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KOTAKBANK Diversified 19 Oct 2024

Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited — Q2 FY25

Kotak Mahindra Bank reported a consolidated PAT of ₹5,044 crore (+13% YoY) for Q2 FY25, driven by strong subsidiary performance (capital markets +52%, AMC +58%, insurance +50%).

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PAT ₹5,044 Cr +13%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

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Kotak Mahindra Bank reported a consolidated PAT of ₹5,044 crore (+13% YoY) for Q2 FY25, driven by strong subsidiary performance (capital markets +52%, AMC +58%, insurance +50%). The bank's customer assets grew 18% YoY to ₹4.5 lakh crore, but NIM compressed 11bps QoQ to 4.91% due to a shift toward secured lending amid the RBI embargo on digital credit card issuance. Deposit growth was healthy at 16% YoY, with CASA stable at 43.6%. Credit costs rose to 65bps annualized, driven by stress in unsecured retail (credit cards) and microfinance, which management expects to persist for 2-3 quarters before improving. The RBI's draft circular on investments and the ongoing tech embargo remain key overhangs. Management guided for margin improvement from savings rate cuts and the StanChart portfolio acquisition, but near-term growth is constrained by regulatory restrictions.

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Quarter Snapshot

CASA Ratio 43.6%
+0 bps QoQ

CASA ratio improved marginally QoQ, with savings deposits growing 5% sequentially.

Credit Cost (Annualized) 65 bps
+15 bps YoY (approx)

Increased due to higher slippages in unsecured retail and microfinance portfolios.

Unsecured Retail Mix 11.3%
-1.7pp YoY (approx)

Declined due to the RBI embargo on credit card issuance and cautious MFI growth.

Kotak AMC AUM ₹4.7 trillion
+41% YoY

Average AUM grew strongly, with equity AUM up 61% YoY to ₹3.1 trillion.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Savings rate cut to improve NIM by ~4 bps

The 50 bps cut on savings deposits up to ₹5 lakh, effective Oct 17, is expected to add about 4 bps to NIM.

NEW
StanChart portfolio to add ~2 bps to yield

The acquisition of Standard Chartered's personal loan portfolio will add about 2 bps to average asset yield.

NEW
Credit costs to stabilize and decline in 2-3 quarters

Management expects credit costs to stabilize and then decline over the next 2-3 quarters as recoveries from secured and rural books offset slippages.

NEW
Target to be #3 private bank in 5 years

CEO Ashok Vaswani reiterated the aspiration to become the third-largest private sector bank in India over five years, through organic and inorganic growth.

DROPPED
Unsecured retail book target of mid-teens remains

Management reiterated goal to reach mid-teens as a percentage of total advances once the RBI embargo is lifted.

DROPPED
Branch network to reach 3,000-3,500 in 4-5 years

Plans to add 150-250 branches per year, focusing on top 68-75 cities, to reach 3,000-3,500 branches over 4-5 years.

DROPPED
IT embargo costs within earlier estimate

CFO confirmed that incremental costs related to the RBI embargo are within the guidance provided last quarter.

NEW RISK
RBI embargo on digital credit card issuance continues

The tech embargo restricts digital onboarding for credit cards, limiting growth in unsecured retail and pressuring NIM.

NEW RISK
RBI draft circular on investments could force business restructuring

The draft circular may require consolidation of lending subsidiaries into the bank, impacting capital allocation and business models.

NEW RISK
Margin pressure from asset mix shift and potential rate cuts

NIM compressed 11bps QoQ due to shift to secured assets; further rate cuts could pressure yields, though deposit costs may lag.

RISK GONE
Sustained NIM compression

NIM fell 20bps QoQ to 5.02% due to rising deposit costs and lower unsecured lending; further pressure could persist if CASA does not recover.

RISK GONE
RBI embargo timeline uncertainty

Management declined to provide a specific timeline for lifting the embargo, citing dependence on RBI's comfort with progress and sustainability.

RISK GONE
Microfinance volatility in select states

Delinquencies in microfinance rose in states like Tamil Nadu, MP, and UP due to heat waves and elections; recovery expected in H2 but uncertain.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Loan growth to track 1.75-2x nominal GDP

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

The bank aims to grow customer assets at 1.5-2 times nominal GDP growth, implying continued above-system growth.

Unsecured loan asset quality normalization

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Credit costs rose to 55bps annualized, driven by delinquencies in lower-ticket credit cards and microfinance; management tightened norms but risk remains.

Unsecured retail book target of mid-teens remains

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management reiterated goal to reach mid-teens as a percentage of total advances once the RBI embargo is lifted.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Savings rate cut to improve NIM by ~4 bps

The 50 bps cut on savings deposits up to ₹5 lakh, effective Oct 17, is expected to add about 4 bps to NIM.

Top risk RBI embargo on digital credit card issuance continues

The tech embargo restricts digital onboarding for credit cards, limiting growth in unsecured retail and pressuring NIM.

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