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JSWSTEEL Diversified 25 Jul 2025

JSW Steel Limited — Q1 FY26

JSW Steel reported Q1 FY26 consolidated revenue of INR 43,147 crore and EBITDA of INR 7,576 crore (margin 17.6%).

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Revenue ₹43,147 Cr
EBITDA ₹7,576 Cr
EBITDA Margin 17.6%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

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JSW Steel reported Q1 FY26 consolidated revenue of INR 43,147 crore and EBITDA of INR 7,576 crore (margin 17.6%). PAT stood at INR 2,209 crore. Domestic sales grew 12% YoY, outpacing industry growth of ~8%, driven by strong auto (+20% YoY) and appliance (+27% YoY) demand. Value-added product share improved to 64%. EBITDA was impacted by INR 343 crore forex loss and ~INR 200 crore shutdown costs. Management expects Q2 volumes to improve as shutdowns end and JVML ramps up, but steel prices have softened by ~INR 1,500/ton in June-July. Cost tailwinds from lower coking coal ($5/ton benefit) and iron ore should partially offset price headwinds. Key risk: sustained low-priced imports from Russia and China could pressure domestic realizations further.

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Quarter Snapshot

Crude steel production 7.26M tons
+14% YoY

Consolidated crude steel production grew 14% YoY to 7.26 million tons in Q1 FY26.

Domestic steel sales growth 12% YoY
+12% YoY

Domestic sales grew 12% YoY, significantly higher than the industry growth of ~8%.

Value-added product share 64%
+4pp QoQ

Share of value-added and special products improved to 64% from 60% in the previous quarter.

JSW One GMV INR 3,919 crore
+50% YoY

JSW One platform GMV grew 1.5x YoY to INR 3,919 crore in Q1 FY26.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY26 vs Q4 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Q2 volumes expected to increase sequentially

Management expects higher volumes in Q2 as shutdowns are behind and JVML second converter starts.

NEW
Dolvi Phase III expansion on track for Sep 2027

Dolvi expansion from 10 to 15 MTPA progressing well, on schedule for completion by September 2027.

NEW
India steel demand growth 8.5%-9.5% for FY26

CRISIL forecast of demand growth in the range of 8.5%-9.5% for the financial year, supported by government capex and monetary easing.

UPDATED
Coking coal cost benefit of ~$5/ton in Q2

Coking coal costs expected to be marginally lower QoQ by about $5 per ton.

DROPPED
FY26 production guidance of 30.5 million tons

Consolidated crude steel production expected at 30.5 million tons, implying ~10% growth over FY25.

DROPPED
FY26 sales guidance of 29.2 million tons

Steel sales guided at 29.2 million tons, also ~10% growth, in line with domestic demand growth.

DROPPED
Q1 FY26 price improvement of INR 3,200-3,250/ton

Realizations expected to improve by INR 3,200-3,250 per ton in Q1 FY26 vs Q4 FY25 due to price hikes in March-April.

NEW RISK
Low-priced imports from Russia and China

Cheaper imports finding way into India, impacting domestic sentiment and realizations.

NEW RISK
BPSL legal uncertainty

Supreme Court review petition pending; status quo ordered. Could impact 0.5 MTPA expansion if unfavorable.

NEW RISK
Steel price moderation in Q2

HRC prices moderated by ~INR 1,500/ton in June and further softness in July, partly seasonal but also due to global uncertainties.

NEW RISK
Cash tax rate volatility

Analyst noted cash tax rate spiked to 34% in FY25 vs 17% average; management did not provide clear explanation, deferring to offline discussion.

RISK GONE
BPSL Supreme Court ruling

Supreme Court rejected JSW Steel's resolution plan for BPSL and directed refunds; management is pursuing legal remedies but outcome uncertain.

RISK GONE
Import surge from FTA countries

Countries like Vietnam, Japan, and Korea with FTAs continue to pose import risks despite safeguard duties; management noted vigilance.

RISK GONE
Iron ore captive mix decline

Captive iron ore usage fell to 32% in Q4 due to Jajang mine surrender and new capacity; guided 40% for FY26, but execution risk remains.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Consolidated production guidance of 28.4 million tons and sales guidance of 27 million tons for FY25 remains on track.

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25

Consolidated crude steel production expected at 30.5 million tons, implying ~10% growth over FY25.

Rising imports from China and FTA countries without trade barriers

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY25

Countries like Vietnam, Japan, and Korea with FTAs continue to pose import risks despite safeguard duties; management noted vigilance.

Consolidated CapEx for FY25 expected to be about INR 30,000 crore.

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25

Reduction due to slurry pipeline transfer to JSW Infrastructure and BF3 shutdown deferral to FY26.

FY26 iron ore production target of ~28M tons from captive mines

Mentioned in Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25

Captive iron ore usage fell to 32% in Q4 due to Jajang mine surrender and new capacity; guided 40% for FY26, but execution risk remains.

Q4 iron ore cost benefit of ~₹350/ton from NMDC price cut

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

NMDC's iron ore price reduction of about ₹350 per ton in January will reflect in consumption costs in February and March.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Q2 volumes expected to increase sequentially

Management expects higher volumes in Q2 as shutdowns are behind and JVML second converter starts.

Top risk Low-priced imports from Russia and China

Cheaper imports finding way into India, impacting domestic sentiment and realizations.

View Risks →