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Reliance FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹9,64,693 Cr revenue · ₹81,309 Cr PAT · 8.5% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹9,64,693 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹81,309 Cr
Average margin: 8.5%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹2,31,784 Cr₹17,445 Cr17.0%neutral
Q2 FY25₹2,31,535 Cr₹19,323 Cr17.0%neutral
Q3 FY25₹2,39,986 Cr₹21,930 Crbullish
Q4 FY25₹2,61,388 Cr₹22,611 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Capex to remain below cash profits

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
Tariff hike benefits from July 2024

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
CBM production ramp-up

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q2 FY25
close
Retail margin improvement focus

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Jio AirFiber to add 1 million homes per month

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
JioAI Cloud beta launch imminent

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Jio ARPU growth to sustain

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
Retail to show healthy sequential growth

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
Jio AI Cloud and Cloud PC launch

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY25 · high

Global refining margins remain weak due to new capacity and muted demand; gasoline cracks down 30% YoY.

Q2 FY25 · high

Fuel cracks and petrochemical deltas remain under pressure due to weak demand and new supply, potentially impacting O2C earnings further.

Q3 FY25 · high

Refining and petrochemical margins remain under pressure from global capacity additions and weak demand; management highlighted 30-70% margin declines over five years.

Q4 FY25 · high

Global refining cracks and petrochemical margins remain near 15-20 year lows due to Chinese capacity additions and weak demand; management noted continued pressure.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Fashion and lifestyle segment saw tepid demand; analyst raised concern about consumer spending weakness.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Red Sea tensions and Middle East instability could impact freight and supply chains, affecting O2C margins.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Fashion and lifestyle segment weakness persisted; management's expectation of normalization in 2-3 quarters may be delayed if consumer sentiment remains weak.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Subscriber base declined by 10.9 million in Q2; while management calls it lower than historical churn, further erosion could pressure revenue.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Analyst question on sustainability of festive demand; management expressed confidence but noted potential headwinds from inflation and competition.

Q3 FY25 · medium

After a weak quarter, net additions recovered to 3.3M; management attributed to tariff hike and 5G migration, but competitive intensity remains.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Analyst questioned why Jio's ARPU is 15% lower than Bharti Airtel; management attributed it to non-comparable bases but acknowledged tariff plans are 7-10% lower.

Q4 FY25 · medium

JioStar reported only 3% EBITDA margin; analyst questioned when margins would catch up to peers; management gave no specific timeline.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · Tariff hike benefits from July 2024

Jio implemented tariff increases of 13-25% from July 3, 2024, expected to improve ARPU and revenue in coming quarters.

G

Q1 FY25 · CBM production ramp-up

40-well multilateral program to add 0.5 MMSCMD of gas by year-end, with 21 wells already completed.

G

Q1 FY25 · Retail margin improvement focus

Streamlining operations and tech investments expected to sustain margin improvement; EBITDA margin up 30 bps YoY.

G

Q2 FY25 · Jio AirFiber to add 1 million homes per month

Management targets adding approximately one million Jio AirFiber connections every month, up from current run rate.

G

Q2 FY25 · Retail growth momentum to normalize in 2-3 quarters

Retail expects to revert to industry-leading growth after streamlining operations and B2B recalibration over the next couple of quarters.

G

Q2 FY25 · JioAI Cloud beta launch imminent

JioAI Cloud offering 100GB+ free storage with AI features to launch beta soon, followed by commercial services.

G

Q3 FY25 · Jio ARPU growth to sustain

Full impact of July 2024 tariff hike still playing out; ARPU growth expected to continue in coming quarters.

G

Q3 FY25 · Retail to show healthy sequential growth

Management expects healthy quarter-on-quarter growth driven by operational improvements and festive momentum.

G

Q3 FY25 · O2C investment in downcycle

Investing in PVC, polyester, and ethane capacity at bottom of cycle to capture high-growth domestic demand.

G

Q3 FY25 · Jio AI Cloud and Cloud PC launch

Beta launched; scaling to all Jio customers in coming quarter; new revenue stream from digital services.

G

Q4 FY25 · Jio 5G monetization via network slicing

Management plans to offer differentiated services (e.g., network slicing) to enterprises and premium consumers over the next few quarters, aiming to drive incremental ARPU.

G

Q4 FY25 · Retail fashion turnaround complete

Fashion business has turned around with positive LFL growth; design-to-shelf cycle reduced to 30 days with weekly store refreshes.

G

Q4 FY25 · New energy solar and battery commissioning by 2026

Solar manufacturing (polysilicon to module) and battery cell production to be commissioned by end-2025/early 2026; 10 GW solar capacity scalable to 20 GW.

G

Q4 FY25 · Jio home broadband target of 100M homes

Jio aims to connect 100 million homes using AirFiber (fixed wireless) and fiber; 85% market share in FWA net adds.