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Reliance Industries Ltd — Q2 FY25
Reliance Industries reported a mixed Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 2,58,000 crore (+0.8% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 44,000 crore (-2% YoY), as strong growth in Digital Services (+18% YoY EBITDA) and Oil & Gas (+11% YoY EBITDA) was offset by a sharp 2...
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Reliance Industries reported a mixed Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 2,58,000 crore (+0.8% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 44,000 crore (-2% YoY), as strong growth in Digital Services (+18% YoY EBITDA) and Oil & Gas (+11% YoY EBITDA) was offset by a sharp 24% decline in O2C EBITDA due to weak fuel cracks and petrochemical margins. Jio Platforms saw ARPU rise to INR 195.1 (+7.4% YoY) and added 2.8 million Jio AirFiber subscribers, while Retail revenue was flat but EBITDA margin improved 30 bps to 8.8% on operational streamlining. Management expects retail growth to normalize in 2-3 quarters and Jio AirFiber to reach 1 million monthly additions. Key risk: sustained weakness in global refining margins and petrochemical demand could further pressure O2C earnings.
रिलायंस इंडस्ट्रीज की दूसरी तिमाही के नतीजे मिले-जुले रहे। कंपनी की कुल कमाई 2,58,000 करोड़ रुपये रही, जो पिछले साल से 0.8% ज्यादा है। मुनाफा (EBITDA) 44,000 करोड़ रुपये रहा, जो 2% कम है। डिजिटल सेवाओं (Jio) और तेल-गैस कारोबार में अच्छी बढ़ोतरी हुई, लेकिन पेट्रोलियम उत्पादों (O2C) का मुनाफा 24% गिर गया क्योंकि दुनिया भर में रिफाइनिंग और पेट्रोकेमिकल की मांग कमजोर है। Jio का हर ग्राहक औसतन 195.1 रुपये खर्च कर रहा है, जो 7.4% ज्यादा है। Jio AirFiber के 2.8 लाख नए ग्राहक जुड़े। रिटेल कारोबार की कमाई स्थिर रही, लेकिन खर्च कम करने से मुनाफा थोड़ा बढ़ा। कंपनी को उम्मीद है कि रिटेल 2-3 तिमाहियों में सामान्य हो जाएगा और Jio AirFiber हर महीने 10 लाख ग्राहक जोड़ेगा। मुख्य जोखिम: दुनिया भर में रिफाइनिंग मार्जिन और पेट्रोकेमिकल मांग कमजोर रही तो O2C कारोबार पर और दबाव पड़ सकता है।
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Sustained weakness in O2C margins
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Jio Subscriber Base
478.8M
-10.9M QoQ
Subscriber base declined due to SIM consolidation post tariff hike, but churn was lower than historical trends.
Jio ARPU
INR 195.1
+7.4% YoY
ARPU growth driven by partial tariff hike pass-through and subscriber upgrades to higher plans.
Jio AirFiber Subscribers
2.8M
+2.2M QoQ
Home broadband subscribers nearly doubled quarter-on-quarter; targeting 1 million monthly additions.
Retail Footfall Growth
14% YoY
+14pp YoY
Footfalls grew 14% YoY despite weak fashion & lifestyle demand, indicating strong underlying traction.
What Changed vs Last Quarter
NEW
Jio AirFiber to add 1 million homes per month
Management targets adding approximately one million Jio AirFiber connections every month, up from current run rate.
NEW
Retail growth momentum to normalize in 2-3 quarters
Retail expects to revert to industry-leading growth after streamlining operations and B2B recalibration over the next couple of quarters.
NEW
JioAI Cloud beta launch imminent
JioAI Cloud offering 100GB+ free storage with AI features to launch beta soon, followed by commercial services.
DROPPED
Tariff hike benefits from July 2024
Jio implemented tariff increases of 13-25% from July 3, 2024, expected to improve ARPU and revenue in coming quarters.
DROPPED
CBM production ramp-up
40-well multilateral program to add 0.5 MMSCMD of gas by year-end, with 21 wells already completed.
DROPPED
Retail margin improvement focus
Streamlining operations and tech investments expected to sustain margin improvement; EBITDA margin up 30 bps YoY.
NEW RISK
Sustained weakness in O2C margins
Fuel cracks and petrochemical deltas remain under pressure due to weak demand and new supply, potentially impacting O2C earnings further.
NEW RISK
Retail demand recovery uncertainty
Fashion and lifestyle segment weakness persisted; management's expectation of normalization in 2-3 quarters may be delayed if consumer sentiment remains weak.
NEW RISK
Jio subscriber churn from tariff hike
Subscriber base declined by 10.9 million in Q2; while management calls it lower than historical churn, further erosion could pressure revenue.
RISK GONE
O2C margin volatility
Global refining margins remain weak due to new capacity and muted demand; gasoline cracks down 30% YoY.
RISK GONE
Discretionary demand slowdown
Fashion and lifestyle segment saw tepid demand; analyst raised concern about consumer spending weakness.
RISK GONE
Geopolitical disruptions
Red Sea tensions and Middle East instability could impact freight and supply chains, affecting O2C margins.
🤫 Topics management stopped discussing
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24
KG-D6 gas production is on track to reach 30 million standard cubic meters per day, representing ~30% of India's gas output.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25
Global refining margins remain weak due to new capacity and muted demand; gasoline cracks down 30% YoY.
Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24
EBITDA margin improved 40 bps YoY to 8.1%; management expects further expansion as infrastructure investments pay off.
Fast read
Guidance and risk preview
Management targets adding approximately one million Jio AirFiber connections every month, up from current run rate.
Fuel cracks and petrochemical deltas remain under pressure due to weak demand and new supply, potentially impacting O2C earnings further.
View Risks →