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BAJAJ-AUTO Automobile 30 Oct 2025

Bajaj Auto Ltd — Q2 FY26

Bajaj Auto delivered a record quarter with revenue of ~INR 15,000 crore (+14% YoY), EBITDA of INR 3,000 crore (margin 20.5%), and PAT of INR 2,500 crore (+24% YoY).

bullish high
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Revenue ₹15,735 Cr +14%
EBITDA ₹3,000 Cr +15%
PAT ₹2,122 Cr +24%
EBITDA Margin 18% +20bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Bajaj Auto delivered a record quarter with revenue of ~INR 15,000 crore (+14% YoY), EBITDA of INR 3,000 crore (margin 20.5%), and PAT of INR 2,500 crore (+24% YoY). Growth was broad-based: exports surged 24% with 550k+ units, domestic motorcycles gained share in 125cc+ segment post-GST cut, and three-wheelers hit 1,445k units. EV portfolio (Chetak, e-auto, Yulu) contributed 18% of domestic revenue with double-digit EBITDA margins. Management expects industry growth of 6-8% in medium term, driven by premiumization and export momentum. Key risk: supply chain constraints in EV components could cap near-term market share gains.

Promises0 met · 3 missedRisks4 tracked
Research workspace

Focused Modules

Promises 3 promises

Promise Tracker

0 delivered, 0 close, 3 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Supply chain constraints in EV components

View Risks →

Quarter Snapshot

Exports Volume 550,000+ units
+24% YoY

Highest-ever quarterly exports volume, driven by broad-based growth across LATAM, Asia, and Africa.

Three-Wheeler Volume 1,445,000 units
All-time high

Record quarterly volume for three-wheelers, with ICE market share at 75% and EV constrained by supply.

Chetak Registrations Number 1 in October
Regained top spot

Chetak regained #1 registration position in October after supply chain recovery from magnet shortage.

Premium Motorcycles Volume 30,000+ units
+30% YoY

KTM and Triumph combined sold over 30k units, an all-time high, driven by new models and GST upgrade sentiment.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY26 vs Q1 FY26
4 new guidance4 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Exports growth target of 15-20%

Management expects sustained export momentum with 15-20% growth, emphasizing superior positions in better markets.

NEW
Industry motorcycle growth of 6-8% in medium term

Management expects the motorcycle industry to improve growth rates by 6-8 percentage points in the medium term, driven by GST cuts and festive sentiment.

NEW
Three-wheeler sales over 100,000 units per quarter

Management expects to maintain three-wheeler sales of over 100,000 units per quarter, driven by ICE and EV growth.

NEW
New Pulsar model launches in Dec, Mar, May

Management confirmed at least three new Pulsar model introductions in December, March, and May to strengthen the portfolio.

DROPPED
Export growth to continue at similar tempo

Management expects export growth to maintain the current quarter's pace, supported by KTM export resumption and strong emerging market demand.

DROPPED
EV supply to normalize by end of Q2

HRE magnet supply issue expected to be resolved by end of Q2, with complete de-risking of supply chain in 6-9 months.

DROPPED
Margins to trend back to FY25 average

EBITDA margins expected to recover towards FY25 average, aided by favorable currency and cost actions, partially offset by competitive investments.

DROPPED
Capex of INR 600-700 crore for FY26

Capital expenditure for the year expected to be INR 600-700 crore, split equally between EV capabilities and ICE innovation.

NEW RISK
Supply chain constraints in EV components

Chetak and e-auto faced 50% and 15% shortfall from plan due to rare earth magnet and e-component shortages, respectively.

NEW RISK
GST disparity on >350cc motorcycles

GST on >350cc models increased from 31% to 40%, creating a cost disadvantage vs sub-350cc models, impacting KTM and Triumph competitiveness.

NEW RISK
CNG motorcycle adoption slower than expected

CNG motorcycle demand slowed due to underfilling issues at pumps and limited network density, requiring go-to-market adjustments.

RISK GONE
HRE magnet supply disruption

Non-availability of HRE magnets has caused 50% production shortfall in Chetak and 25-30% in e-auto in Q2, potentially impacting EV growth and margins.

RISK GONE
Domestic motorcycle market share pressure

Bajaj lost ~2% sequential market share in 100cc segment due to competitive intensity, and overall motorcycle market share progression may be slow.

RISK GONE
Nigeria demand uncertainty

Nigeria, a key export market, remains weak due to currency devaluation and inflation, with no clear timeline for recovery.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Domestic market share erosion in 125cc+ segment

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25

Bajaj lost ~2% sequential market share in 100cc segment due to competitive intensity, and overall motorcycle market share progression may be slow.

Freedom 125 capacity ramp-up to 40,000 units/month by Q4 FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

Management plans to increase Freedom 125 production capacity to 30,000/month in Q3 and 40,000/month in Q4, driven by strong customer adoption.

Nigeria demand recovery remains weak

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q1 FY26

Nigeria, a key export market, remains weak due to currency devaluation and inflation, with no clear timeline for recovery.

Rare earth magnet supply disruption from China

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25

Non-availability of HRE magnets has caused 50% production shortfall in Chetak and 25-30% in e-auto in Q2, potentially impacting EV growth and margins.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Exports growth target of 15-20%

Management expects sustained export momentum with 15-20% growth, emphasizing superior positions in better markets.

Top risk Supply chain constraints in EV components

Chetak and e-auto faced 50% and 15% shortfall from plan due to rare earth magnet and e-component shortages, respectively.

View Risks →