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CANBK Diversified 30 Apr 2024

Canara Bank — Q4 FY24

Canara Bank reported a strong Q4 FY24 with net profit at an all-time high of INR 3,757 crore, up 18.33% YoY, driven by NII growth of 11.18% and improved asset quality (GNPA down 112bps to 4.23%).

bullish high
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PAT ₹3,757 Cr +18.33%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

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2-Minute Summary

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Canara Bank reported a strong Q4 FY24 with net profit at an all-time high of INR 3,757 crore, up 18.33% YoY, driven by NII growth of 11.18% and improved asset quality (GNPA down 112bps to 4.23%). The bank maintained credit cost below 1% and delivered NIM of 3.07% for the quarter. Management guided for FY25 credit growth of ~12% and NIM of 2.95-3%, conservatively, while expecting outperformance. Key drivers include strategic shedding of low-yielding corporate loans, focus on CASA (target 33% by FY25), and technology investments. Risks include potential impact from RBI's draft circular on project loans and elevated operating expenses due to wage revision.

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Quarter Snapshot

Global Business INR 2,273,000 crore
+11.31% YoY

All-time high global business driven by advances and deposit growth.

CASA Ratio 32.25%
+63bps QoQ

Improved sequentially due to new products and digital initiatives.

Gross NPA Ratio 4.23%
-112bps YoY

Continued improvement in asset quality with lower slippages.

PCR (Provision Coverage Ratio) 89.10%
+179bps YoY

Strengthened balance sheet with higher provisions.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY24 vs Q3 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
CASA ratio target of 33% by FY25

Management aims to achieve 33% CASA ratio by end of FY25 through new products and digital initiatives.

NEW
Cost-to-income ratio to be maintained around 47%

Management expects to keep cost-to-income ratio at or below 47% despite wage revision and IT investments.

UPDATED
Credit growth of ~12% for FY25

Management guided for 10% minimum but expects to achieve around 12% credit growth, driven by RAM and selective corporate lending.

UPDATED
NIM to be maintained at 2.95%-3% for FY25

Despite tight liquidity, management expects NIM to remain in the 2.95%-3% range, with potential upside if liquidity eases.

DROPPED
Cost-to-income ratio below 45% by March 2024

Despite one-time wage provisions, management is confident of achieving cost-to-income below 45% by Q4 FY24.

DROPPED
Capital raising of INR 6,100 crore in next two months

Bank plans to raise remaining AT1 and Tier 2 bonds of INR 6,100 crore when market conditions are favorable.

NEW RISK
RBI draft circular on project loans

New RBI guidelines on project implementation could increase provisioning requirements, though management is confident of managing the impact.

NEW RISK
Elevated operating expenses from wage revision

Staff costs rose sharply due to bipartite settlement arrears and actuarial provisions; normalization expected from Q1 FY25.

NEW RISK
Low-yielding corporate loan book drag

The bank is gradually reducing INR 60,000-70,000 crore of low-yielding corporate loans, which may temper headline credit growth.

NEW RISK
Potential impact of RBI investment reclassification

New accounting norms for investment portfolio could affect treasury profits, though initial impact added INR 1,400 crore to reserves.

RISK GONE
Rising deposit costs pressuring NIM

Management acknowledged that cost of deposits is rising and NIM may face pressure, though they aim to keep it near 3%.

RISK GONE
CASA ratio remains low at 31.65%

CASA growth (5.05% YoY) lags deposit growth (8.55%), impacting funding costs. Management has launched campaigns but no near-term target given.

RISK GONE
Potential slippages from MSME and agriculture

Fresh slippages of INR 2,697 crore were largely from MSME (INR 1,200 crore) and agriculture (INR 1,000 crore), which could persist.

RISK GONE
Regulatory risk weight increase impact on capital

RBI's higher risk weights on NBFC and personal loans reduced capital by 52 bps; CET1 ratio fell to 15.78% from 16.20%.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Gross NPA target of 4.50% by end of FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management aims to increase provision coverage ratio to 90% by March 2024.

Potential slippages from MSME and agriculture

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Fresh slippages of INR 2,697 crore were largely from MSME (INR 1,200 crore) and agriculture (INR 1,000 crore), which could persist.

Pressure on NIM from rising deposit costs

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management acknowledged that cost of deposits is rising and NIM may face pressure, though they aim to keep it near 3%.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Credit growth of ~12% for FY25

Management guided for 10% minimum but expects to achieve around 12% credit growth, driven by RAM and selective corporate lending.

Top risk RBI draft circular on project loans

New RBI guidelines on project implementation could increase provisioning requirements, though management is confident of managing the impact.

View Risks →