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SUNPHARMA Healthcare 14 Nov 2024

Sunpharma Ltd — Q2 FY25

Sun Pharma delivered a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated sales of INR 13,264 crore, up 10.5% YoY, driven by US specialty growth (+20.3% to $517M) and India formulation growth (+11%).

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Revenue ₹13,264 Cr +10.5%
EBITDA ₹3,939 Cr +23.9%
PAT ₹3,040 Cr +28%
EBITDA Margin 29.6% +350bps
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Sun Pharma delivered a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated sales of INR 13,264 crore, up 10.5% YoY, driven by US specialty growth (+20.3% to $517M) and India formulation growth (+11%). EBITDA margin expanded 350 bps YoY to 29.6%, aided by favorable product mix and lower material costs. PAT grew 28% YoY to INR 3,040 crore. The US specialty portfolio (Ilumya, Winlevi, Cequa) continues to perform well, while the India business gained market share to 8.1%. R&D spend guidance was revised down to 7-8% of sales due to clinical trial delays. Key risks include the binary outcome of Leqselvi patent litigation and potential margin pressure from higher selling expenses.

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Quarter Snapshot

US Sales $517M
+20.3% YoY

US business grew 20.3% YoY to $517M, driven by specialty portfolio and lenalidomide.

India Market Share 8.1%
+40bps YoY

Sun Pharma's market share in the Indian pharma market increased to 8.1% from 7.7%.

Global Specialty Sales $286M
+19.2% YoY

Global specialty sales grew 19.2% YoY to $286M, led by Ilumya and other key brands.

India Volume Growth 5.2%
+450bps vs IPM

Sun's volume growth in India was 5.2% vs IPM's 0.7%, driven by new launches and field force expansion.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Leqselvi launch readiness within weeks of favorable judgment

Management stated they would be ready to launch Leqselvi within a couple of weeks post a favorable court ruling on the patent litigation.

NEW
Ilumya PsA Phase III data expected H2 CY2025

Phase III data for Ilumya in psoriatic arthritis is expected in the second half of calendar year 2025, with launch shortly after approval.

UPDATED
R&D spend to be 7-8% of sales for FY25

R&D spend for FY25 is expected to be in the range of 7-8% of sales, down from earlier guidance of 8-10%, due to delays in clinical studies.

DROPPED
Effective tax rate to increase on full-year basis

Tax rate expected to rise due to expiry of certain exemptions; should be viewed on an annualized basis.

DROPPED
Leqselvi launch pending court decision on preliminary injunction

Launch timing of Leqselvi will be governed by court ruling on Incyte's motion; company opposes and seeks early outcome.

NEW RISK
Leqselvi patent litigation binary outcome

The Leqselvi launch depends on a favorable court ruling on the '335 patent; an unfavorable outcome could delay launch until patent expiry in Dec 2026.

NEW RISK
R&D spend may remain below guidance if trials delay further

Management acknowledged that further delays in clinical trials could keep R&D spend below the revised 7-8% guidance.

NEW RISK
Higher selling expenses pressuring margins

Other expenses rose significantly due to higher selling and distribution costs in US and EM, which could pressure margins if not offset by revenue growth.

NEW RISK
Japan price cuts impacting ROW revenues

Price cuts in Japan are expected to continue pressuring ROW revenues for the next few quarters, as mentioned by management.

RISK GONE
Leqselvi launch delay due to litigation

Incyte filed a preliminary injunction motion to block Leqselvi launch; outcome uncertain and could delay revenue contribution.

RISK GONE
Halol plant re-audit timeline uncertain

Management plans to request FDA re-audit once ready, but no specific timeline provided; pending approvals may impact U.S. generic pipeline.

RISK GONE
U.S. generic revenue flat despite Revlimid contribution

U.S. generic sales were flat sequentially; Revlimid contribution was not large this quarter, and sustainability is uncertain.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Effective tax rate to increase on full-year basis

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24

Tax rate expected to rise due to expiry of certain exemptions; should be viewed on an annualized basis.

India business to grow in line with or better than market in coming quarters

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management aims to grow India formulation business faster than the Indian pharmaceutical market on an annualized basis.

Mohali plant supply suspension continues

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Supplies from Mohali plant are not normal; issues with product prioritization and quality clearances are causing delays.

Pricing pressure from Stelara biosimilars

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Stelara biosimilar entry next year could impact Ilumya pricing and market share in the US psoriasis market.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance R&D spend to be 7-8% of sales for FY25

R&D spend for FY25 is expected to be in the range of 7-8% of sales, down from earlier guidance of 8-10%, due to delays in clinical studies.

Top risk Leqselvi patent litigation binary outcome

The Leqselvi launch depends on a favorable court ruling on the '335 patent; an unfavorable outcome could delay launch until patent expiry in Dec 2026.

View Risks →