NTPC FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹1,35,431 Cr revenue · ₹16,425 Cr PAT · 19.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
Renewable capacity addition was muted in Q2 due to clearance and module sourcing issues; bulk expected in Q4.
Q2 FY24 · mediumCoal stock at pithead stations is low, though overall stock is 8.5 days; receipts expected to improve.
Q2 FY24 · mediumTHDC pump hydro project faced last-minute issues; first unit now expected by Jan/Feb 2024.
Q3 FY24 · mediumModule supply issues have delayed renewable commissioning; only 1 GW expected by March 2024 out of 7.8 GW under construction.
Q3 FY24 · mediumAnalyst raised concern about transmission delays impacting renewable aspirations; management acknowledged minor delays but expects no material impact.
Q4 FY24 · mediumCommissioning of renewable projects slower than guided due to module import clearance delays and land acquisition issues.
Q4 FY24 · mediumINR 776 crores under-recovery in FY24 due to lower availability at Barh and Barauni plants; though management expects reduction.
Q4 FY24 · mediumOut of 15.2 GW planned, only 8 GW has PPAs signed; remaining 7 GW needs tie-up with states/ministry.
Q2 FY24 · lowNew grid code may impact power sales; NTPC is in dialogue with regulator on concerns.
Q3 FY24 · lowStandalone profit before regulatory deferral declined YoY; management attributed to one-time accounting changes but could recur.
Q4 FY24 · lowDividend from JVs and subsidiaries fell from INR 2,336 crores in FY23 to INR 1,630 crores in FY24 due to retained earnings for reinvestment.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY24 · Award 11.2 GW thermal capacity by FY25
NTPC plans to award 11.2 GW of new thermal capacity over the next 12 months, with 50% standalone and 50% via JVs.
Q2 FY24 · Renewable capacity target of 15 GW by FY26
NTPC expects to commission 15 GW of renewable energy capacity by the end of FY26.
Q2 FY24 · Long-term renewable target of 60 GW by FY32
NTPC aims to achieve 60 GW of renewable capacity by FY32.
Q2 FY24 · Group CapEx target of INR 28,373 crore for FY24
NTPC group CapEx target for FY24 is INR 28,373 crore, with H1 achieving 47%.
Q3 FY24 · Award 5.6 GW thermal capacity in H1 FY25
Out of 16.8 GW planned, 5.6 GW will be tendered in Q1-Q2 FY25, including Singrauli, Sipat, and Darlipali.
Q3 FY24 · Coal production target of 34 MMT for FY24
Management confirmed achieving 27 MMT in 9M FY24 and expects to meet the full-year target of 34 MMT.
Q3 FY24 · Renewable capacity target of ~15 GW by FY26
Despite delays, management reiterated the target of 15 GW operational renewable capacity by FY26.
Q3 FY24 · Under-recovery to reverse in Q4 FY24 to INR 400-450 crore
Full-year under-recovery expected at INR 400-450 crore, with reversal in Q4 as planned outages complete.
Q4 FY24 · Thermal capacity ordering plan: 15.2 GW over FY25-FY27
10.4 GW to be tendered in FY25, 3.2 GW in FY26, 1.6 GW in FY27. Includes Sipat, Darlipali, Meja, etc.
Q4 FY24 · Renewable commissioning targets: 3 GW in FY25, 5 GW in FY26, 8 GW in FY27
Total 22.5 GW capacity addition planned over next three years including thermal, hydro, and renewable.
Q4 FY24 · Coal mining target: 50 MMT annual production in three years
Captive coal production expected to reach 50 million tonnes per annum within three years.
Q4 FY24 · NGEL IPO planned for October-November 2024
DRHP filing post-June 2024; NTPC to remain holding company post-IPO.