Reliance FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹9,64,693 Cr revenue · ₹81,309 Cr PAT · 8.5% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Risks flagged during the year
Global refining margins remain weak due to new capacity and muted demand; gasoline cracks down 30% YoY.
Q2 FY25 · highFuel cracks and petrochemical deltas remain under pressure due to weak demand and new supply, potentially impacting O2C earnings further.
Q3 FY25 · highRefining and petrochemical margins remain under pressure from global capacity additions and weak demand; management highlighted 30-70% margin declines over five years.
Q4 FY25 · highGlobal refining cracks and petrochemical margins remain near 15-20 year lows due to Chinese capacity additions and weak demand; management noted continued pressure.
Q1 FY25 · mediumFashion and lifestyle segment saw tepid demand; analyst raised concern about consumer spending weakness.
Q1 FY25 · mediumRed Sea tensions and Middle East instability could impact freight and supply chains, affecting O2C margins.
Q2 FY25 · mediumFashion and lifestyle segment weakness persisted; management's expectation of normalization in 2-3 quarters may be delayed if consumer sentiment remains weak.
Q2 FY25 · mediumSubscriber base declined by 10.9 million in Q2; while management calls it lower than historical churn, further erosion could pressure revenue.
Q3 FY25 · mediumAnalyst question on sustainability of festive demand; management expressed confidence but noted potential headwinds from inflation and competition.
Q3 FY25 · mediumAfter a weak quarter, net additions recovered to 3.3M; management attributed to tariff hike and 5G migration, but competitive intensity remains.
Q4 FY25 · mediumAnalyst questioned why Jio's ARPU is 15% lower than Bharti Airtel; management attributed it to non-comparable bases but acknowledged tariff plans are 7-10% lower.
Q4 FY25 · mediumJioStar reported only 3% EBITDA margin; analyst questioned when margins would catch up to peers; management gave no specific timeline.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · Tariff hike benefits from July 2024
Jio implemented tariff increases of 13-25% from July 3, 2024, expected to improve ARPU and revenue in coming quarters.
Q1 FY25 · CBM production ramp-up
40-well multilateral program to add 0.5 MMSCMD of gas by year-end, with 21 wells already completed.
Q1 FY25 · Retail margin improvement focus
Streamlining operations and tech investments expected to sustain margin improvement; EBITDA margin up 30 bps YoY.
Q2 FY25 · Jio AirFiber to add 1 million homes per month
Management targets adding approximately one million Jio AirFiber connections every month, up from current run rate.
Q2 FY25 · Retail growth momentum to normalize in 2-3 quarters
Retail expects to revert to industry-leading growth after streamlining operations and B2B recalibration over the next couple of quarters.
Q2 FY25 · JioAI Cloud beta launch imminent
JioAI Cloud offering 100GB+ free storage with AI features to launch beta soon, followed by commercial services.
Q3 FY25 · Jio ARPU growth to sustain
Full impact of July 2024 tariff hike still playing out; ARPU growth expected to continue in coming quarters.
Q3 FY25 · Retail to show healthy sequential growth
Management expects healthy quarter-on-quarter growth driven by operational improvements and festive momentum.
Q3 FY25 · O2C investment in downcycle
Investing in PVC, polyester, and ethane capacity at bottom of cycle to capture high-growth domestic demand.
Q3 FY25 · Jio AI Cloud and Cloud PC launch
Beta launched; scaling to all Jio customers in coming quarter; new revenue stream from digital services.
Q4 FY25 · Jio 5G monetization via network slicing
Management plans to offer differentiated services (e.g., network slicing) to enterprises and premium consumers over the next few quarters, aiming to drive incremental ARPU.
Q4 FY25 · Retail fashion turnaround complete
Fashion business has turned around with positive LFL growth; design-to-shelf cycle reduced to 30 days with weekly store refreshes.
Q4 FY25 · New energy solar and battery commissioning by 2026
Solar manufacturing (polysilicon to module) and battery cell production to be commissioned by end-2025/early 2026; 10 GW solar capacity scalable to 20 GW.
Q4 FY25 · Jio home broadband target of 100M homes
Jio aims to connect 100 million homes using AirFiber (fixed wireless) and fiber; 85% market share in FWA net adds.