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AJANTPHARM Diversified 30 Jan 2024

Ajanta Pharma Limited — Q3 FY24

Ajanta Pharma reported a strong Q3 FY24 with consolidated revenue of INR 1,105 crore, up 14% YoY, driven by broad-based growth across branded generics.

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Revenue ₹1,105 Cr +14%
EBITDA ₹314 Cr
PAT ₹210 Cr
EBITDA Margin 28%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

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2-Minute Summary

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Ajanta Pharma reported a strong Q3 FY24 with consolidated revenue of INR 1,105 crore, up 14% YoY, driven by broad-based growth across branded generics. EBITDA margin held steady at 28%, supported by improved gross margins and lower logistics costs. PAT surged to INR 210 crore from INR 135 crore a year ago. The India business grew 5% (9M: 11%), outpacing IPM by 200 bps, while Asia branded grew 28% (aided by spillover) and Africa institutional jumped 179%. US generics declined 5% due to a high base from last year's flu season. Management guided for FY24 EBITDA margin of 27% ±1%, factoring in Red Sea freight headwinds and higher Q4 expenses. Key risks include US price erosion and unpredictable institutional business. Overall, the company is well-positioned with a strong balance sheet, consistent cash generation, and a disciplined capital allocation policy.

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Quarter Snapshot

India Business Growth (9M) 11%
+11% YoY

India business grew 11% in 9M FY24, outpacing IPM growth of 10%.

Asia Branded Growth (Q3) 28%
+28% YoY

Asia branded sales grew 28% in Q3, partly due to spillover from Q2.

US Generics Growth (9M) 11%
+11% YoY

US generics grew 11% in 9M, with price erosion stabilizing at high single digits.

Africa Institutional Growth (Q3) 179%
+179% YoY

Africa institutional sales surged 179% in Q3 due to order postponement from Q4.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
India business to grow low double digits in FY24

India business expected to grow 12-13% for full year FY24, with Q4 aspiration to cross 15%.

NEW
Asia branded to grow low teens in FY24

Asia branded business expected to grow low double digits for full year FY24.

NEW
Africa branded to grow mid to high single digits in FY24

Africa branded business expected to grow mid to high single digits for full year FY24.

UPDATED
FY24 EBITDA margin guidance revised to 27% ±1%

Management revised full-year EBITDA margin guidance to 27% ±1%, down from 28% in 9M, due to higher freight costs from Red Sea crisis and increased Q4 expenses.

DROPPED
Asia branded business to deliver low-teens growth in FY24

Despite an 8% decline in Q2, management expects Asia branded business to post low-teens growth for the full year, driven by recovery in H2.

DROPPED
Africa branded business to deliver low-teens growth in FY24

Africa branded business is expected to bounce back and deliver low-teens growth for FY24, after a flattish H1.

DROPPED
US revenues to sustain at similar levels for next two quarters

Management expects US generics revenue to remain at Q2 levels for the next two quarters, factoring in new launches and market share changes.

NEW RISK
Red Sea crisis impacting freight costs and transit times

Freight costs may increase by ~0.5% of revenue (~INR 30-35 crore) and transit times by 15-20 days, potentially pressuring margins and working capital.

NEW RISK
Unpredictability of Africa institutional business

Institutional business is lumpy and dependent on agency funding and malaria season, making it difficult to forecast.

NEW RISK
NLEM price revisions impacting India cardiology growth

Cardiology growth was lower than IPM due to price revision in a major product in December 2022, and competitive intensity has increased.

RISK GONE
Asia branded business decline due to shipment push-outs

Asia branded sales declined 8% YoY in Q2 due to supplies pushed to next quarter; recovery depends on execution.

RISK GONE
Africa market slowdown may persist

Africa branded business saw a slowdown in the market over the last 4-5 months; growth recovery is uncertain.

RISK GONE
Chantix launch timing uncertain

Chantix launch is delayed to Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25; any further delay could impact US revenue expectations.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Chantix launch timing uncertain

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Chantix launch is delayed to Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25; any further delay could impact US revenue expectations.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY24 EBITDA margin guidance revised to 27% ±1%

Management revised full-year EBITDA margin guidance to 27% ±1%, down from 28% in 9M, due to higher freight costs from Red Sea crisis and increased...

Top risk Red Sea crisis impacting freight costs and transit times

Freight costs may increase by ~0.5% of revenue (~INR 30-35 crore) and transit times by 15-20 days, potentially pressuring margins and working capital.

View Risks →