Aurobindo Pharma Management Guidance Tracker
44 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 11 quarters.
Margins
Management targets 18%+ EBITDA margin for FY24, excluding Revlimid contribution, supported by operating leverage and export benefit normalization.
Q2 FY2420%+ EBITDA margin target for FY24ActiveManagement targets full-year EBITDA margin above 20%, supported by gRevlimid launch and cost efficiencies.
Q3 FY24FY24 EBITDA margin target of 20%ActiveManagement reiterated confidence in achieving 20% EBITDA margin for FY24, supported by operational efficiencies and cost improvements.
Q4 FY24FY25 EBITDA margin target of 21%-22%TrackedManagement expects EBITDA margin to improve to 21%-22% in FY25, driven by operating leverage and ramp-up of new capacities.
Q1 FY25FY25 EBITDA margin target of 21%-22%ActiveManagement reiterated the internal EBITDA margin target of 21%-22% for FY25, with potential revision in Q2 call.
Q2 FY25FY25 EBITDA margin target of 21%-22%TrackedManagement reiterated internal target for full-year EBITDA margin, implying H2 margins will be higher than H1.
Q3 FY25FY25 EBITDA margin guidance of 21%-22%ActiveManagement reaffirmed achieving 21%-22% EBITDA margin for FY25, despite Q3 margin of 20.4%, citing stronger Q4 with increased transient sales and operational efficiencies.
Q4 FY25Maintain current EBITDA margins in FY26TrackedThe company internally aims to keep EBITDA margins at present levels (around 20.8%) for FY26.
Q1 FY26FY26 EBITDA margin target of 20-21%TrackedManagement reiterated internal target margin range of 20-21% for FY26, supported by volume expansion and new site ramp-up.
Q2 FY26FY26 EBITDA margin target of 20-21%ActiveManagement reiterated confidence in achieving internal margin target of 20-21% for FY26, driven by operational leverage and cost efficiency.
Q2 FY26China OSG facility EBITDA breakeven by Q3-Q4 FY26ActiveThe OSG facility in China is on track to deliver EBITDA breakeven by Q3-Q4 FY26, with European approval for 10 products and 3 local approvals.
Q3 FY26EBITDA margin target of 20-21% for FY26ActiveManagement expects to achieve EBITDA margins on the higher side of 20-21% for FY2026, driven by Pen G ramp-up, injectable growth, and cost efficiencies.
Revenue
Eugia aims to achieve $500M+ global revenue in FY24, up from $411M pro forma last year, excluding Revlimid.
Q2 FY24Eugia Specialities global revenue of $560 million for FY24TrackedOn track to achieve $560 million globally for Eugia Specialities in FY24, driven by injectable growth.
Q3 FY24China plant revenue generation from Q1/Q2 FY25TrackedThe China oral solids plant has received cGMP approval and is expected to start generating revenue from Q1 or Q2 of FY2025.
Q3 FY24Biosimilar Xolair revenue guidance of $120M-$180M by 2028TrackedManagement guided Xolair biosimilar revenue potential of $120M-$180M by 2028, assuming approvals in US and Europe.
Q4 FY24Eugia global revenue run rate of $150M per yearActiveEugia expects to maintain a global revenue run rate of $150 million per year, with US contributing $100-$110 million.
Q1 FY25Europe revenue to exceed EUR 880 million for FY25TrackedEurope formulations on track to achieve EUR 880 million+ for FY25, with potential to reach EUR 900 million.
Q2 FY25Global Eugia injectable sales ~$600M for FY25TrackedDespite Q1/Q2 slowdown, management expects full-year injectable sales to be around $600M, with a possible 5% variance.
Q3 FY25China plant to contribute from FY26TrackedThe China OSD plant (2B units capacity) commercialized in November 2024, expected to ramp up and contribute to revenues in FY26, initially supplying Europe.
Q4 FY25High single-digit revenue growth in FY26 excluding transient productsTrackedManagement expects revenue growth of 8-9% in FY26, excluding the contribution from transient products like Revlimid.
Q4 FY25China OSD plant to contribute revenues in FY26TrackedThe China plant, commercialized in FY25, is expected to contribute revenues in FY26 and turn breakeven or slightly positive.
Q1 FY26European business to cross €1B annual revenue by FY26 endTrackedManagement expects European formulations to exceed €1 billion in annual revenues by the end of FY26.
Q2 FY26Europe to exceed EUR 1 billion annual revenue by FY26 endTrackedEuropean business on track to comfortably surpass EUR 1 billion annual revenue milestone by end of FY26, driven by consistent growth across major markets.
Q3 FY26Dayton facility to contribute significantly from FY27TrackedThe Dayton facility has transitioned to commercial phase and will begin contributing revenues significantly from FY2027 onwards.
Capex
PLI facilities and investments targeted to be completed before 1st April 2024, with full ramp-up expected by mid-FY25.
Q2 FY24Pen-G plant commissioning by Q4 FY24ActivePen-G plant expected to be operational by end of Q4 FY24 or early Q1 FY25, with 15,000-ton capacity.
Growth
First oncology biosimilar launch in India expected this year, with multiple launches in regulated markets from FY25 onwards.
Q2 FY24Biosimilar filings in Europe by January 2024ActiveThree biosimilars (pegfilgrastim, filgrastim, trastuzumab) to be filed in Europe by end of January 2024.
Q4 FY24Pen-G and 6-APA meaningful contribution from Q3 FY25TrackedPen-G and 6-APA facilities will start meaningful contribution from Q3 FY25, with full ramp-up expected by September 2024.
Q1 FY25Pen-G plant ramp-up from October 2024ActivePen-G plant expected to ramp up significantly from October 2024, with 80% capacity utilization targeted by Q3.
Q2 FY25Penicillin G breakeven by Q4 FY25ActiveExpect to achieve breakeven at the penicillin G facility by Q4 FY25, with positive contribution from FY26.
Q2 FY25Biosimilar denosumab commercial in Europe by CY2026TrackedPhase III recruitment completed; filing expected in 2025 with commercialization in Europe in 2026.
Q3 FY25Biosimilar launches in EU from July 2025TrackedFollowing positive CHMP opinions, Filgrastim and Pegfilgrastim expected to launch in EU in Q2 FY26, with revenue bookings starting from that quarter.
Q1 FY26China facility to break even at EBITDA by Q3 FY26ActiveThe China facility, with initial capacity of 2 billion+ units, is expected to break even at EBITDA level by Q3 FY26.
Q1 FY26PNG plant to generate healthy EBITDA from Q3 FY26ActiveThe PNG plant resumed operations and is expected to generate healthy EBITDA from Q3 onwards as yields improve.
Q2 FY26Biosimilar denosumab EU submission in April 2026TrackedMarketing authorization application for denosumab biosimilar to be submitted to EMA in April 2026; FDA submission expected in July quarter of 2026.
Q3 FY26Pen G production to exceed 10,000 metric tons annualized in next 12 monthsActiveBased on current production levels, the company expects to produce more than 10,000 metric tons on an annualized basis over the next 12 months.
Other
Ai Strategy
Expansion
China plant expected to start commercial production from Q3 FY25, with ramp-up from Q4 FY25.
Q3 FY25Dayton OSD plant commercialization in next fiscalTrackedThe US-based OSD plant at Dayton is expected to be commercialized in FY26, adding capacity for the US market.
Q4 FY25US Dayton OSD plant commercialization in Q2 FY26ActiveThe US-based OSD plant at Dayton is expected to commence commercial manufacturing in Q2 of FY26.
Q3 FY26Lannett acquisition expected to close in Q1 FY27ActiveThe acquisition is progressing well with FTC; expected to close in the first quarter of FY2027.