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BANDHANBNK Diversified 30 Apr 2025

Bandhan Bank Limited — Q4 FY25

Bandhan Bank's Q4 FY25 PAT of INR 318 crore (vs INR 55 crore last year) was aided by low base and tax credits, but core operating performance weakened.

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PAT ₹318 Cr +478.18%
EBITDA Margin
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2-Minute Summary

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Bandhan Bank's Q4 FY25 PAT of INR 318 crore (vs INR 55 crore last year) was aided by low base and tax credits, but core operating performance weakened. NII declined 4% YoY to INR 2,756 crore as NIM compressed to 6.7% (down 20bps QoQ) due to secured mix shift and elevated slippages. Credit costs remained high at 3.9% of advances, though down from 4.1% QoQ. The EEB book saw slippages of INR 1,349 crore, but collection efficiency improved to 97.8%. Management guided for 15-17% advances growth over 3 years, targeting secured mix >55% by FY27, and credit costs of 1.5-1.6% over 2-3 years. Near-term headwinds persist from MFI stress and investment costs, with ROA expected to trough in H1 FY26 before recovering. Key risk: slower-than-expected improvement in MFI asset quality could delay profitability recovery.

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Elevated MFI stress persists

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Quarter Snapshot

Secured Book Share 50.5%
+8.5pp YoY

Secured advances grew 32% YoY, now over half of total advances, reflecting diversification strategy.

EEB Collection Efficiency (March) 98.2%
+70bps QoQ

Improved from 97.5% in Dec 2024, indicating gradual stabilization in microfinance portfolio.

Retail Term Deposit Growth 30%
+30% YoY

Strong growth in granular deposits, reducing reliance on bulk deposits to 31% of total.

EEB DPD Pool (SMA 0-2) INR 1,895 crore
-10.5% QoQ

Absolute reduction of INR 223 crore QoQ, now 3.4% of EEB advances vs 3.8% in Q3.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q3 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Advances growth of 15-17% over next 3 years

Targeting 15-17% year-over-year advances growth, with secured mix exceeding 55% by FY27.

NEW
ROA target of 1.8-1.9% over 2-3 years

Aiming for return on assets of 1.8-1.9% over the next 2-3 years, driven by better asset quality and operating leverage.

NEW
OpEx to asset ratio to increase 10-20bps over 2 years

Operating expenses to average assets ratio expected to rise by 10-20 basis points from current levels over the next two years due to investments.

UPDATED
Credit cost target of 1.5-1.6% over 2-3 years

Expect credit costs to improve from current elevated levels to 1.5-1.6% on a full-year basis over the next 2-3 years.

DROPPED
Secured mix target of 55%+ by FY27

Management aims to increase secured advances share from 49% to over 55% by FY27, with secured book growing 3x faster than EEB.

DROPPED
NIM to moderate further

CEO stated NIM will continue to moderate as the bank shifts to secured assets, but ROA target remains near 2% through volume growth and cost control.

DROPPED
EEB disbursements to be calibrated in Q4

Management indicated Q4 EEB disbursements will be moderated versus prior year, with focus on renewals for good-quality borrowers.

NEW RISK
Elevated MFI stress persists

Credit costs remain high at 3.9% due to continued stress in microfinance; management expects H1 FY26 to be challenging.

NEW RISK
Regional concentration in West Bengal

West Bengal accounts for 23% of advances and 40% of deposits; localized disruptions (e.g., Murshidabad) could impact collections.

NEW RISK
Recent vintages show higher NPAs

Analyst noted that loans disbursed in FY24 have NPA rates of 3.5-4%, raising concerns about underwriting quality.

RISK GONE
Elevated MFI slippages may persist

Despite SMA 0 improvement, SMA 1+2 buckets increased, and management expects Q4 slippages to remain substantial (though lower than Q3).

RISK GONE
Karnataka MFI ordinance impact

Analyst raised concern about potential Karnataka legislation; management downplayed risk given small exposure (INR 740 crore), but uncertainty remains.

RISK GONE
OpEx growth outpacing income growth

Adjusted OpEx grew 23% YoY, higher than NII growth of 12%, driven by technology investments and branch expansion, which may weigh on near-term efficiency.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Deposit growth higher than loan growth

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management expects overall loan book growth of 18-20% for FY25, with secured book growing faster than EEB.

Credit cost guidance of 2% ±20bps for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q2 FY25

Management expects full-year credit cost to remain within 1.8%-2% of advances, with Q3 potentially elevated but Q4 showing improvement.

Capital adequacy pressure from higher risk weights

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

Tier 1 ratio (including H1 profits) at ~14% is adequate for now, but rapid secured book growth and elevated credit costs could necessitate capital raise if stress persists.

CEO succession uncertainty

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

The bank is operating with an interim MD&CEO; the board has not yet submitted names to RBI, creating leadership uncertainty.

CGFMU audit outcome uncertainty

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

The pending CGFMU audit may not yield the expected positive result, potentially impacting recoveries and capital.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Advances growth of 15-17% over next 3 years

Targeting 15-17% year-over-year advances growth, with secured mix exceeding 55% by FY27.

Top risk Elevated MFI stress persists

Credit costs remain high at 3.9% due to continued stress in microfinance; management expects H1 FY26 to be challenging.

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