Mahindra & Mahindra Management Guidance Tracker
20 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 5 quarters.
Growth
Management confirmed that production capacity will increase to 39,000 units per month by the end of Q4 FY24, with current production already at that level.
Q1 FY24EPS growth target of 15-20%TrackedManagement reiterated a long-term EPS growth target of 15-20%, despite a strong 60% growth in Q1.
Q1 FY24Farm machinery growth target of 40% for FY24TrackedManagement expressed confidence in achieving at least 40% growth in farm machinery revenue for the full year.
Q1 FY25Mid-to-high teens SUV volume growth for FY25ActiveManagement reiterated expectation of mid-to-high teens growth in SUV volumes for FY25, supported by new launches and capacity.
Q1 FY25Tractor industry growth around 5% with upside potentialActiveManagement maintained ~5% tractor industry growth outlook but noted favorable factors (monsoons, government spending) could push higher.
Q2 FY25Auto volume growth of mid-to-high teensTrackedManagement expects full-year SUV portfolio volume growth of 15%-18%.
Q2 FY25Tractor industry growth of 6-7% for FY25TrackedRevised tractor industry growth outlook to 6%-7% for the full year, implying 13%-15% H2 growth.
Q1 FY26SUV volume growth guidance of mid-to-high teens for FY26ActiveManagement reaffirmed SUV volume growth guidance of mid-to-high teens for FY26, supported by new EV launches and refreshes.
Q1 FY26EV ramp-up to 5,000-6,000 units per month by festive seasonActiveEV production is expected to ramp up from current 4,000 to 5,000-6,000 per month during the festive season, with further ramp-up after January 2026.
Q3 FY26EV volume target of 80,000+ units in FY27TrackedManagement expects to sell over 80,000 EVs in FY27, driven by the three current models and a new model (BO7) launching in calendar 2027.
Margins
Management committed to maintaining an ROE of at least 18%, with current ROE at 24%.
Q2 FY25Auto PBIT margin medium-term goal of ~10%TrackedManagement targets auto PBIT margin to first reach FY19 levels of around 10% as a medium-term goal.
Q1 FY26Tech Mahindra EBIT margin target of 15% by F27TrackedTech Mahindra's EBIT margin recovery is on track at 11.1% this quarter, with a target of 15% by F27.
Other
Management committed to turning around the express logistics business to breakeven by the end of the current quarter.
Q1 FY25Effective tax rate ~23-24% for FY25TrackedCFO guided effective tax rate for FY25 to be approximately 23-24%.
Q1 FY26New platform reveal on August 15 and Investor Day in NovemberActiveA new platform will be revealed on August 15, with more details shared at the Investor Day in November.
Q3 FY26Last-mile mobility IPO in FY27TrackedManagement plans to list the last-mile mobility business via an IPO in FY27 to unlock value.
Expansion
Two electric origin SUVs (BE 6e and XEV 9e) to be revealed in November 2024 and in market early 2025.
Q3 FY26Capacity addition of 5,000-6,000 ICE units by July-August 2026ActiveDebottlenecking will add 5,000-6,000 units per month for ICE products like XUV 3XO, Bolero, Scorpio-N, and Thar.
Q3 FY26Nagpur greenfield tractor capacity of 100,000 unitsTrackedA new greenfield plant in Nagpur will add 100,000 units of Mahindra-branded tractor capacity, with additional capacity for Swaraj under evaluation.