially expected early 2024, are now slated to begin in the second half of 2024.
Q3 FY24Nidlegy filing with European authorities in H1 2024ActivePartner product Nidlegy is expected to be filed with European authorities during the first half of 2024.
Q4 FY24R&D spend to be 8-10% of sales in FY25ActiveR&D investments will increase to 8-10% of sales for the next year, primarily for specialty pipeline.
Q1 FY25R&D spend to step up to 8-10% of sales for FY25ActiveManagement expects R&D investment to increase in subsequent quarters, with full-year guidance of 8-10% of sales.
Q2 FY25R&D spend to be 7-8% of sales for FY25ActiveR&D spend for FY25 is expected to be in the range of 7-8% of sales, down from earlier guidance of 8-10%, due to delays in clinical studies.
Q2 FY25Ilumya PsA Phase III data expected H2 CY2025TrackedPhase III data for Ilumya in psoriatic arthritis is expected in the second half of calendar year 2025, with launch shortly after approval.
Q4 FY25Leqselvi launch in Q2 FY26ActiveLeqselvi to be launched in the US in the second quarter of FY2026.
Q1 FY26ILUMYA PsA filing by end of CY2025TrackedSun Pharma plans to file for psoriatic arthritis indication for ILUMYA before end of calendar year 2025.
Q2 FY26R&D spend at lower end of 6-8% of salesTrackedManagement expects full-year R&D spend to be at the lower end of the guided 6-8% range.
Q2 FY26Ilumya psoriatic arthritis filing in H2 FY26ActiveSun Pharma plans to file Ilumya for psoriatic arthritis indication in the second half of FY26.
Q3 FY26Semaglutide launch in India on patent expiryTrackedSun Pharma plans to launch generic semaglutide in India on day one of patent expiry for both chronic weight management and type 2 diabetes, under brands NovelTreat and SemaTrinity.
Revenue
CEO Kirti Ganorkar expressed confidence that India formulation growth will align with IPM growth, recovering from NLEM and sitagliptin impacts.
Q1 FY24Lenalidomide sales expected to remain episodicActiveCFO noted that lenalidomide sales were significant in Q1 but will be episodic going forward, not a steady revenue stream.
Q4 FY24High single-digit consolidated revenue growth for FY25TrackedManagement expects consolidated top-line growth in high single digits for FY2025, driven by all business segments.
Q3 FY25Specialty sales growth to normalize after Q3 inventory buildActiveQ3 specialty sales benefited from inventory build at a partner; next quarter sales are expected to be lower excluding milestones.
Q4 FY25FY26 revenue growth: mid-to-high single digitTrackedManagement expects consolidated top-line growth of mid-to-high single digits for FY2026.
Q2 FY26Unloxcyt launch in H2 FY26ActiveUnloxcyt remains on track for US launch in the second half of FY26, with sales force already in place.
Other
Management confirmed that the partial clinical hold on 12mg has been lifted, and 8mg dosing continues as planned with no delays.
Q2 FY24Tax rate to inch up on annual basisTrackedTax rate expected to be higher than last year's 8.8% due to profit mix across jurisdictions.
Q3 FY24R&D spend to touch lower end of 7% guidance for FY24ActiveManagement indicated that R&D spend for the full year is expected to reach the lower end of the 7% of sales guidance.
Q1 FY25Leqselvi launch pending court decision on preliminary injunctionActiveLaunch timing of Leqselvi will be governed by court ruling on Incyte's motion; company opposes and seeks early outcome.
Q2 FY25Leqselvi launch readiness within weeks of favorable judgmentTrackedManagement stated they would be ready to launch Leqselvi within a couple of weeks post a favorable court ruling on the patent litigation.
Q3 FY25FY25 R&D spend to be less than 7% of salesActiveDue to delays in clinical trial initiation, R&D expenditure for FY25 is expected to be below the earlier guidance of 7% of sales.
Q3 FY25Leqselvi launch timeline dependent on litigation outcomeTrackedOral arguments for Leqselvi patent litigation expected in April 2025; if favorable, launch could occur before patent expiry in December 2026.
Q4 FY25R&D spend guidance: 6%-8% of salesTrackedFY2026 R&D spend expected to be 6%-8% of sales.
Q1 FY26Incremental $100M cost for Leqselvi and UNLOXCYT in FY2026TrackedManagement expects to incur approximately $100 million in direct costs (excluding amortization) for the launches of Leqselvi and UNLOXCYT during FY2026.
Q1 FY26Effective tax rate around 25% for FY2026ActiveCFO guided for an effective tax rate of approximately 25% for the full fiscal year, up from 16-17% last year.
Q3 FY26R&D spend guidance for next yearActiveManagement indicated they will provide R&D spend guidance for the next fiscal year in the next quarter's call.
Q3 FY26Phase 2b trial for GL0034 to complete in 12-18 monthsTrackedThe phase 2b study for GL0034 in type 2 diabetes has started and is expected to complete within 12-18 months.
Expansion
Deuruxolitinib is on track for launch after the July 2024 PDUFA date, with pre-launch costs already being incurred.
Q1 FY26UNLOXCYT launch in H2 FY2026TrackedUNLOXCYT will be launched in the U.S. in the second half of FY2026, pending label update.
Margins
Capex
Approximately $100 million additional spend in FY26 for commercialization of new specialty products.
Q2 FY26Incremental specialty spend of ~$100M in FY26ActiveThe company expects to spend around $100M in FY26 to support Leqselvi and Unloxcyt launches, with increases in Q3 and Q4.