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SBIN Diversified 31 Jan 2025

State Bank of India — Q3 FY25

SBI reported a stellar Q3 FY25 with net profit surging 84% YoY to INR 16,891 crore, driven by robust credit growth of 13.49% YoY, industry-leading asset quality (slippage ratio 0.39%, credit cost 0.24%), and strong fee income.

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Revenue
EBITDA
PAT ₹19,484 Cr +84%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

SBI reported a stellar Q3 FY25 with net profit surging 84% YoY to INR 16,891 crore, driven by robust credit growth of 13.49% YoY, industry-leading asset quality (slippage ratio 0.39%, credit cost 0.24%), and strong fee income. Domestic advances grew 14.06% YoY led by SME (+18%), agriculture (+15%), and corporate (+15%). Deposits rose 9.81% YoY to INR 52.29 trillion, with CASA at 39.2%. NIM compression of 13bps QoQ was due to higher cost of funds and MTM losses, but management guided NIM above 3% and credit cost at ~50bps. The corporate pipeline stands at INR 483,000 crore, supporting 14-16% credit growth guidance. Digital initiatives (YONO, AI) and budget tailwinds (tax cuts, MSME push) provide further impetus. Risk: Elevated SMA-2 (INR 7,424 crore) though largely attributed to one regularized account.

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Quarter Snapshot

Slippage Ratio 0.39%
Flat YoY

Slippage ratio remained low at 0.39% in Q3 FY25, reflecting strong asset quality.

Credit Cost 0.24%
-1bps YoY

Credit cost improved to 0.24% in Q3 FY25, among the best in the industry.

Corporate Loan Pipeline INR 483,000 Cr
N/A

Pipeline includes INR 222,000 Cr sanctioned and INR 261,000 Cr under process, supporting growth.

YONO Registered Users 8.5 Cr
+64% of SB accounts opened via YONO

Over 8.5 crore customers registered on YONO; 64% of regular SB accounts opened digitally.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
NIM above 3%

Management guided NIM to remain above 3% going forward, despite rate cut expectations.

NEW
Credit cost of ~50bps through cycles

Credit cost guidance of around 50 basis points through business cycles, reflecting confidence in asset quality.

UPDATED
Credit growth of 14-16% for FY25

Management reiterated guidance of 14-16% credit growth for FY25, supported by strong corporate pipeline and retail momentum.

UPDATED
Deposit growth of ~10% for FY25

Deposit growth guidance revised to ~10% for FY25, with focus on improving CASA mix.

DROPPED
ROA to remain above 1%

Management guides for ROA of at least 1%, with potential upside from non-interest income and cost control.

DROPPED
Credit cost to be around 50 bps

Slippage ratio expected below 60 bps and credit cost below 40 bps, with PCR at 75.66% providing buffer.

NEW RISK
Elevated SMA-2 loans

SMA-2 loans increased to INR 7,424 crore from INR 1,840 crore, though management attributed most to one account that has been regularized.

NEW RISK
NIM compression from rate cuts

A shallow rate cut cycle could compress NIM by 2-3bps; deeper cuts may require active liability management.

NEW RISK
Xpress Credit asset quality

Xpress Credit GNPA rose from 0.77% to 1.11% due to slowdown and digital transition; management expects double-digit growth to resume.

RISK GONE
Xpress Credit growth slowdown

Xpress Credit grew only 7% YoY due to high repayments and process re-engineering; management expects double-digit growth in H2 but uncertainty remains.

RISK GONE
Elevated SMA-1 book

SMA-1 book jumped due to a large account (INR 9,000 crore) which has since regularized, but any recurrence could impact asset quality.

RISK GONE
Deposit growth lagging credit growth

Deposit growth at 9.13% YoY trails credit growth of 14.93%, potentially constraining future lending if not addressed.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Credit cost to be around 50 bps

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY24

Slippage ratio expected below 60 bps and credit cost below 40 bps, with PCR at 75.66% providing buffer.

Margin compression from deposit repricing

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Deposit repricing at higher rates has pressured NIM; further compression could occur if competition intensifies.

NIM to be maintained around current levels

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management expects net interest margin to remain stable around 3.4%, with marginal 5-6 bps variation.

NIM to remain stable with 2-3 bps dip

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY24

Management expects net interest margin to stay near current levels, with variation not exceeding 10 bps.

Wage revision cost overhang

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

If wage settlement exceeds the assumed 14%, additional monthly cost of ~INR 100 crore per 1% increase could pressure operating expenses.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Credit growth of 14-16% for FY25

Management reiterated guidance of 14-16% credit growth for FY25, supported by strong corporate pipeline and retail momentum.

Top risk Elevated SMA-2 loans

SMA-2 loans increased to INR 7,424 crore from INR 1,840 crore, though management attributed most to one account that has been regularized.

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