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BERGEPAINT Diversified 31 Oct 2024

Berger Paints (I) Limited — Q2 FY25

Berger Paints reported a muted Q2 FY25 with revenue nearly flat YoY (-0.4%), impacted by extended monsoon and flooding in key markets.

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Revenue ₹2,775 Cr -0.4%
EBITDA -4.9%
PAT ₹270 Cr -6.1%
EBITDA Margin 15.8%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Berger Paints reported a muted Q2 FY25 with revenue nearly flat YoY (-0.4%), impacted by extended monsoon and flooding in key markets. EBITDA margin came in at 15.8%, within the guided 15%-17% range, while gross margin hit a 10-quarter high of 40.4% (standalone) driven by a favorable product mix shift toward premium/luxury products. Volume growth was 3.6% for the quarter, with half-yearly volume at 7.8%. Management expects volume growth to improve to 7%-10% in Q3 and double-digit in Q4, aided by price increases (~2.5%) and waning base effects. The company is investing in urban market initiatives and construction chemicals, which weighed on employee costs. Risks include sustained competitive intensity from new entrants and potential geopolitical headwinds.

Promises0 met · 2 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Promises 2 promises

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0 delivered, 0 close, 2 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Sustained competitive intensity from new entrants

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Quarter Snapshot

Volume Growth (Q2) 3.6%
N/A

Volume growth for Q2 FY25 was 3.6%, impacted by extended monsoon and flooding.

Gross Margin (Standalone) 40.4%
+40bps YoY

Highest gross margin in last 10 quarters, aided by premium product mix and lower raw material costs.

Retail Touchpoints Added 2,200
N/A

Aggressive network expansion with 2,200 new retail touchpoints added in Q2.

ColorBank Machines Installed 2,000+
N/A

Over 2,000 ColorBank machines installed in Q2 to enhance in-store tinting capabilities.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Volume growth of 7%-10% in Q3 FY25

Management expects volume growth to be between 7% and 10% in Q3, driven by demand recovery and urban initiatives.

NEW
Double-digit volume growth in Q4 FY25

Volume growth is expected to reach double digits in Q4, aided by favorable base and improving demand.

NEW
Operating margin to remain in 15%-17% range

Management reaffirmed that EBITDA margin will stay within the guided 15%-17% band in the foreseeable short term.

NEW
Value growth to exceed volume growth by ~1% in Q4

Value growth is expected to be about 1% ahead of volume growth in Q4 as price increases and base effects play out.

DROPPED
Decorative value growth to improve in Q2 aided by ~2% price increases

Product price increases undertaken in Q1 and July/August are expected to lift value growth by about 2% in Q2.

DROPPED
Operating margin to improve marginally in Q2 to above 17%

Management expects Q2 EBITDA margin to be slightly better than Q1's 17.2%, despite RM inflation and higher ad spend.

DROPPED
Target 1,000+ franchisee paint studios by year-end

Currently at 616 stores, the company plans to expand to over 1,000 exclusive stores by end of FY25.

DROPPED
Network expansion of 8,000 additional dealer touchpoints in FY25

After adding 1,900 in Q1, the company aims to add 8,000 total retail touchpoints for the full year.

NEW RISK
Sustained competitive intensity from new entrants

New players like Grasim and potential entry of others could pressure pricing and market share, especially in mass products like putty.

NEW RISK
Geopolitical risks impacting raw material costs

Management noted that geopolitics may pose risks, potentially affecting input costs and supply chains.

NEW RISK
Urban initiative may take time to yield results

The urban market strategy, while promising, may take several quarters to show meaningful impact, with benefits expected only from Q4 and next year.

NEW RISK
One-off costs in international subsidiaries

Bolix subsidiary had a one-off revenue reversal of INR 12 crore due to a project dispute, impacting consolidated profitability.

RISK GONE
New entrant competition may intensify

Initial hype has faded, but the new player is placing tinting machines and may launch advertising from September; repeat purchase cycle is yet to be seen.

RISK GONE
Geopolitical factors could cause RM inflation

Management noted that geopolitical factors may pose risk to inflation, which could pressure margins if price increases are insufficient.

RISK GONE
Luxury demand weakness in key states

Kerala and West Bengal, large luxury markets, had subdued performance, impacting mix and value growth.

RISK GONE
Berger Nepal continues dismal performance

Nepal subsidiary faces persistent liquidity issues and unfavorable market conditions, though signs of improvement are emerging.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Weakness in Nepal subsidiary (BJN Nepal)

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Berger Nepal saw another quarter of degrowth due to economic turmoil, expected to persist for at least one more quarter.

Raw material price volatility due to geopolitical tensions

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

Geopolitical situation could cause volatility in raw material prices, affecting gross margins.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Volume growth of 7%-10% in Q3 FY25

Management expects volume growth to be between 7% and 10% in Q3, driven by demand recovery and urban initiatives.

Top risk Sustained competitive intensity from new entrants

New players like Grasim and potential entry of others could pressure pricing and market share, especially in mass products like putty.

View Risks →