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BERGEPAINT Diversified 26 Jul 2024

Berger Paints (I) Limited — Q1 FY25

Berger Paints reported a mixed Q1 FY25 with 11.8% volume growth but only 2.4% value growth, as price cuts and mix shift to lower-value products weighed.

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Revenue ₹3,091 Cr +2.4%
EBITDA -5.9%
PAT ₹354 Cr -6.4%
EBITDA Margin 17.2% -160bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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Berger Paints reported a mixed Q1 FY25 with 11.8% volume growth but only 2.4% value growth, as price cuts and mix shift to lower-value products weighed. EBITDA margin contracted 160bps YoY to 17.2%, impacted by RM inflation and higher ad spends. Market share among listed peers rose to 20.9% from 19.7% in FY24, driven by strong decorative volume and network expansion. Management expects value growth to improve in Q2 from ~2% price increases, with margins trending toward 17%+. Industrial business is recovering post-elections. Key risk: new entrant competition could intensify if repeat purchases materialize, though initial hype has faded.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Quarter Snapshot

Volume Growth 11.8%
+11.8pp YoY

Double-digit volume growth driven by decorative and construction chemicals, despite subdued luxury demand.

Market Share (Listed Peers) 20.9%
+1.2pp YoY

Highest market share gain among listed players, up from 19.7% in FY24 and 20.2% in Q1 FY24.

Retail Touchpoints Added 1,900+
N/A

Aggressive network expansion in under-indexed areas; targeting 8,000 additions for FY25.

Colour Bank Machines Installed 1,800+
N/A

Tinting machine penetration now >90% among meaningful dealers, exceeding 40,000 outlets.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Decorative value growth to improve in Q2 aided by ~2% price increases

Product price increases undertaken in Q1 and July/August are expected to lift value growth by about 2% in Q2.

NEW
Operating margin to improve marginally in Q2 to above 17%

Management expects Q2 EBITDA margin to be slightly better than Q1's 17.2%, despite RM inflation and higher ad spend.

NEW
Target 1,000+ franchisee paint studios by year-end

Currently at 616 stores, the company plans to expand to over 1,000 exclusive stores by end of FY25.

NEW
Network expansion of 8,000 additional dealer touchpoints in FY25

After adding 1,900 in Q1, the company aims to add 8,000 total retail touchpoints for the full year.

DROPPED
Double-digit volume growth expected in Q1 and FY25

Management expects decorative business to maintain double-digit volume growth for Q1 and full year FY25, with slightly lower value growth due to price cuts.

DROPPED
EBITDA margin to remain in 15%-17% range

Management reiterated its comfort range of 15-17% EBITDA margin, with any upside likely reinvested in advertising.

DROPPED
8,000 Color Bank machines to be installed in FY25

Targeting installation of 8,000 new Color Bank machines in FY25, up from 7,100 in FY24.

DROPPED
Khurda plant operational by Dec 2026-Mar 2027

Greenfield plant in Khurda, Odisha, expected to become operational between December 2026 and March 2027.

NEW RISK
New entrant competition may intensify

Initial hype has faded, but the new player is placing tinting machines and may launch advertising from September; repeat purchase cycle is yet to be seen.

NEW RISK
Geopolitical factors could cause RM inflation

Management noted that geopolitical factors may pose risk to inflation, which could pressure margins if price increases are insufficient.

NEW RISK
Luxury demand weakness in key states

Kerala and West Bengal, large luxury markets, had subdued performance, impacting mix and value growth.

NEW RISK
Berger Nepal continues dismal performance

Nepal subsidiary faces persistent liquidity issues and unfavorable market conditions, though signs of improvement are emerging.

RISK GONE
Sustained volume-value gap due to price cuts and mix shift

Price cuts of ~5% and faster growth of low-value products may continue to suppress value growth until December 2024, impacting revenue and profitability.

RISK GONE
Competitive intensity from new entrants

New competitors entering the paint market could increase promotional spending and pressure margins, though management downplays near-term impact.

RISK GONE
Raw material price volatility due to geopolitical tensions

Geopolitical situation could cause volatility in raw material prices, affecting gross margins.

RISK GONE
Nepal subsidiary continued weakness

Berger Nepal saw another quarter of degrowth due to economic turmoil, expected to persist for at least one more quarter.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Competitive intensity from new entrants

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

New competitors entering the paint market could increase promotional spending and pressure margins, though management downplays near-term impact.

Weakness in Nepal subsidiary (BJN Nepal)

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Berger Nepal saw another quarter of degrowth due to economic turmoil, expected to persist for at least one more quarter.

Double-digit value growth for HTP and Public Coatings in Q2 FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management maintains double-digit volume growth outlook for Q3, driven by festive season and rural demand recovery.

EBITDA margin to remain in 15%-17% range

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management reiterated its comfort range of 15-17% EBITDA margin, with any upside likely reinvested in advertising.

Raw material price volatility due to geopolitical tensions

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

Geopolitical situation could cause volatility in raw material prices, affecting gross margins.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Decorative value growth to improve in Q2 aided by ~2% price increases

Product price increases undertaken in Q1 and July/August are expected to lift value growth by about 2% in Q2.

Top risk New entrant competition may intensify

Initial hype has faded, but the new player is placing tinting machines and may launch advertising from September; repeat purchase cycle is yet to b...

View Risks →