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BANDHANBNK Diversified 26 Apr 2024

Bandhan Bank Limited — Q4 FY24

Bandhan Bank reported a Q4 FY24 PAT of ₹55 crore, sharply down due to a ₹3,852 crore technical write-off on legacy microfinance loans, primarily from pre-2022 vintages.

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PAT ₹55 Cr
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Bandhan Bank reported a Q4 FY24 PAT of ₹55 crore, sharply down due to a ₹3,852 crore technical write-off on legacy microfinance loans, primarily from pre-2022 vintages. Excluding this, normalized PAT growth would have exceeded 30%. Net interest income grew 16% YoY to ₹2,866 crore, with NIM improving to 7.6% aided by lower slippages. Gross NPA fell to 3.8% from 7% QoQ after the write-off. Management guided for 17-20% loan growth in FY25, with credit costs normalizing to 1.8-2%. Key risks include the pending CGFMU audit outcome and CEO succession uncertainty.

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Quarter Snapshot

Gross NPA Ratio 3.8%
-320bps QoQ

Improved sharply after technical write-off of ₹3,852 crore in legacy EEB portfolio.

EEB SMA 0-2 Pool ₹1,260 crore
-34% QoQ

Reduced from ₹1,900 crore in Q3, reflecting improving asset quality in microfinance.

Gross Slippages ₹1,017 crore
-27% QoQ

Down from ₹1,394 crore in Q3; EEB slippages fell to ₹632 crore.

CASA Ratio 37.1%
+100bps QoQ

Improved from 36.1% in Q3, aided by deposit growth of 25% YoY.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY24 vs Q3 FY24
4 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Loan growth of 17-20% in FY25

Management expects total advances to grow 17-20% over the next 2-3 years, with EEB growing 14-15%.

NEW
Normalized credit cost of 1.8-2% in FY25

CFO guided for total portfolio credit cost between 1.8% and 2% in FY25, down from 3.4% in FY24.

NEW
Deposit growth to outpace advances growth

Bank aims for liability-first approach with deposits growing faster than assets to improve CD ratio.

NEW
CGFMU claim resolution expected in Q1 FY25

Management expects the pending CGFMU audit to conclude in Q1 FY25, with a positive outcome anticipated.

DROPPED
Secured assets to reach ~50% by FY26

Management expects secured portfolio share to increase from current 44.5% to nearly 50% by FY26.

DROPPED
NIM to remain in 7%-7.5% range near-term

Management guided NIM to stay around 7%-7.5% in the near term, with a strategic review in March.

DROPPED
ROA target of 2.5%-2.8% and ROE of 14%-18%

Medium-term guidance for ROA and ROE, with detailed three-year plan to be shared after February strategy meet.

NEW RISK
CEO succession risk

Founder MD & CEO Chandra Shekhar Ghosh is retiring on July 9, 2024, and a successor has not yet been identified, creating leadership uncertainty.

NEW RISK
Slippage normalization may be slower than expected

Despite improvement, slippages remain elevated at ₹1,017 crore; analysts questioned whether the run rate is truly sustainable.

NEW RISK
Operating expense pressure

OpEx grew 32% YoY in Q4 (23% adjusted for one-offs), and management expects cost-income ratio to remain elevated in FY25 due to investments.

RISK GONE
Margin compression from secured asset shift

As the bank increases secured asset share, yields may decline, potentially pressuring NIMs despite cost controls.

RISK GONE
Slippage run-rate uncertainty

Management expects INR 300-500 crore quarterly slippage addition, but this may vary if collection efficiency weakens.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Elevated slippages in microfinance book

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Despite DPD reduction, gross slippages remained high at INR 1,320 crore, with EEB contributing INR 1,000 crore. Management expects H2 improvement but past trends show elevated slippages in H2 as well.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Loan growth of 17-20% in FY25

Management expects total advances to grow 17-20% over the next 2-3 years, with EEB growing 14-15%.

Top risk CGFMU audit outcome uncertainty

The pending CGFMU audit may not yield the expected positive result, potentially impacting recoveries and capital.

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