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LT Diversified 24 Jul 2024

Larsen & Toubro Limited — Q4 FY25

L&T reported a robust Q1 FY25 with group revenues of ₹55,100 crore (+15% YoY) and PAT of ₹2,800 crore (+12% YoY), driven by strong execution in infrastructure, hydrocarbon, and precision engineering.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹74,392 Cr +15%
EBITDA
PAT ₹6,156 Cr +12%
EBITDA Margin 13%
Duration
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

L&T reported a robust Q1 FY25 with group revenues of ₹55,100 crore (+15% YoY) and PAT of ₹2,800 crore (+12% YoY), driven by strong execution in infrastructure, hydrocarbon, and precision engineering. Order inflows grew 8% YoY to ₹70,900 crore, while the order book reached a record ₹4.91 trillion (+19% YoY). The EBITDA margin remained flat at 10.2%, with infrastructure margins improving 70 bps to 5.8% on execution cost savings. Management maintained its FY25 guidance of 10% order inflow growth and 15% revenue growth, despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline to ₹9.07 trillion, mainly due to hydrocarbon deferrals. Key risks include skilled labor shortages potentially slowing domestic execution and geopolitical volatility in the Middle East. The company's ROE improved to 14.7% (up 190 bps YoY), with a bridge to the 18% target via metro loss reduction, higher payouts, and margin expansion.

Promises0 met · 4 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Skilled labor shortage impacting domestic execution

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Quarter Snapshot

Order Inflows ₹70,900 crore
+8% YoY

Group order inflows for Q1 FY25, driven by infrastructure, hydrocarbon, and precision engineering.

Order Book ₹4.91 trillion
+19% YoY

Record order book as of June 2024, with 62% domestic and 38% international.

Infrastructure EBITDA Margin 5.8%
+70 bps YoY

Infrastructure segment margin improved due to execution cost savings.

ROE (Trailing 12M) 14.7%
+190 bps YoY

Improved profitability and capital return via buyback boosted ROE.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
1 new risk1 risk resolved
UPDATED
Order inflow growth of 10% for FY25

Management reaffirmed the 10% order inflow growth guidance despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline, citing a 22-23% conversion rate as achievable.

UPDATED
Revenue growth of 15% for FY25

Group revenue growth guidance of 15% maintained, with domestic execution expected to pick up in H2 after a subdued Q1 due to elections and heat.

UPDATED
P&M margin target of 8.2-8.25% for FY25

Projects & Manufacturing margin guidance maintained; Q1 margins improved 20 bps to 7.6%, with infrastructure margins up 70 bps.

UPDATED
CapEx of ~₹4,000 crore for FY25

Capital expenditure for the year expected to be around ₹4,000 crore, in line with previous guidance.

NEW RISK
Hyderabad Metro losses and debt burden

Hyderabad Metro reported a loss of ₹214 crore in Q1, with a debt of ~₹12,500 crore; government support of ₹2,100 crore is pending.

RISK GONE
Execution risk in international fixed-price contracts

International projects are largely fixed-price; any cost overruns or delays could pressure margins, though management expressed confidence in timely execution.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Geopolitical risks in Middle East and Red Sea disruptions

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY24

Despite ceasefire, potential trade wars and regional instability could impact project execution and payment flows.

Execution risk on large fixed-price international contracts

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24

Large hydrocarbon projects in the Middle East are fixed-price; any delay could compress margins.

NWC to sales ratio around 16.6% (±30bps) for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Working capital intensity expected to increase from 12% to 15% as legacy collections normalize.

Margin trajectory to improve from FY25

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Projects & Manufacturing margin expected to be similar to FY24's 8.25%, with mix and competitive pressures offset by volume growth.

Net working capital to revenue to remain around 12.7% by March 2025

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Improved from 16.6% in Dec 2023; management expects to sustain this level, better than the earlier 15% guidance.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Order inflow growth of 10% for FY25

Management reaffirmed the 10% order inflow growth guidance despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline, citing a 22-23% conversion rate as achieva...

Top risk Skilled labor shortage impacting domestic execution

Management highlighted that skilled labor shortages could slow infrastructure progress in India, exacerbated by elections and heat in Q1.

View Risks →