Bear Cases vs Reality
Candere business underperformance continues Alive 3, weakening 1, dead 1.
View Bear Cases →Kalyan Jewellers reported a strong Q4 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 6,182 crore (up 36% YoY) and PAT of INR 188 crore (up 37% YoY).
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Kalyan Jewellers reported a strong Q4 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 6,182 crore (up 36% YoY) and PAT of INR 188 crore (up 37% YoY). India revenue grew 38% to INR 5,350 crore, while Middle East revenue rose 26% to INR 784 crore. The company opened 76 Kalyan and 60 Candere showrooms in FY25, with plans to add 170 more in FY26. Management guided for debt reduction of INR 350-400 crore and PBT margins exceeding 5% in FY26. Candere is expected to turn profitable at PAT level this year. A key risk is the elevated gold metal loan interest rates (5-5.5%), which may pressure margins if not normalized.
कल्याण ज्वैलर्स ने वित्त वर्ष 2025 की चौथी तिमाही में शानदार प्रदर्शन किया। कंपनी की कुल कमाई 6,182 करोड़ रुपये रही, जो पिछले साल से 36% ज्यादा है। मुनाफा 188 करोड़ रुपये रहा, जो 37% बढ़ा। भारत में कमाई 38% बढ़कर 5,350 करोड़ रुपये और मिडिल ईस्ट में 26% बढ़कर 784 करोड़ रुपये हुई। कंपनी ने इस साल 76 कल्याण और 60 कैंडेयर शोरूम खोले। अगले साल 170 नए शोरूम खोलने की योजना है। कंपनी कर्ज 350-400 करोड़ रुपये घटाने और मुनाफा मार्जिन 5% से ऊपर रखने की उम्मीद करती है। कैंडेयर इस साल मुनाफे में आ सकता है। मुख्य जोखिम सोने के कर्ज पर ऊंची ब्याज दर (5-5.5%) है, जो मार्जिन पर दबाव डाल सकती है।
Candere business underperformance continues Alive 3, weakening 1, dead 1.
View Bear Cases →0 delivered, 0 close, 2 missed.
View Promises →Elevated gold metal loan interest rates
View Risks →Full transcript text is available on this route.
Read Transcript →SSG for the quarter was 21%, indicating strong underlying demand despite high gold prices.
Opened 76 Kalyan and 60 Candere showrooms in India, plus first US store.
Reduced debt in India by INR 250 crore, with total reduction of INR 520 crore over two years.
Plans to open 80 Candere showrooms in FY26, aiming for profitability at PAT level.
Plans to open 90 Kalyan and 80 Candere showrooms in India during the current financial year.
Management targets PBT margins above 5% for FY26, driven by debt reduction and operational efficiencies.
Expects Candere to achieve profitability at the PAT level during the current financial year.
Target to reduce debt in India by INR 350-400 crore in the ongoing financial year.
Plans to open 170 showrooms in FY26: 90 Kalyan and 80 Candere. LOIs for H1 already signed.
On track to launch 30 Kalyan and 15 Candere showrooms in India during Q4 FY25.
Target to take Candere revenue to ₹1,000 crore in the next 2-3 years.
GML interest rates have risen to 5-5.5% from 3-3.5%, impacting finance costs. Normalization is uncertain.
Candere posted a loss of INR 12 crore in Q4 vs INR 0.7 crore loss last year. Profitability target may be delayed if store ramp-up falters.
Aggressive store expansion (170 showrooms) relies on franchisee model; any disruption could impact growth.
Introduction of corporate tax in UAE impacted Q3 PAT growth; ongoing tax burden may pressure margins.
Analyst raised concern about possible increase in gold lease costs due to US tariff expectations; management said it's stable but cannot pass on to customers.
Analyst questioned stress testing of franchisee partners; management noted checks but did not detail periodic stress tests.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24
Management reiterated plans to open 80 showrooms in FY25, with 35 Kalyan and 20 Candere stores expected before Diwali.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25
Plan to further reduce debt by approximately ₹150 crore during Q4 FY25.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24
Local competitors are becoming more active with increased branding and festive promotions, which could impact market share and pricing.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25
Four company-owned showrooms in the Middle East will be converted to franchise model in Q2, with proceeds used to reduce regional debt.
Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24
Shift to franchisee model reduces EBITDA margins (franchisee EBITDA ~8% vs own ~20%), though PBT margins improve.
Plans to open 90 Kalyan and 80 Candere showrooms in India during the current financial year.
GML interest rates have risen to 5-5.5% from 3-3.5%, impacting finance costs.
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