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TATACONSUM Diversified 30 Apr 2024

Tata Consumer Products — Q4 FY24

Tata Consumer Products reported a solid Q4 FY24 with consolidated revenue up 9% YoY to INR 3,927 crore, driven by India Foods (up 20% including Capital Foods) and International Business (up 7%).

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Revenue ₹3,927 Cr +9%
EBITDA +22%
PAT ₹212 Cr
EBITDA Margin 15.3% +170bps
Duration
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Tata Consumer Products reported a solid Q4 FY24 with consolidated revenue up 9% YoY to INR 3,927 crore, driven by India Foods (up 20% including Capital Foods) and International Business (up 7%). EBITDA grew 22% with margin expansion of 170 bps to 15.3%, aided by international restructuring benefits and cost synergies. India Beverages volumes were flat, but coffee grew 45% in Q4. Growth businesses (NourishCo, Soulfull, Capital Foods) continued strong momentum, growing 40% for the full year. Management guided for mid-single-digit volume growth in tea and continued margin accretion from international operations. Key risks include coffee price volatility impacting US margins and delayed summer affecting NourishCo's seasonal sales. The integration of Capital Foods and Organic India is on track for 100-day completion, with EPS accretion expected by FY27.

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Coffee price volatility impacting US margins

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Quarter Snapshot

India Foods Volume Growth (like-for-like) 4%
+4pp YoY

Volume growth in India Foods excluding Capital Foods, driven primarily by salt.

Salt Market Share 40%
+50bps YoY

Salt market share improved to ~40% on a MAT basis, up 50 bps from last year.

Innovation to Sales Ratio 5.1%
+1.7pp YoY

Innovation to sales ratio improved from 3.4% to 5.1%, now in top quartile of FMCG industry.

NourishCo Distribution Reach 950k outlets
+46% YoY

NourishCo expanded outlet reach from 650k to 950k, a 50% increase, but still only 15-20% of universe.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY24 vs Q3 FY24
1 new guidance2 dropped2 new risk1 risk resolved
NEW
Rights issue to conclude by early Q2 FY25

The rights issue process is on track and expected to conclude by early Q2 FY25.

UPDATED
Growth businesses to be 30% of India portfolio growing at 30%

With Capital Foods and Organic India, growth businesses (NourishCo, Soulfull, etc.) are expected to account for 30% of India revenue and grow at 30%.

UPDATED
Capital Foods integration in 100 days

Capital Foods acquisition closed Feb 1, integration targeted for completion by end of April (100 days). 95% of distributors already billing.

UPDATED
Organic India integration in 100 days

Organic India acquisition closed April 16, integration targeted for completion in 100 days.

DROPPED
NourishCo to achieve INR 900-1,000 crore revenue in FY24

Management remains confident of delivering INR 900-1,000 crore for NourishCo in FY24, despite Q3 being seasonally weak.

DROPPED
International margins to be accretive to India business

Management expects international business margins to improve and become accretive to overall margins, with U.S. showing progress in 6-12 months.

NEW RISK
NourishCo growth slowdown due to seasonality

NourishCo missed its INR 900-1000 crore guidance, ending at INR 825 crore, partly due to delayed summer. Size may become a growth constraint.

NEW RISK
Tea market share loss may be understated

Management disputes Nielsen data showing 7% industry growth, claiming they haven't lost share. If competitive data confirms loss, tea volumes could remain soft.

RISK GONE
Portfolio complexity from multiple brands

Analyst raised concern about overlapping brands (e.g., Sonnets vs Sampann, Himalayan vs Sonnets honey) potentially causing confusion and bandwidth drag.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

NourishCo aspirational target of INR 1,000 crore for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management remains confident of delivering INR 900-1,000 crore for NourishCo in FY24, despite Q3 being seasonally weak.

Tata Coffee integration expected to complete this fiscal year

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management expects to complete the merger of Tata Coffee business within the current financial year, pending NCLT approvals.

U.S. coffee category softness and price volatility

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

The U.S. coffee category is under demand pressure, and coffee prices remain volatile, impacting the branded coffee business.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Growth businesses to be 30% of India portfolio growing at 30%

With Capital Foods and Organic India, growth businesses (NourishCo, Soulfull, etc.) are expected to account for 30% of India revenue and grow at 30%.

Top risk Coffee price volatility impacting US margins

Rising Robusta and Arabica prices could pressure US coffee margins if not passed through quickly.

View Risks →