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Canara Bank Management Guidance Tracker

48 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.

Margins

Q1 FY24NIM guidance above 3% for FY24Active

Management guided for net interest margin to remain above 3%, with Q1 NIM at 3.05%.

Q2 FY24NIM expected in 2.9%-3.05% rangeActive

Management guided NIM between 2.9% and 3.05% for coming quarters, depending on liquidity conditions.

Q2 FY24Credit cost guidance of ~1%Active

Management expects credit cost to remain around 1% until PCR reaches 95%.

Q3 FY24Cost-to-income ratio below 45% by March 2024Active

Despite one-time wage provisions, management is confident of achieving cost-to-income below 45% by Q4 FY24.

Q3 FY24NIM to be maintained near 3%Active

Net interest margin is expected to remain close to 3% despite pressure from rising deposit costs.

Q4 FY24NIM to be maintained at 2.95%-3% for FY25Tracked

Despite tight liquidity, management expects NIM to remain in the 2.95%-3% range, with potential upside if liquidity eases.

Q4 FY24Cost-to-income ratio to be maintained around 47%Tracked

Management expects to keep cost-to-income ratio at or below 47% despite wage revision and IT investments.

Q1 FY25NIM guidance of 2.95% for FY25Tracked

Management expects NIM to improve from 2.90% in Q1 to around 2.95% by year-end, driven by seasonal improvement in subsequent quarters.

Q2 FY25Credit cost below 1% for FY25Tracked

Credit cost guidance of 1.10% is expected to be undershot; management sees it below 1% for the full year.

Q3 FY25Cost-to-income ratio around 47-48%Active

Management expects to maintain cost-to-income ratio in the 47-48% range, with annual expense growth of 6-7%.

Q4 FY25Return on Assets (RoA) guidance of 1.05% for FY26Tracked

Target RoA of 1.05% for FY26, with conservative approach and potential to surpass.

Q4 FY25NIM expected to be maintained at 2.75-2.80%Tracked

Net interest margin expected to be in the range of 2.75-2.80% for FY26, with some stress in H1 but recovery in H2.

Q1 FY26NIM to stabilize around 2.5% in Q2, gradual improvement in H2Active

NIM likely to bottom at 2.5% in Q2 FY26, with gradual recovery in H2 as deposit costs reprice, assuming no further rate cuts.

Q1 FY26ROA guidance of 1.05% for FY26Tracked

Management reiterated ROA target of 1.05% for the full year, with Q1 already at 1.14%.

Q1 FY26Credit cost guidance of 90bps for FY26Tracked

Credit cost expected at 90bps for the year, though management expects to outperform due to improving asset quality.

Q2 FY26Credit cost to remain below 1%Tracked

Management expects credit cost to stay well below 1% going forward, even with ECL implementation in March 2027.

Q3 FY26NIM to remain in 2.45%-2.50% rangeActive

Management expects net interest margin to stabilize at 2.45-2.50% even if further repo rate cuts occur, supported by RAM growth and deposit repricing.

Q4 FY26NIM to remain in 2.5-2.6% rangeTracked

Net interest margin expected to stay between 2.5% and 2.6% in FY27.

Q4 FY26ROA above 1%Tracked

Management confident of delivering return on assets above 1% despite ECL implementation.

Growth

Q1 FY24Credit growth of 12-14% for FY24Tracked

Management expects loan growth in the range of 12-14% for the full year, with Q1 domestic credit growing over 3%.

Q2 FY24Loan growth target of 12% for FY24Tracked

Management expects advances to grow around 12% for the full year, driven by RAM segment.

Q3 FY24Full-year credit growth of ~12%Active

Management expects domestic advances to grow around 11.5-12% for FY24, driven by RAM and selective corporate lending.

Q4 FY24Credit growth of ~12% for FY25Tracked

Management guided for 10% minimum but expects to achieve around 12% credit growth, driven by RAM and selective corporate lending.

Q4 FY24CASA ratio target of 33% by FY25Tracked

Management aims to achieve 33% CASA ratio by end of FY25 through new products and digital initiatives.

Q1 FY25Credit growth guidance of ~10% for FY25Tracked

Advances growth target of 10% for the full year, with Q1 already at 9.86% despite shedding INR 22,500 crore of low-yielding corporate loans.

Q1 FY25Gross NPA target of 3.5% by FY25 endTracked

Management guided for gross NPA to decline to 3.5% by year-end, from 4.14% in Q1, supported by controlled slippages and recoveries.

Q2 FY25Credit growth of ~11% for FY25Active

Management expects full-year credit growth of around 11%, driven by 3.5-4% quarterly growth in H2, despite shedding low-yielding advances.

Q2 FY25RAM sector growth of 11%+Active

RAM (Retail, Agriculture, MSME) credit is expected to grow faster than corporate, with retail growing 13-14% and MSME 9-10%.

Q2 FY25Gold loan growth of 16-17%Active

Gold loan portfolio is expected to grow 16-17% this year, driven by a new digitized product for metro cities.

Q3 FY25Advances growth target of 10% for FY25Active

Management expects to achieve 10% advances growth for the full year, with current growth at 10.45% already exceeding the target.

Q4 FY25Advances growth guidance of 10-11% for FY26Tracked

Management expects loan book to grow at 10-11% in FY26, consistent with historical guidance.

Q1 FY26Credit growth of 10-11% for FY26Active

Management expects overall credit growth of 10-11%, with RAM growing at 15% and corporate at 10%.

Q2 FY26CASA ratio target of 32% by March 2026Tracked

Management reiterated its guidance to achieve a CASA ratio of 32% by end of FY26, despite balance sheet growing at 14%.

Q3 FY26Credit growth to sustain at 13%+Active

Advances growth guidance of 10-11% has been surpassed; management expects to maintain current 13.59% growth momentum in Q4.

Q4 FY26Credit growth guidance of 11-12% for FY27Tracked

Management guided for 11-12% loan growth, but expects to exceed it as in prior years.

Other

Capex

Revenue

Expansion