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HINDUNILVR Consumer 23 Jul 2024

Hindunilvr Ltd — Q1 FY25

HUL reported Q1 FY25 revenue of INR 15,166 crore with 4% underlying volume growth, while underlying sales growth was 2% due to negative pricing.

neutral medium
Revenue ₹15,166 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹2,538 Cr +3%
EBITDA Margin 23.8% +20bps
Duration 90 min
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

HUL reported Q1 FY25 revenue of INR 15,166 crore with 4% underlying volume growth, while underlying sales growth was 2% due to negative pricing. EBITDA margin improved 20 bps YoY to 23.8%, and PAT grew 3% to INR 2,538 crore. Volume growth was led by Home Care (high single-digit) and Hair Care (double-digit), while Personal Care saw low single-digit volume recovery after pricing actions. Management highlighted green shoots in rural demand but remains cautious on monsoon and food inflation. Guidance: near-zero pricing in short term, low single-digit positive by year-end; EBITDA margins to be maintained at current levels in near term, with modest expansion in medium term via mix improvement and operating leverage. Risk: tea inflation and potential impact on margins if commodity prices rise.

Key Numbers

Underlying Volume Growth (UVG) 4%
+4pp YoY

UVG improved from 2% in Q4 FY24 to 4% in Q1 FY25, driven by Home Care and Hair Care.

Gross Margin 50.9%
+170bps YoY

Gross margin expanded 170 bps YoY to 50.9%, aided by commodity deflation and savings.

Market Share Breadth (MAT Business Winning) 55%
+5pp vs Q4 FY24

Last 3-month metric at ~55%, on track to reach 60% by end of calendar year.

Premium Portfolio Contribution 300bps increase over 3 years
+300bps vs 3 years ago

Premium portfolio share increased ~300 bps over last 3 years, aiding mix improvement.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q2 FY24
4 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Near-zero pricing in short term, low single-digit positive by end of FY25

Excluding one-off credit in Q2 FY24 base, intrinsic price growth expected near zero in short term, turning low single-digit positive by year-end.

NEW
EBITDA margins to be maintained at current levels in short term

Management expects to maintain current EBITDA margin levels (~23.8%) in the near term, with modest expansion in medium term.

NEW
Modest margin expansion in medium term via mix and operating leverage

Medium-term margin expansion driven by premiumization (300 bps improvement in premium mix over 3 years) and operating leverage from volume growth.

NEW
Market share breadth to reach 60% by end of calendar year

MAT business winning metric expected to return to 60% levels by end of calendar year, with last 3-month metric already at ~55%.

DROPPED
Price growth to be marginally negative if commodities stay

Management expects price growth to turn marginally negative in the near term if current commodity prices hold.

DROPPED
EBITDA margin to be maintained in a healthy range

Management aims to keep EBITDA margin in a healthy range while investing in brands and capabilities.

DROPPED
Volume recovery expected to be gradual

Management expects volume recovery to continue gradually, supported by moderating inflation and festive season.

NEW RISK
Tea price inflation could impact margins

Tea prices are currently inflationary due to harsh summer impacting produce; full impact depends on monsoon season.

NEW RISK
Rural recovery may be slower than expected

Despite green shoots, rural growth on a 2-year CAGR still lags urban; employment, real wages, and food inflation could delay recovery.

NEW RISK
Competitive intensity in beauty and personal care

Analyst raised concern about competitive activity in beauty; management acknowledged intense competition but expressed confidence in portfolio transformation.

NEW RISK
Potential margin pressure from commodity volatility

If commodity prices rise, especially palm oil, margins could be impacted despite Stratos technology providing some insulation.

RISK GONE
Uneven monsoon impact on rural demand

Uneven monsoon with 6% deficit and lower reservoir levels could affect kharif harvest and rural incomes.

RISK GONE
Resurgence of small players in mass segments

Small and regional players are growing faster in tea and detergent bars, pressuring HUL's market share in those pockets.

RISK GONE
Sustained inflation in HFD and coffee inputs

High milk and coffee prices continue to pressure volumes in HFD and coffee, with no near-term relief expected.

RISK GONE
Global commodity price volatility

Crude oil above $90 and geopolitical tensions could reverse input cost deflation, impacting margins.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Price growth to be near flat or marginally negative in next 2 quarters

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management expects price growth to turn marginally negative in the near term if current commodity prices hold.

Resurgence of small players in mass segments

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Small and regional players are growing faster in tea and detergent bars, pressuring HUL's market share in those pockets.

Management Guidance

G

Near-zero pricing in short term, low single-digit positive by end of FY25

Excluding one-off credit in Q2 FY24 base, intrinsic price growth expected near zero in short term, turning low single-digit positive by year-end.

Management guidance revenue
G

EBITDA margins to be maintained at current levels in short term

Management expects to maintain current EBITDA margin levels (~23.8%) in the near term, with modest expansion in medium term.

Management guidance margins
G

Modest margin expansion in medium term via mix and operating leverage

Medium-term margin expansion driven by premiumization (300 bps improvement in premium mix over 3 years) and operating leverage from volume growth.

Management guidance margins
G

Market share breadth to reach 60% by end of calendar year

MAT business winning metric expected to return to 60% levels by end of calendar year, with last 3-month metric already at ~55%.

Management guidance growth

Key Risks

R

Tea price inflation could impact margins

Tea prices are currently inflationary due to harsh summer impacting produce; full impact depends on monsoon season.

medium · management_commentary
R

Rural recovery may be slower than expected

Despite green shoots, rural growth on a 2-year CAGR still lags urban; employment, real wages, and food inflation could delay recovery.

medium · management_commentary
R

Competitive intensity in beauty and personal care

Analyst raised concern about competitive activity in beauty; management acknowledged intense competition but expressed confidence in portfolio transformation.

medium · analyst_question
R

Potential margin pressure from commodity volatility

If commodity prices rise, especially palm oil, margins could be impacted despite Stratos technology providing some insulation.

low · data_observation

Notable Quotes

We continue to hold on to most of the circa 200 basis points of market share gain that we gained during inflation.
Rohit Jawa · CEO, Hindustan Unilever Limited
Stratos is a first of its kind, groundbreaking technology developed and patented by our R&D team. This technology, that took us about 5 years to develop with 20+ patents filed, makes it possible to reformulate soap with a proprietary mix...
Ritesh Tiwari · CFO, Hindustan Unilever Limited
Our last three-month metric is already at circa 55% levels, providing compelling evidence that our strategic actions are driving the desired results for us.
Rohit Jawa · CEO, Hindustan Unilever Limited

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Hindunilvr's revenue in Q1 FY25?

Hindunilvr reported revenue of ₹15,166 Cr in Q1 FY25, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Hindunilvr management give for FY26?

Near-zero pricing in short term, low single-digit positive by end of FY25: Excluding one-off credit in Q2 FY24 base, intrinsic price growth expected near zero in short term, turning low single-digit positive by year-end. EBITDA margins to be maintained at current levels in short term: Management expects to maintain current EBITDA margin levels (~23.8%) in the near term, with modest expansion in medium term. Modest margin expansion in medium term via mix and operating leverage: Medium-term margin expansion driven by premiumization (300 bps improvement in premium mix over 3 years) and operating leverage from volume growth. Market share breadth to reach 60% by end of calendar year: MAT business winning metric expected to return to 60% levels by end of calendar year, with last 3-month metric already at ~55%.

What are the key risks for Hindunilvr in FY26?

Key risks include Tea price inflation could impact margins — Tea prices are currently inflationary due to harsh summer impacting produce; full impact depends on monsoon season.; Rural recovery may be slower than expected — Despite green shoots, rural growth on a 2-year CAGR still lags urban; employment, real wages, and food inflation could delay recovery.; Competitive intensity in beauty and personal care — Analyst raised concern about competitive activity in beauty; management acknowledged intense competition but expressed confidence in portfolio transformation.; Potential margin pressure from commodity volatility — If commodity prices rise, especially palm oil, margins could be impacted despite Stratos technology providing some insulation..

Did Hindunilvr meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 2 tracked promises, management 0 met, 0 close, 2 missed.

Where can I read the full Hindunilvr Q1 FY25 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.