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AUROPHARMA Diversified 11 Nov 2024

Aurobindo Pharma Limited — Q2 FY25

Aurobindo Pharma delivered a steady Q2 FY25 with revenue of INR 7,796 crore (+8% YoY) and EBITDA margin of 20.1%, despite higher R&D costs and penicillin G ramp-up losses.

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Revenue ₹7,796 Cr +8%
EBITDA ₹1,566 Cr
PAT ₹817 Cr +8.6%
EBITDA Margin 20.1%
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

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Aurobindo Pharma delivered a steady Q2 FY25 with revenue of INR 7,796 crore (+8% YoY) and EBITDA margin of 20.1%, despite higher R&D costs and penicillin G ramp-up losses. PAT grew 8.6% YoY to INR 817 crore. Growth was driven by strong volume expansion in US oral generics (+9% YoY to $289M) and robust Europe performance (+19% YoY in INR terms). The injectable business faced supply chain headwinds at Unit 3, but management expects normalization by Q4. Penicillin G is on track for breakeven by Q4 FY25. Management reiterated FY25 EBITDA margin guidance of 21%-22%, implying a stronger H2. Key risks include sustained high R&D spend for biosimilar trials and potential freight cost volatility from Red Sea disruptions.

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Quarter Snapshot

US Oral Generic Revenue $289M
+9% YoY

Driven by volume gains and new product launches; 14 products launched in Q2.

Europe Formulation Revenue (CC) EUR 229M
+16% YoY

Strong performance across key geographies; no one-offs according to management.

Global Injectable & Specialty Sales $121M
-11% YoY (US injectables)

Decline due to supply chain challenges at Unit 3; recovery expected by Q4.

Penicillin G Batches in Q2 35 batches
Ramping to 35-40/month

Commercial batches underway; breakeven targeted by Q4 FY25.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Penicillin G breakeven by Q4 FY25

Expect to achieve breakeven at the penicillin G facility by Q4 FY25, with positive contribution from FY26.

NEW
Global Eugia injectable sales ~$600M for FY25

Despite Q1/Q2 slowdown, management expects full-year injectable sales to be around $600M, with a possible 5% variance.

NEW
Biosimilar denosumab commercial in Europe by CY2026

Phase III recruitment completed; filing expected in 2025 with commercialization in Europe in 2026.

UPDATED
FY25 EBITDA margin target of 21%-22%

Management reiterated internal target for full-year EBITDA margin, implying H2 margins will be higher than H1.

DROPPED
Europe revenue to exceed EUR 880 million for FY25

Europe formulations on track to achieve EUR 880 million+ for FY25, with potential to reach EUR 900 million.

DROPPED
Pen-G plant ramp-up from October 2024

Pen-G plant expected to ramp up significantly from October 2024, with 80% capacity utilization targeted by Q3.

DROPPED
China plant commercialization from Q3 FY25

China plant expected to start commercial production from Q3 FY25, with ramp-up from Q4 FY25.

NEW RISK
Sustained high R&D spend

R&D costs jumped ~INR 70 crore in Q2 due to phase III biosimilar trials; management expects elevated spend for at least four more quarters.

NEW RISK
Freight cost volatility from Red Sea disruptions

Higher freight costs (~INR 30 crore impact) due to Red Sea issues; management expects normalization but uncertainty remains.

NEW RISK
Unit 3 injectable supply chain recovery timeline

Injectable sales declined 11% YoY due to voluntary production slowdown at Unit 3; full recovery expected only by Q4, with FDA reinspection likely in FY26 Q3.

RISK GONE
Pen-G ramp-up delays

Pen-G plant faced teething problems in Q1; any further delays could impact margin improvement expectations.

RISK GONE
Injectables remediation and FDA compliance

Eugia Unit III remediation cost $9M in Q1; Bhiwadi plant received OAI. Further regulatory actions could disrupt injectable sales.

RISK GONE
US price erosion and competition

Management expects current US pricing scenario to continue; low single-digit price erosion in injectables could pressure margins.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

China plant revenue generation from Q1/Q2 FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY24

China plant expected to start commercial production from Q3 FY25, with ramp-up from Q4 FY25.

Eugia Specialities global revenue of $560 million for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

On track to achieve $560 million globally for Eugia Specialities in FY24, driven by injectable growth.

PLI Pen-G ramp-up delays

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25

Pen-G plant faced teething problems in Q1; any further delays could impact margin improvement expectations.

US price erosion and competition

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24

Management expects current US pricing scenario to continue; low single-digit price erosion in injectables could pressure margins.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY25 EBITDA margin target of 21%-22%

Management reiterated internal target for full-year EBITDA margin, implying H2 margins will be higher than H1.

Top risk Sustained high R&D spend

R&D costs jumped ~INR 70 crore in Q2 due to phase III biosimilar trials; management expects elevated spend for at least four more quarters.

View Risks →