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AUROPHARMA Diversified 09 Nov 2023

Aurobindo Pharma Limited — Q2 FY24

Aurobindo Pharma delivered a strong Q2 FY24 with revenue of INR 7,219 crore (+25.8% YoY), EBITDA of INR 1,403 crore (+67.7% YoY), and PAT of INR 752 crore (+83.6% YoY).

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Revenue ₹7,219 Cr +25.8%
EBITDA ₹1,403 Cr +67.7%
PAT ₹752 Cr +83.6%
EBITDA Margin 19.4% +260bps
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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Aurobindo Pharma delivered a strong Q2 FY24 with revenue of INR 7,219 crore (+25.8% YoY), EBITDA of INR 1,403 crore (+67.7% YoY), and PAT of INR 752 crore (+83.6% YoY). EBITDA margin expanded to 19.4% (+260 bps YoY), driven by volume gains, stable pricing, and cost efficiencies. US formulations grew 35.7% YoY (ex-Puerto Rico), supported by new launches and neutral price erosion. The company launched gRevlimid in October and targets 20%+ EBITDA margin for FY24. Key growth drivers include injectable scale-up, Pen-G plant commissioning by Q4, and biosimilar filings in Europe. Risks include potential price erosion in US generics and execution delays in new plant ramp-ups.

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Price erosion in US generics

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Quarter Snapshot

US Formulation Revenue (ex-Puerto Rico) INR 3,385 crore
+35.7% YoY

Driven by volume gains, stable demand, and new product launches in oral solids and injectables.

Eugia Injectables Revenue (Global) $127 million
+64.2% YoY

Improved volumes and new launches; base business stabilized at $120M+ per quarter.

ANDAs Filed (Cumulative) 817
+10 filings in Q2

628 final approvals; 36 injectable ANDAs pending. Pipeline supports future launches.

R&D Spend INR 300 crore
4.2% of revenue

Lower due to completion of clinical trials; expected to rise to INR 350-400 crore in Q3.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Pen-G plant commissioning by Q4 FY24

Pen-G plant expected to be operational by end of Q4 FY24 or early Q1 FY25, with 15,000-ton capacity.

NEW
Biosimilar filings in Europe by January 2024

Three biosimilars (pegfilgrastim, filgrastim, trastuzumab) to be filed in Europe by end of January 2024.

UPDATED
20%+ EBITDA margin target for FY24

Management targets full-year EBITDA margin above 20%, supported by gRevlimid launch and cost efficiencies.

UPDATED
Eugia Specialities global revenue of $560 million for FY24

On track to achieve $560 million globally for Eugia Specialities in FY24, driven by injectable growth.

DROPPED
PLI Pen-G facility completion by April 2024

PLI facilities and investments targeted to be completed before 1st April 2024, with full ramp-up expected by mid-FY25.

DROPPED
Biosimilar launches starting FY25

First oncology biosimilar launch in India expected this year, with multiple launches in regulated markets from FY25 onwards.

NEW RISK
Price erosion in US generics

While current price erosion is neutral, increased competition could pressure margins in oral solids and injectables.

NEW RISK
Execution risk in new plant ramp-ups

Pen-G, China, and biosimilar plants face commissioning delays; revenue contribution may shift to FY26.

NEW RISK
Depreciation and impairment charges

Higher depreciation due to impairment provisions may persist, impacting reported profitability.

NEW RISK
Dependence on gRevlimid for margin target

Analyst questioned if 20% margin guidance includes gRevlimid; management confirmed, but any volume/pricing shortfall could miss target.

RISK GONE
US pricing erosion may resume

While pricing has stabilized recently, any reversal could pressure US margins and revenue growth.

RISK GONE
Revlimid launch volume uncertainty

As a late entrant, Aurobindo's Revlimid volume share is expected to be lower than early entrants, limiting upside.

RISK GONE
PLI Pen-G ramp-up delays

Management acknowledged that full ramp-up of Pen-G capacity may take time, with clarity only expected by February 2024.

RISK GONE
Biosimilar revenue visibility low

Management declined to provide revenue projections for biosimilars, citing evolving market dynamics, indicating high uncertainty.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance 20%+ EBITDA margin target for FY24

Management targets full-year EBITDA margin above 20%, supported by gRevlimid launch and cost efficiencies.

Top risk Price erosion in US generics

While current price erosion is neutral, increased competition could pressure margins in oral solids and injectables.

View Risks →