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HEROMOTOCO Diversified 07 Feb 2025

Hero MotoCorp Limited — Q3 FY25

Hero MotoCorp reported Q3 FY25 revenue of ₹10,211 crore (+5% YoY), EBITDA of ₹1,476 crore (+8% YoY), and PAT of ₹1,203 crore (+12% YoY).

bullish high
Compare with...
Revenue ₹10,260 Cr +5%
EBITDA ₹1,476 Cr +8%
PAT ₹1,108 Cr +12%
EBITDA Margin 14% +50bps
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Hero MotoCorp reported Q3 FY25 revenue of ₹10,211 crore (+5% YoY), EBITDA of ₹1,476 crore (+8% YoY), and PAT of ₹1,203 crore (+12% YoY). EBITDA margin improved 50 bps YoY to 14.5%, driven by mix improvement and cost savings, with ICE margins at 16%. The company gained market share in 95% of its portfolio, with retail share at 32.8% (up 520 bps QoQ). EBITDA per unit crossed ₹10,000, reflecting operating leverage. Management guided for double-digit revenue growth in FY26, supported by new launches (Xtreme 250R, VIDA V2, Xoom 160), rural demand recovery, and tax relief from the budget. Key risk: EV volumes remain low due to portfolio transition, and Hero FinCorp credit costs have risen to ~6%, though collections are improving.

Promises3 met · 0 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Promises 3 promises

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3 delivered, 0 close, 0 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

EV market share remains low

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Quarter Snapshot

Market Share (Vahan) 32.8%
+520bps QoQ

Highest-ever retail market share in the quarter, driven by strong performance in 125cc and EV segments.

EBITDA per Unit ₹10,000+
Crossed threshold

EBITDA per unit crossed ₹10,000, driven by premiumization, mix, and pricing, enabling operating leverage.

Parts Revenue ₹1,555 crore
+9% YoY

Highest-ever quarterly revenue from parts, accessories, and merchandise, aided by seasonality and new lines.

EV Investment ₹137 crore
-50bps QoQ

Lower EV investment due to transition from V1 to V2; per-unit investment remains unchanged.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

Management expects double-digit revenue growth for the next fiscal year, driven by new launches, rural recovery, and tax relief.

NEW
EV portfolio PLI compliance by next fiscal

The V2 portfolio will become PLI compliant in the coming months, with the entire portfolio compliant by next fiscal.

NEW
Premium store count to cross 100 soon

The company plans to expand its premium store network from 60 to over 100 stores in the near term.

NEW
Hero 2.0 stores at 700 in less than 700 days

The company has opened 700 Hero 2.0 stores at a pace of more than one store per day, accelerating retail transformation.

DROPPED
EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16% maintained

Management reiterated the overall EBITDA margin range of 14%-16%, despite continued investments in EV and premium segments.

DROPPED
EV portfolio expansion within six months

VIDA will launch new scooter models covering most price and customer segments within six months, including before end of calendar year.

DROPPED
PLI benefits expected from FY2026

EV products will become PLI-compliant in FY2026, with benefits starting to accrue from that period.

DROPPED
Premium store expansion to accelerate

Company plans to open 100 premium stores by end of FY2025, with further acceleration expected.

NEW RISK
EV market share remains low

VIDA's national EV market share is ~5%, partly due to absence in the sub-₹1 lakh segment (60% of market) and limited geographic presence.

NEW RISK
Hero FinCorp credit cost increase

Hero FinCorp's credit cost rose ~150 bps to ~6% due to lower collection efficiency, impacting profitability.

NEW RISK
Transition from V1 to V2 disrupted volumes

EV dispatches fell sharply during the V1-to-V2 transition, though management expects a recovery in February-March.

NEW RISK
Structural shift away from motorcycles

Scooters and EVs are gaining share, potentially pressuring Hero's core motorcycle business; management downplays this risk.

RISK GONE
Rising delinquencies in Hero FinCorp

Delinquencies and collection slowdown in H1 impacted HFCL profitability; management acknowledged industry-wide credit cost increase.

RISK GONE
Demand bunching around festive season

Analyst flagged that strong festive retail may not sustain post-festival, as seen last year with sharp drop in Vahan registrations.

RISK GONE
Geopolitical and economic risks in export markets

Countries like Bangladesh, Turkey, and Nigeria face economic challenges that could slow export growth.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

CapEx guidance of INR 1,000-1,200 crore per annum

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Annual capital expenditure is expected to be in the range of INR 1,000-1,200 crore.

EV portfolio expansion in H1 FY25 with PLI compliance by Q2

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

New EV products in mid and mass segments will be launched in H1, and PLI compliance is expected by Q2 FY25.

Premium store expansion to 100+ in six months

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q2 FY25

VIDA will launch new scooter models covering most price and customer segments within six months, including before end of calendar year.

Scooter market share weakness in 125cc segment

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24

Despite new launches, overall market share is still declining YoY; premium segment competition remains intense.

Xtreme 125R capacity ramp to 20,000-25,000 per month by June-July

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management plans to ramp up Xtreme 125R production from 25,000 to 40,000 units per month in the next couple of months.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Double-digit revenue growth in FY26

Management expects double-digit revenue growth for the next fiscal year, driven by new launches, rural recovery, and tax relief.

Top risk EV market share remains low

VIDA's national EV market share is ~5%, partly due to absence in the sub-₹1 lakh segment (60% of market) and limited geographic presence.

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