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AJANTPHARM Diversified 10 Nov 2023

Ajanta Pharma Limited — Q2 FY24

Ajanta Pharma delivered a solid Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue of INR 1,028 crore (+10% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 291 crore (+48% YoY), driven by strong US generics growth (+28% YoY) and margin expansion from lower logistics costs and favorable forex.

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Revenue ₹1,028 Cr +10%
EBITDA ₹291 Cr +48%
PAT ₹195 Cr +24%
EBITDA Margin 28%
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2-Minute Summary

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Ajanta Pharma delivered a solid Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue of INR 1,028 crore (+10% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 291 crore (+48% YoY), driven by strong US generics growth (+28% YoY) and margin expansion from lower logistics costs and favorable forex. India branded business grew 13% YoY, outpacing IPM by 400 bps. Management guided for low-teens growth in Asia and Africa branded businesses for FY24, and US revenues to sustain at similar levels for the next two quarters. EBITDA margin guidance was upgraded to ~26% for FY24. Key risk: Asia branded business saw an 8% YoY decline due to shipment push-outs, though recovery is expected in H2.

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Asia branded business decline due to shipment push-outs

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Quarter Snapshot

US Generics Revenue Growth INR 237 crore
+28% YoY

US generics posted robust growth of 28% YoY in Q2, driven by market stabilization and new launches.

India Business Growth vs IPM 14% vs 10%
+400 bps

India branded business grew 14% YoY, outpacing IPM growth of 10% as per IQVIA MAT Sep 2023.

Gross Margin 75%
in line with guidance

Gross margin remained at 75%, supported by favorable API prices and euro normalization.

ANDAs Filed (H1) 5
expect 3 more in H2

Filed 5 ANDAs in H1; expects to file ~3 more in H2, maintaining a steady pipeline.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped2 new risk1 risk resolved
NEW
Asia branded business to deliver low-teens growth in FY24

Despite an 8% decline in Q2, management expects Asia branded business to post low-teens growth for the full year, driven by recovery in H2.

NEW
Africa branded business to deliver low-teens growth in FY24

Africa branded business is expected to bounce back and deliver low-teens growth for FY24, after a flattish H1.

NEW
US revenues to sustain at similar levels for next two quarters

Management expects US generics revenue to remain at Q2 levels for the next two quarters, factoring in new launches and market share changes.

UPDATED
FY24 EBITDA margin guidance upgraded to ~26%

Management expects EBITDA margin of around 26% for FY24, up from earlier guidance of 25%, due to improved gross margins and lower logistics costs.

DROPPED
Mid-teen revenue growth for FY24

Management expects mid-teen percentage growth for the full year across branded generics and US generics.

DROPPED
US generics revenue similar level in next three quarters

US generics revenue expected to remain at similar levels as Q1 (₹213 crore) for the next three quarters.

DROPPED
CapEx of ₹200 crore for FY24

Capital expenditure for FY24 estimated at ₹200 crore, including maintenance and new corporate house CapEx.

NEW RISK
Asia branded business decline due to shipment push-outs

Asia branded sales declined 8% YoY in Q2 due to supplies pushed to next quarter; recovery depends on execution.

NEW RISK
Africa market slowdown may persist

Africa branded business saw a slowdown in the market over the last 4-5 months; growth recovery is uncertain.

RISK GONE
Africa institutional business volatility

Africa institutional (anti-malarial) sales declined 16% YoY due to unpredictable procurement agency funding.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY24 EBITDA margin guidance upgraded to ~26%

Management expects EBITDA margin of around 26% for FY24, up from earlier guidance of 25%, due to improved gross margins and lower logistics costs.

Top risk Asia branded business decline due to shipment push-outs

Asia branded sales declined 8% YoY in Q2 due to supplies pushed to next quarter; recovery depends on execution.

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