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TATA CONSUMER PRODUCTS Management Guidance Tracker

43 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 11 quarters.

Revenue

Growth

Q2 FY24Tata Sampann long-term growth of 30%Tracked

Management reiterated the long-term aspiration of 30% growth for Tata Sampann, though Q2 exceeded this at 47%.

Q2 FY24Innovation contribution of 5% for full yearTracked

Innovation contributed 5.5% in Q2, and management guided for a full-year innovation contribution of 5%.

Q3 FY24Growth businesses contribution to reach 30% growing at 30%Tracked

With the addition of Capital Foods and Organic India, management targets growth businesses to contribute 30% of India business, growing at 30%.

Q4 FY24Growth businesses to be 30% of India portfolio growing at 30%Tracked

With Capital Foods and Organic India, growth businesses (NourishCo, Soulfull, etc.) are expected to account for 30% of India revenue and grow at 30%.

Q1 FY25Growth businesses to reach 30% of India portfolioTracked

Management reiterated commitment to grow the growth businesses (including acquisitions) from 20% to 30% of the India portfolio, with these businesses growing at 30% CAGR.

Q2 FY25NourishCo to return to 25-30% growth by end of Q3 FY25Active

After re-indexing pricing on Tata Gluco+, management expects the ready-to-drink business to resume its normative growth trajectory by the end of the current quarter.

Q2 FY25Innovation to sales ratio to exceed 5% for full year FY25Tracked

The company is on track to deliver innovation as a percentage of sales above 5% for the full year, with Q2 at 4.1%.

Q3 FY25Capital Foods and Organic India acceleration in Q4Active

After stabilization, focus shifts to accelerating growth with innovation and expansion into food services and pharma channels, expecting a substantial jump in Q4.

Q3 FY25Growth businesses to contribute 30% of portfolioTracked

Target for growth businesses (Sampann, Soulfull, etc.) to grow at 30% and contribute 30% of portfolio; currently at 27% contribution with 89% growth.

Q4 FY25Growth businesses to grow at 30% CAGRTracked

Sampann, Soulful, and other growth businesses are expected to continue growing at ~30% annually, maintaining their 30% revenue contribution target.

Q1 FY26Growth businesses to grow 30% from Q2 onwardsActive

NourishCo, Capital Foods, and Organic India are expected to return to 30%+ growth from Q2 FY26.

Q2 FY26Growth businesses to continue 30% growth trajectoryActive

The 30% of portfolio growing at 30% is expected to sustain in the near term, driven by low penetration and distribution expansion.

Q3 FY26Growth businesses to continue 30% growth trajectoryActive

Management expects growth businesses (Sampann, RTD, etc.) to maintain around 30% growth, though quarterly variations may occur.

Q4 FY26A&P spend to normalize to 7.5-8.5% of salesActive

Advertising and promotion spend will be in the 7.5-8.5% range going forward, up from 6.7% in FY26.

Q4 FY26Growth businesses to sustain ~30% growthActive

Growth businesses (Sampann, NourishCo, Capital Foods, Organic India) expected to continue growing at around 30% in the near term.

Other

Expansion

Margins

Q3 FY24International margins to be accretive to India businessTracked

Management expects international business margins to improve and become accretive to overall margins, with U.S. showing progress in 6-12 months.

Q2 FY25Structural margin improvement over the long termTracked

Management reiterated commitment to improving EBITDA margins year-on-year, supported by new acquisitions and operating leverage, though near-term tea cost volatility is a watch-out.

Q3 FY25Tea margin pressure to ease from Q4 FY25Active

Management expects Q3 to be the peak of tea margin pressure, with gradual improvement as price hikes flow through and new crop arrives in Q1 FY26.

Q4 FY25EBITDA margin recovery to ~16% by Q2/Q3 FY26Tracked

Management expects EBITDA margins to normalize to ~16% as tea costs soften with a normal crop, with recovery starting by end of Q2 FY26.

Q1 FY26EBITDA margin of 16% by Q3 FY26Tracked

Management expects consolidated EBITDA margin to reach 16% by Q3 as lower-cost tea inventory flows in.

Q2 FY26Consolidated EBITDA margin target of ~15% by Q4 FY26Tracked

Management expects to reach ~15% EBITDA margin by Q4, implying 130-160 bps expansion from current 13.6%, barring coffee cost headwinds.

Q2 FY26India tea gross margin to remain in 34%-36% rangeActive

Tea gross margins will be maintained at 34%-36% to balance profitability and market share; pricing adjustments will be made as needed.

Q3 FY26EBITDA margin target of 14.5-15% by Q4 FY26Active

Management expects to exit Q4 with EBITDA margins in the 14.5-15% range, driven by scale and portfolio mix.

Q3 FY26Long-term EBITDA margin aspiration of 17%+Tracked

Over the longer term, management targets EBITDA margins above 17% for the India foods business.

Q3 FY26International margins to normalize in one quarterActive

US coffee price increases have been passed on; margins expected to normalize in about one quarter.

Q4 FY2650-75 bps EBITDA margin expansion in FY27Tracked

Full-year EBITDA margin expected to expand by 50-75 basis points over FY26, despite A&P normalization.

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