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GRASIM Diversified 01 Nov 2023

Grasim Ltd — Q2 FY24

Grasim's Q2 FY24 consolidated revenue grew 10% YoY to INR 30,221 crore, with EBITDA up 14% to INR 4,509 crore, driven by cement and financial services.

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Revenue ₹30,221 Cr +10%
EBITDA ₹4,509 Cr +14%
EBITDA Margin
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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Grasim's Q2 FY24 consolidated revenue grew 10% YoY to INR 30,221 crore, with EBITDA up 14% to INR 4,509 crore, driven by cement and financial services. Standalone revenue rose 4% to INR 6,442 crore, while EBITDA jumped 21% to INR 1,354 crore on higher VSF volumes (+24% YoY) and lower input costs. However, global price weakness in viscose and chloralkali persisted, and new businesses (paints, B2B e-commerce) incurred initial losses. Management guided for paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24 with three plants operational, and B2B platform Birla Pivot nearing INR 100 crore monthly run rate. Risks include sustained global demand softness in textiles and chemicals, and potential margin pressure from volatile input costs.

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Risk Intelligence

Sustained global textile demand weakness

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Quarter Snapshot

VSF Volume Growth 24%
+24% YoY

Viscose staple fiber sales volume grew 24% year-over-year in Q2 FY24.

Caustic Soda Volume Growth 3%
+3% YoY

Caustic soda sales volume increased 3% year-over-year in Q2 FY24.

Epoxy Volume Growth 25%
+25% YoY

Epoxy business recorded 25% volume growth year-over-year in Q2 FY24.

Birla Pivot Quarterly Revenue INR 100 crore
N/A

B2B e-commerce platform Birla Pivot crossed INR 100 crore revenue in Q2 FY24.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Epoxy capacity expansion commissioning in Q3 FY24

The expanded epoxy capacity is under commissioning and expected to be operational in Q3 FY24.

NEW
Renewables capacity of ~1 GW to be commissioned by Q1 FY25

Projects under implementation of about 1 GW are expected to be commissioned by next year's first quarter.

NEW
Debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed ~3.5x

Even with full paints CapEx next fiscal, debt-to-EBITDA is not expected to cross about 3.5x.

UPDATED
Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24

Three plants (Panipat, Ludhiana, Cheyyar) have received consent to operate and will be operational in Q4 FY24, with product launch in the same quarter.

DROPPED
CapEx of INR 5,791 crore in FY24

Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross.

DROPPED
Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25

Expansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25.

DROPPED
Epoxy specialty capacity doubling with 12-month ramp-up

New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.

NEW RISK
Volatile input costs

Caustic soda, sulfur, coal, and oil prices are volatile; recent stabilization and upticks could pressure margins.

NEW RISK
Paints business profitability impact

Initial costs from paints business are being charged to P&L, with losses expected to persist until commercial launch and scale-up.

RISK GONE
Caustic soda price erosion

International caustic prices fell 46% from Oct 2022 to June 2023, with further declines expected due to oversupply from China.

RISK GONE
Delay in chlor-alkali capacity expansion

Monsoon delays pushed commissioning from Q3 FY24 to Q1 FY25, which could impact volume growth.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24

Three plants (Panipat, Ludhiana, Cheyyar) have received consent to operate and will be operational in Q4 FY24, with product launch in the same quar...

Top risk Sustained global textile demand weakness

International brands continue to hold elevated inventories, suppressing demand for VSF and VFY; recovery timeline remains uncertain.

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