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SBIN Diversified 31 Oct 2024

State Bank of India — Q2 FY25

SBI delivered a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT of INR 18,331 crore (+28% YoY), driven by robust credit growth of 14.93% YoY and stable asset quality (slippage ratio 0.51%, credit cost 0.38%).

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PAT ₹20,565 Cr +28%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

SBI delivered a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT of INR 18,331 crore (+28% YoY), driven by robust credit growth of 14.93% YoY and stable asset quality (slippage ratio 0.51%, credit cost 0.38%). Domestic advances grew 15.55% YoY, led by corporate (18%), agri (17%), and SME (17%). Deposits crossed INR 50 trillion milestone, though growth lagged at 9.13% YoY. Management reiterated 14-16% credit growth guidance and expects deposit growth to improve to 10-10.5%. Margins are expected to remain stable with MCLR hikes providing cushion. Key risk: potential stress in unsecured lending segments (Xpress Credit growth slowed to 7% YoY) and elevated SMA-1 book, though management sees recovery in H2.

Promises0 met · 3 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Promises 3 promises

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0 delivered, 0 close, 3 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Xpress Credit growth slowdown

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Quarter Snapshot

Credit Growth YoY 14.93%
+190bps YoY

Domestic advances grew 15.55% YoY; corporate led with 18% growth.

Slippage Ratio 0.51%
-10bps YoY

Retail slippage ratio at 0.31%; asset quality remains robust.

CASA Ratio 40%+
flat YoY

CASA grew 4.24% YoY; management aims to maintain above 40%.

Corporate Loan Pipeline INR 6 trillion
+33% QoQ

Includes proposals under sanction and sanctioned but undisbursed; strong visibility.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Credit growth guidance of 14-16% for FY25

Management expects domestic credit growth to remain in the 14-16% range, supported by strong corporate pipeline and retail segments.

NEW
Deposit growth target of 10-10.5%

Efforts to mobilize deposits through data analytics and branch-level focus aim to push deposit growth above 10%.

NEW
ROA to remain above 1%

Management guides for ROA of at least 1%, with potential upside from non-interest income and cost control.

NEW
Credit cost to be around 50 bps

Slippage ratio expected below 60 bps and credit cost below 40 bps, with PCR at 75.66% providing buffer.

DROPPED
NIM to remain stable within ±10 bps

Management expects net interest margin to stay near current levels, with variation not exceeding 10 bps.

DROPPED
Credit cost guidance of ~0.50%

Sustainable credit cost expected to be around 0.50% going forward.

DROPPED
CD ratio target of 70-72%

Credit-deposit ratio expected to be around 70%, potentially rising to 72%.

DROPPED
Capital raise of INR 25,000 crore approved

Board approved raising INR 10,000 crore Tier 1 and INR 15,000 crore Tier 2 capital.

NEW RISK
Xpress Credit growth slowdown

Xpress Credit grew only 7% YoY due to high repayments and process re-engineering; management expects double-digit growth in H2 but uncertainty remains.

NEW RISK
Elevated SMA-1 book

SMA-1 book jumped due to a large account (INR 9,000 crore) which has since regularized, but any recurrence could impact asset quality.

NEW RISK
Treasury income volatility

Other income boosted by trading gains and forex; sustainability depends on yield movements, which are uncertain.

RISK GONE
Elevated slippages in unsecured retail

Slippages in personal loans rose due to delayed salary credits in some states; though partly reversed, trend bears watching.

RISK GONE
Potential ECL provision impact

RBI's expected credit loss norms remain a consultation paper; management deflected quantification, citing it's premature.

RISK GONE
Regulatory scrutiny on CD ratio

RBI flagged loan growth exceeding deposit growth; management expects self-regulation but impact on growth is uncertain.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Margin compression from deposit repricing

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Deposit repricing at higher rates has pressured NIM; further compression could occur if competition intensifies.

NIM to be maintained around current levels

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management expects net interest margin to remain stable around 3.4%, with marginal 5-6 bps variation.

NIM to remain stable with 2-3 bps dip

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY24

Management expects net interest margin to stay near current levels, with variation not exceeding 10 bps.

Wage revision cost overhang

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

If wage settlement exceeds the assumed 14%, additional monthly cost of ~INR 100 crore per 1% increase could pressure operating expenses.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Credit growth guidance of 14-16% for FY25

Management expects domestic credit growth to remain in the 14-16% range, supported by strong corporate pipeline and retail segments.

Top risk Xpress Credit growth slowdown

Xpress Credit grew only 7% YoY due to high repayments and process re-engineering; management expects double-digit growth in H2 but uncertainty rema...

View Risks →