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BEL Diversified 31 Jan 2025

Bharat Electronics Limited — Q3 FY25

Bharat Electronics reported a strong Q3 FY25 with revenue of INR 14,174 crore for 9M FY25, up 23.41% YoY, and PAT of INR 3,183 crore, up 42.34% YoY.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹5,771 Cr +23.41%
EBITDA
PAT ₹1,312 Cr +42.34%
EBITDA Margin 29% +440bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

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Bharat Electronics reported a strong Q3 FY25 with revenue of INR 14,174 crore for 9M FY25, up 23.41% YoY, and PAT of INR 3,183 crore, up 42.34% YoY. EBITDA margin expanded to 28.07% (vs 23.67% last year), driven by execution of high-margin programs like LRSAM and Akash Prime. Management maintained FY25 guidance of >15% revenue growth and 23-25% EBITDA margin, confident of achieving INR 25,000 crore order inflows in Q4. Key large orders expected in FY26 include QRSAM (INR 25,000-30,000 crore) and MRSAM/MF-STAR for NGC (INR 14,000-15,000 crore). Risk: delays in order finalization could impact FY26 order book growth.

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Quarter Snapshot

Order Book ₹71,100 crore
-6.7% YoY

Order book as of Jan 1, 2025; expected to be replenished by Q4 inflows.

Order Inflow (9M FY25) ₹11,000 crore
Target ₹25,000 crore for FY25

Management confident of achieving full-year target with large orders in final stages.

QRSAM Order Size ₹25,000-30,000 crore
Expected in FY26

Large missile program expected to be awarded before March 2026.

Non-Defense Revenue Share ~8%
Target 10-15%

Non-defense revenue share remains low; management targeting double-digit share.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
1 new guidance1 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
QRSAM order expected in FY26

QRSAM program (₹25,000-30,000 crore) expected to be awarded before March 2026, with 90% confidence.

UPDATED
FY25 revenue growth >15%

Management reaffirmed guidance of revenue growth exceeding 15% for FY25, confident based on 9M performance.

UPDATED
FY25 EBITDA margin 23-25%

EBITDA margin guidance maintained at 23-25%, with potential to touch 25% based on Q3 performance.

UPDATED
FY25 order inflow >₹25,000 crore

Management confident of achieving order inflow target of ₹25,000 crore for FY25, with several large orders in final stages.

DROPPED
CapEx of ₹800 crore for FY25

Management guided CapEx of ₹800 crore for FY25, with new facilities in Hyderabad and Nagpur expected to become operational in FY26-27.

NEW RISK
Order inflow delays

Large orders like QRSAM and MRSAM may slip beyond FY26, impacting order book growth and revenue visibility.

NEW RISK
Employee cost increase from pay revision

Eighth pay commission due from January 2027 could increase employee costs, though management expects minimal impact on cost-to-turnover ratio.

NEW RISK
Competition in anti-drone systems

Emerging competition from startups and MSMEs in smaller anti-drone systems could erode market share.

NEW RISK
Provision for liquidated damages

A provision of ~₹600 crore was made for liquidated damages due to supply delays, indicating execution risks.

RISK GONE
Delay in large order conversions

Ashwini Radar order has been delayed for several quarters; management now expects it within 3 months. Any further delay could impact order inflow target.

RISK GONE
Negative operating cash flow due to inventory buildup

Operating cash flow was negative ₹2,300 crore in H1 due to inventory buildup for H2 execution. If revenue growth slows, cash flow recovery may be delayed.

RISK GONE
Competition from private players in defense

BEL lost AEW&C integration order to Adani; increasing competition in system integration could pressure margins and market share.

RISK GONE
Supply chain disruptions from Israel

While major items are streamlined, small subsystems from Israel still face challenges, potentially affecting deliveries to other DPSUs.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Supply chain disruptions from Israel/Russia

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

While major items are streamlined, small subsystems from Israel still face challenges, potentially affecting deliveries to other DPSUs.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY25 revenue growth >15%

Management reaffirmed guidance of revenue growth exceeding 15% for FY25, confident based on 9M performance.

Top risk Order inflow delays

Large orders like QRSAM and MRSAM may slip beyond FY26, impacting order book growth and revenue visibility.

View Risks →