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KALYANKJIL Consumer 12 Feb 2025

Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd — Q3 FY25

Kalyan Jewellers delivered a strong Q3 FY25 with consolidated revenue of ₹7,287 crore (+40% YoY) and PAT of ₹219 crore (+22% YoY).

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Revenue ₹7,287 Cr +40%
EBITDA
PAT ₹219 Cr +21.7%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Kalyan Jewellers delivered a strong Q3 FY25 with consolidated revenue of ₹7,287 crore (+40% YoY) and PAT of ₹219 crore (+22% YoY). India revenue grew 42% to ₹6,393 crore, while Middle East revenue rose 23% to ₹840 crore. Same-store sales growth (SSG) remained robust at 24%, driven by festive and wedding demand. Management highlighted broad-based growth across gold and studded categories, with minimal impact from lab-grown diamonds due to low solitaire exposure. The company plans to open 170 showrooms in FY26 (90 Kalyan, 80 Candere), with LOIs already signed for H1. PBT margins expanded ~40 bps YoY, aided by operating leverage and lower ad spends. Debt reduction of ₹450 crore over 18 months is expected to continue, with ₹150 crore more in Q4. A key risk is gold price volatility, which could temporarily dampen non-wedding demand, though management noted customer adaptation.

Bear Cases0 alive · 2 deadPromises0 met · 3 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Bear Cases 5 tracked

Bear Cases vs Reality

Gold price volatility dampens consumer demand Alive 0, weakening 3, dead 2.

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Promises 3 promises

Promise Tracker

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Gold price volatility impacting demand

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Quarter Snapshot

Same-store sales growth (SSG) 24%
+24pp YoY

Q3 SSG was 24%, driven by festive and wedding demand, with lesser Shraddh days.

India revenue growth 42%
+42% YoY

India revenue grew 42% YoY to ₹6,393 crore, driven by strong demand.

Middle East revenue growth 23%
+23% YoY

Middle East revenue grew 23% YoY to ₹840 crore, with PAT impacted by UAE corporate tax.

Store openings in Q3 45
+45 stores QoQ

Opened 45 showrooms in India across Kalyan and Candere, plus first US store.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
170 showroom openings in FY26

Plans to open 170 showrooms in FY26: 90 Kalyan and 80 Candere. LOIs for H1 already signed.

NEW
Candere revenue target of ₹1,000 crore

Target to take Candere revenue to ₹1,000 crore in the next 2-3 years.

UPDATED
30 Kalyan and 15 Candere showrooms in Q4 FY25

On track to launch 30 Kalyan and 15 Candere showrooms in India during Q4 FY25.

UPDATED
Debt reduction of ₹150 crore in Q4 FY25

Plan to further reduce debt by approximately ₹150 crore during Q4 FY25.

DROPPED
Debt reduction target of INR 350-400 crore for FY26

Management guided for a higher debt reduction of INR 350-400 crore in the next financial year, supported by improved cash flows from the franchise model.

DROPPED
US showroom opening by end of Q3 FY25

The first US showroom, delayed earlier, is expected to open by the end of the current quarter (Q3 FY25).

NEW RISK
Gold price volatility impacting demand

Recent surge in gold prices caused temporary turbulence; non-wedding purchases may be postponed if prices remain volatile.

NEW RISK
UAE corporate tax impact on Middle East PAT

Introduction of corporate tax in UAE impacted Q3 PAT growth; ongoing tax burden may pressure margins.

NEW RISK
Potential increase in gold lease costs

Analyst raised concern about possible increase in gold lease costs due to US tariff expectations; management said it's stable but cannot pass on to customers.

NEW RISK
Franchisee partner financial health

Analyst questioned stress testing of franchisee partners; management noted checks but did not detail periodic stress tests.

RISK GONE
Customs duty write-off impact in Q3

A one-time loss of INR 120 crore from customs duty reduction will be fully recognized, with INR 70 crore in Q2 and the remaining ~INR 50 crore expected in Q3.

RISK GONE
Slower international expansion

Management acknowledged slower-than-planned expansion in the Middle East and international markets, with only four FOCO stores in Oman and a delayed US opening.

RISK GONE
Franchisee margin dilution risk

As franchisee revenue share increases (currently ~32-33%), consolidated gross margins could face pressure since franchisee stores have lower margins (~8%) compared to company-owned stores (~15.5-16%).

RISK GONE
Competitive intensity in non-South markets

Local competitors are becoming more active with increased branding and festive promotions, which could impact market share and pricing.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

80 new showrooms in FY25 (35 Kalyan + 20 Candere before Diwali)

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management reiterated plans to open 80 showrooms in FY25, with 35 Kalyan and 20 Candere stores expected before Diwali.

Elevated competitive intensity in non-south markets

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24

Local competitors are becoming more active with increased branding and festive promotions, which could impact market share and pricing.

Convert 4 Middle East showrooms to franchise in Q2

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25

Four company-owned showrooms in the Middle East will be converted to franchise model in Q2, with proceeds used to reduce regional debt.

Franchisee margin improvement of 25-50 bps

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Shift to franchisee model reduces EBITDA margins (franchisee EBITDA ~8% vs own ~20%), though PBT margins improve.

Margin dilution from franchisee mix

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24

As franchisee revenue share increases (currently ~32-33%), consolidated gross margins could face pressure since franchisee stores have lower margins (~8%) compared to company-owned stores (~15.5-16%).

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance 170 showroom openings in FY26

Plans to open 170 showrooms in FY26: 90 Kalyan and 80 Candere.

Top risk Gold price volatility impacting demand

Recent surge in gold prices caused temporary turbulence; non-wedding purchases may be postponed if prices remain volatile.

View Risks →