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SUNPHARMA Healthcare 15 Nov 2023

Sunpharma Ltd — Q2 FY24

Sun Pharma reported Q2 FY24 consolidated revenue of INR 12,003 crore, up 11% YoY, driven by India formulations (11.1% growth) and global specialty sales (19.3% growth to $240M).

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Revenue ₹12,192 Cr +11%
EBITDA ₹3,179 Cr +7.5%
PAT ₹2,385 Cr +5%
EBITDA Margin 26% -90bps
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Sun Pharma reported Q2 FY24 consolidated revenue of INR 12,003 crore, up 11% YoY, driven by India formulations (11.1% growth) and global specialty sales (19.3% growth to $240M). EBITDA margin contracted 90bps YoY to 26.1% due to higher R&D and selling expenses. PAT grew 5% YoY to INR 2,376 crore. US sales grew 4.2% to $430M, supported by specialty products Ilumya, Cequa, and Winlevi, but offset by Halol/Mohali plant issues and lower Revlimid contribution. Management highlighted strong prescription trends and market share gains in specialty, but provided no specific FY24 guidance. Risks include Halol remediation timeline uncertainty, Taro's Israel operations exposure, and potential pricing pressure in US generics.

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Quarter Snapshot

Global Specialty Sales $240M
+19.3% YoY

Global specialty sales grew 19.3% YoY to $240M, driven by Ilumya, Cequa, and Winlevi.

India Market Share 8.4%
-10bps YoY

Sun Pharma holds 8.4% market share in the Indian pharma market (MAT Sep 2023), down from 8.5%.

US Formulation Sales $430M
+4.2% YoY

US sales grew 4.2% YoY to $430M, driven by specialty but offset by plant issues and lower Revlimid.

R&D Spend INR 7,734M
6.4% of sales

R&D spend was INR 7,734M (6.4% of sales), with specialty R&D accounting for 38.2%.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
1 new guidance2 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Tax rate to inch up on annual basis

Tax rate expected to be higher than last year's 8.8% due to profit mix across jurisdictions.

UPDATED
R&D spend guidance maintained

Management expects R&D expenses to remain at similar levels or increase due to clinical trial ramp-up.

UPDATED
India business to grow higher than market

Management aims to grow India formulation business faster than the Indian pharmaceutical market on an annualized basis.

DROPPED
Lenalidomide sales expected to remain episodic

CFO noted that lenalidomide sales were significant in Q1 but will be episodic going forward, not a steady revenue stream.

DROPPED
Deuruxolitinib 8mg filing on track; no slowdown in OLE studies

Management confirmed that the partial clinical hold on 12mg has been lifted, and 8mg dosing continues as planned with no delays.

NEW RISK
Halol plant remediation uncertainty

Halol plant remains under FDA scrutiny; no timeline for re-inspection or resolution, impacting US generic supply.

NEW RISK
Taro Israel operations exposure

Taro's operations in Israel may be impacted by regional conflict, though management says business continuity is maintained.

NEW RISK
US generic pricing pressure

Management sees no significant improvement in generic pricing environment; pricing remains product-specific and competitive.

RISK GONE
Mohali plant supply suspension continues

Supplies from Mohali have not resumed; residual inventory sales are declining. Market share loss may be permanent depending on competition and contracts.

RISK GONE
India market share decline and NLEM impact

India market share fell to 8.33% from 8.5% due to NLEM price cuts and sitagliptin patent expiry. Recovery timeline uncertain.

RISK GONE
Taro acquisition uncertainty

Management provided no update on the Taro minority buyout beyond forming a special committee. Strategic benefits remain unclear.

RISK GONE
Specialty R&D pipeline execution risk

Multiple Phase II/III trials (ILUMYA PsA, deuruxo, GLP-1) require significant investment. Failure or delay could impact returns.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance R&D spend guidance maintained

Management expects R&D expenses to remain at similar levels or increase due to clinical trial ramp-up.

Top risk Halol plant remediation uncertainty

Halol plant remains under FDA scrutiny; no timeline for re-inspection or resolution, impacting US generic supply.

View Risks →