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HEROMOTOCO Diversified 15 Nov 2024

Hero MotoCorp Limited — Q2 FY25

Hero MotoCorp reported its highest-ever quarterly revenue of INR 10,463 crore (up 11% YoY), EBITDA of INR 1,516 crore (up 14% YoY), and PAT of INR 1,204 crore (up 14% YoY).

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Revenue ₹10,483 Cr +11%
EBITDA ₹1,516 Cr +14%
PAT ₹1,066 Cr +14%
EBITDA Margin 14% +40bps
Duration 60 min
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Hero MotoCorp reported its highest-ever quarterly revenue of INR 10,463 crore (up 11% YoY), EBITDA of INR 1,516 crore (up 14% YoY), and PAT of INR 1,204 crore (up 14% YoY). The strong performance was driven by mix improvement, lower material costs, and deep savings, with ICE EBITDA margin expanding 160 bps to 16.5%. EV business investment of INR 175 crore weighed on overall EBITDA margin, which improved 40 bps to 14.5%. Festive season retail sales hit a record 1.6 million units (up 13% YoY), with Vahan market share rising to 31.6%. Management remains optimistic about demand, citing rural recovery and upcoming product launches in premium, scooter, and EV segments. Key risk: rising delinquencies in the financing business (Hero FinCorp) could pressure profitability and growth.

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Rising delinquencies in Hero FinCorp

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Quarter Snapshot

Festive retail sales 1.6M units
+13% YoY

Highest-ever festive sales over 32 days, driven by strong rural and urban demand.

EV monthly volume 11,600 units
+132% vs Q2 avg

EV retail scaled to 11,600 units during festive, with market share reaching 5.4%.

EV market share in top cities 20%
+15pp vs prior

Achieved 20% EV market share in five cities and 10% in ten cities during festive.

Parts & accessories revenue INR 1,456 crore
+7.5% YoY

Highest-ever quarterly revenue from parts, accessories, and merchandise business.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16% maintained

Management reiterated the overall EBITDA margin range of 14%-16%, despite continued investments in EV and premium segments.

NEW
EV portfolio expansion within six months

VIDA will launch new scooter models covering most price and customer segments within six months, including before end of calendar year.

NEW
PLI benefits expected from FY2026

EV products will become PLI-compliant in FY2026, with benefits starting to accrue from that period.

NEW
Premium store expansion to accelerate

Company plans to open 100 premium stores by end of FY2025, with further acceleration expected.

DROPPED
Xtreme 125R capacity to reach 40,000 units/month

Management plans to ramp up Xtreme 125R production from 25,000 to 40,000 units per month in the next couple of months.

DROPPED
Premia stores to cross 100 by end of fiscal

The company targets to have over 100 Premia stores by March 2025, up from 40 currently.

DROPPED
New EV products to be PLI compliant from October

The upcoming EV range expansion (mid and affordable segments) will be PLI compliant, launching from October 2024 onwards.

DROPPED
CapEx guidance of INR 1,000-1,200 crore per annum

Annual capital expenditure is expected to be in the range of INR 1,000-1,200 crore.

NEW RISK
Rising delinquencies in Hero FinCorp

Delinquencies and collection slowdown in H1 impacted HFCL profitability; management acknowledged industry-wide credit cost increase.

NEW RISK
Demand bunching around festive season

Analyst flagged that strong festive retail may not sustain post-festival, as seen last year with sharp drop in Vahan registrations.

NEW RISK
Geopolitical and economic risks in export markets

Countries like Bangladesh, Turkey, and Nigeria face economic challenges that could slow export growth.

RISK GONE
EV investment drag may persist

EV business continues to weigh on margins (198 bps impact), and profitability timeline remains uncertain despite volume growth.

RISK GONE
Rural recovery may slow

While rural demand is improving, any macroeconomic shock or poor monsoon could derail the recovery, impacting entry-level sales.

RISK GONE
Market share pressure in premium segment

Despite new launches, overall market share is still declining YoY; premium segment competition remains intense.

RISK GONE
Bangladesh operations disruption

Political unrest in Bangladesh has caused a setback, though it represents only ~0.3-0.4% of total revenue.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Double-digit industry growth expected ahead of festive season

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management is confident of achieving double-digit revenue growth in FY25, driven by volume, mix, and pricing.

CapEx guidance of INR 1,000-1,200 crore per annum

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Annual capital expenditure is expected to be in the range of INR 1,000-1,200 crore.

EV portfolio expansion in H1 FY25 with PLI compliance by Q2

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

New EV products in mid and mass segments will be launched in H1, and PLI compliance is expected by Q2 FY25.

Scooter market share weakness in 125cc segment

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24

Despite new launches, overall market share is still declining YoY; premium segment competition remains intense.

Xtreme 125R capacity ramp to 20,000-25,000 per month by June-July

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management plans to ramp up Xtreme 125R production from 25,000 to 40,000 units per month in the next couple of months.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance EBITDA margin guidance of 14%-16% maintained

Management reiterated the overall EBITDA margin range of 14%-16%, despite continued investments in EV and premium segments.

Top risk Rising delinquencies in Hero FinCorp

Delinquencies and collection slowdown in H1 impacted HFCL profitability; management acknowledged industry-wide credit cost increase.

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