Tech Mahindra FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹51,995 Cr revenue · ₹2,394 Cr PAT · 2.5% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
Telcos continue to tighten budgets on both CapEx and OpEx, with discretionary spend cuts and project delays persisting.
Q1 FY24 · highSeveral large deals in CME vertical have been pushed out, impacting near-term revenue visibility.
Q2 FY24 · highTelecom vertical (37% of revenue) continues to decline with no near-term recovery expected, as 5G spending remains slow.
Q2 FY24 · highTop 5 client revenues have declined ~30% over six quarters due to wallet share loss and non-core business exits.
Q3 FY24 · highManagement acknowledged telecom has not bottomed out and expects volatility for at least two more quarters, posing a risk to revenue recovery.
Q4 FY24 · highAchieving 15% EBIT margin by FY27 requires consistent execution of Project Fortius and pyramid restructuring, which may face delays.
Q1 FY24 · mediumSome margin levers like juniorization require revenue growth to be effective; without growth, margin improvement may be limited.
Q2 FY24 · mediumExceptional items of 260bps impacted Q2 margins; further one-time costs may arise in Q3 from portfolio rationalization.
Q2 FY24 · mediumDespite healthy pipeline, deal closures are taking longer, which could delay revenue recovery.
Q3 FY24 · mediumCEO indicated that if forced to choose, they would prioritize margins over growth, which could constrain top-line expansion in the near term.
Q3 FY24 · mediumThe three-track plan involves significant organizational changes and investments; success depends on execution, which is unproven under new leadership.
Q4 FY24 · mediumCommunications vertical remains under pressure; recovery may be slower than expected, impacting overall growth.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · Subcontracting cost target below 10% of revenue
Management aims to reduce subcontracting costs from current 14% to below 10% of revenue over the next few quarters.
Q1 FY24 · H2 recovery expected with gradual improvement
Management expects first half to be tough but second half to see recovery, driven by deal closures and cost actions.
Q1 FY24 · Offshoring improvement of 3-4% headroom
Management sees potential to improve offshoring mix by 3-4% in the medium term, which would boost margins.
Q2 FY24 · Rationalization actions to continue in Q3 FY24
Management intends to complete portfolio rationalization by Q3, with one-time costs expected to normalize margins by Q4.
Q2 FY24 · Medium-term margin and revenue plans to be shared in April 2024
New CEO Mohit Joshi will present detailed plans for margins, revenue, and organization structure in April 2024.
Q2 FY24 · New organization structure effective January 1, 2024
Six strategic business units will be created to improve client intimacy and operational efficiency.
Q3 FY24 · Telecom sector not bottomed out; volatility expected for next couple of quarters
Management sees continued stress in telecom with no immediate recovery, though the worst of the decline is likely behind.
Q3 FY24 · Normalized EBIT margin of 7% is the bottom operationally
CFO stated that 7% EBIT (adjusted) is the operational bottom, with potential for improvement from Q4 onwards, excluding impairment charges.
Q3 FY24 · Detailed strategic plan to be shared in April extended earnings call
Management will provide a multi-year turnaround plan including revenue, margin, and investment timelines in the next quarterly call.
Q3 FY24 · Target to train 100% of IT talent in AI by FY25
COO stated plan to train all IT professionals in AI/GenAI capabilities over the next fiscal year.
Q4 FY24 · FY27 EBIT margin target of 15%+
Management targets exceeding 15% EBIT margins by FY27 through Project Fortius and operational improvements.
Q4 FY24 · Above-peer average revenue growth by FY27
Revenue growth to exceed peer average by FY27, with FY25 as a turnaround year and gradual acceleration.
Q4 FY24 · Project Fortius annual savings of $250M
Average annual savings of $250 million over three years from cost optimization initiatives.
Q4 FY24 · Capital allocation: 85% FCF distribution
Board approved policy to distribute at least 85% of free cash flow over five years via dividends or buybacks.