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ABCAPITAL Diversified 27 Oct 2023

Aditya Birla Capital Limited — Q2 FY24

Aditya Birla Capital delivered a strong Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue up 22% YoY to INR 8,831 crore and PAT up 44% YoY to INR 705 crore.

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Revenue ₹8,831 Cr +22%
EBITDA
PAT ₹705 Cr +44%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

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2-Minute Summary

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Aditya Birla Capital delivered a strong Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue up 22% YoY to INR 8,831 crore and PAT up 44% YoY to INR 705 crore. The lending portfolio grew 41% YoY to INR 109,000 crore, driven by NBFC and HFC disbursement growth of 32% and 52% YoY respectively. Asset quality improved with NBFC gross stage 3 at 2.64% and HFC at 2.60%. The digital B2B platform Udyog Plus crossed 164,000 registrations. Life insurance VNB margins expanded 195 bps YoY to 14.2% in H1. Management guided for NBFC book doubling in three years with ROA improving to 3%, and life insurance VNB margins of 23%+ for FY24. Key risk: potential stress in small-ticket unsecured consumer loans, though management is proactively tightening underwriting and monitoring leverage.

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Risk Intelligence

Stress in small-ticket unsecured consumer loans

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Quarter Snapshot

NBFC AUM Growth INR 93,522 crore
+44% YoY

NBFC loan portfolio grew 44% YoY to INR 93,522 crore, driven by retail and SME segment growth of 49% YoY.

HFC Disbursements INR 1,882 crore
+52% YoY

Housing finance disbursements grew 52% YoY, with loan portfolio crossing INR 15,000 crore.

Life Insurance VNB Margin (H1) 14.2%
+195 bps YoY

Net VNB margin expanded 195 bps YoY to 14.2% in H1 FY24, driven by product mix and proprietary channel growth.

Udyog Plus Registrations 164,000+
N/A (new platform)

B2B MSME platform Udyog Plus crossed 164,000 registrations within six months of launch, with monthly run-rate disbursement of INR 50 crore.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
1 new guidance2 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Health insurance combined ratio to normalize in Q3

Mayank Bathwal expects combined ratio to normalize in Q3 FY24 as seasonality effects from group business growth subside.

UPDATED
NBFC book to double in three years, ROA to 3%

Management reiterated guidance to double NBFC loan book in three years and improve ROA to 3% through product mix shift and margin improvement.

UPDATED
Life insurance VNB margin of 23%+ for FY24

Kamlesh Rao guided for net VNB margin of 23%+ for full year FY24, consistent with last year's exit margin.

DROPPED
NBFC NIM expansion to 7.5% in 2-3 years

NBFC net interest margin is targeted to reach 7.5% over the next 2-3 years, driven by product mix shift towards retail and SME.

DROPPED
Housing finance NIM range of 4.7%-5%

Housing finance NIM is expected to remain range-bound between 4.7% and 5% as cost of borrowings may increase.

NEW RISK
Stress in small-ticket unsecured consumer loans

Industry-wide concerns about rising delinquencies in sub-INR 50,000 loans, though management reports stable portfolio with proactive tightening.

NEW RISK
Competition compressing housing finance yields

HFC yields declined sequentially due to competitive pressure and lag in cost of funds pass-through, though management expects stabilization.

NEW RISK
Dependence on bank partnerships for life insurance growth

Largest bank partner degrew due to strategic shift to subsidiary, partially offset by new bank tie-ups; execution risk remains.

RISK GONE
Rising unsecured loan exposure

Personal and consumer loans now constitute 20% of NBFC AUM and 36% of disbursements, with potential asset quality risks if economic conditions weaken.

RISK GONE
FLDG implementation uncertainty

Management is evaluating FLDG arrangements with digital partners, but current credit costs sit on the balance sheet; any adverse regulatory changes could impact profitability.

RISK GONE
Health insurance combined ratio remains high

Health insurance combined ratio stood at 117% in Q1, indicating underwriting losses, though management expects normalization in coming quarters.

RISK GONE
Housing finance cost-to-income spike

Housing finance operating expenses rose sharply due to technology investments, with cost-to-asset at peak levels; operating leverage may take time to materialize.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance NBFC book to double in three years, ROA to 3%

Management reiterated guidance to double NBFC loan book in three years and improve ROA to 3% through product mix shift and margin improvement.

Top risk Stress in small-ticket unsecured consumer loans

Industry-wide concerns about rising delinquencies in sub-INR 50,000 loans, though management reports stable portfolio with proactive tightening.

View Risks →