Grasim Management Guidance Tracker
43 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 11 quarters.
Expansion
At least 2-3 plants will be commissioned this year, with total capacity of 630 million liters.
Q1 FY24Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25TrackedExpansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25.
Q2 FY24Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24ActiveThree plants (Panipat, Ludhiana, Cheyyar) have received consent to operate and will be operational in Q4 FY24, with product launch in the same quarter.
Q2 FY24Epoxy capacity expansion commissioning in Q3 FY24ActiveThe expanded epoxy capacity is under commissioning and expected to be operational in Q3 FY24.
Q2 FY24Renewables capacity of ~1 GW to be commissioned by Q1 FY25TrackedProjects under implementation of about 1 GW are expected to be commissioned by next year's first quarter.
Q3 FY24Paints launch in Q4 FY24 with pan-India distribution by FY25 endActiveBirla Opus will launch in Q4 FY24 starting with North and South India, targeting national distribution by end of FY25.
Q1 FY25Paints: 50,000 active dealers by FY25 endTrackedTarget to have 50,000 active dealers by end of FY25, currently on track.
Q2 FY25UltraTech: 200 MTPA cement capacity by FY27TrackedUltraTech on track to achieve gray cement capacity of over 200 million tons per annum by FY27, including acquisitions.
Q3 FY25Cement capacity of 200 MTPA by FY27TrackedUltraTech remains on track to achieve domestic grey cement capacity of over 200 million tonnes per annum by FY27.
Q3 FY25Lyocell first phase 55 KTPA by mid-2027TrackedBoard approved 110 KTPA lyocell capacity at Harihar; first phase of 55 KTPA to be executed by mid-2027 at INR 1,350 crore investment.
Q4 FY25Kharagpur paint plant commercial launch in H1 FY26ActiveThe sixth paint plant at Kharagpur is scheduled to be commercially launched in H1 FY26, adding 236 MLPA capacity.
Q1 FY26Paint business: 6th plant commercial launch by Q2 FY26ActiveTrial production at Kharagpur plant has begun; commercial launch expected by end of Q2 FY26, raising total capacity to 1,332 million liters per annum.
Q1 FY26Chemicals: ECH and CPVC plants mechanical completion in Q3 FY26ActiveThe ECH and CPVC plants with Lubrizol will achieve mechanical completion in Q3 FY26.
Q1 FY26Lyocell project completion by late 2027TrackedThe Lyocell project in the Cellulosic Fiber business remains on track for completion by late 2027.
Capex
Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross.
Q3 FY24Capex guidance of INR 5,900 crore for FY24ActiveManagement reiterated plant capex guidance of about INR 5,900 crore for FY24, with 76% allocated to paints.
Q4 FY24Standalone CapEx of ~INR 4,500 crore in FY25TrackedMajority allocated to paints business; part of the INR 10,000 crore paints CapEx plan.
Growth
New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.
Q4 FY24Paints: High single-digit market share by FY25 exitTrackedBirla Opus aims to exit FY25 with high single-digit market share, supported by dealer onboarding and product quality.
Q1 FY25Paints: High single-digit market share by FY25 endTrackedManagement reiterated target of achieving high single-digit market share by end of FY25.
Q1 FY25Renewables: Double capacity to 2 GW by FY25 endTrackedRenewable energy capacity to double from 1 GW to 2 GW by end of FY25.
Q2 FY25Paints: exit FY25 with high single-digit market shareActiveBirla Opus is on track to achieve high single-digit market share in decorative paints by end of FY25, with three plants commissioned and two more starting trial runs.
Q4 FY25Birla Opus to achieve double-digit market share in FY26TrackedManagement aspires for Birla Opus standalone to reach double-digit revenue market share in FY26, up from high single digits currently.
Q2 FY26Paints: #2 revenue market share and profitability within 3 years of full-scale operationsTrackedManagement reaffirmed commitment to achieve number two revenue market share and profitability within three years of full-scale operations, with no change in strategy post CEO resignation.
Q2 FY26Chemicals: ECH and CPVC plants to contribute meaningfully from Q1 FY27TrackedMechanical completion expected by Q3 FY26, with meaningful contribution from first quarter of next financial year.
Q3 FY26Birla Pivot breakeven by FY27 exitTrackedBirla Pivot expects to exit FY27 at breakeven level.
Other
Even with full paints CapEx next fiscal, debt-to-EBITDA is not expected to cross about 3.5x.
Q3 FY24Net debt-to-EBITDA to reach 3-3.5x post paints capexTrackedManagement guided net debt-to-EBITDA of 3-3.5x after completing paints capex and rights issue proceeds.
Q2 FY25Net debt to EBITDA at 3.5xActiveManagement guided net debt to EBITDA of about 3.5x, with balance rights issue of ₹2,000 crore expected in Q4.
Q3 FY25Net debt-to-EBITDA not to exceed 3-3.5xActiveManagement reiterated a net debt-to-EBITDA ceiling of 3-3.5x, which will guide future capex decisions.
Q3 FY26Renewable energy share target of 40% in chemicals by FY27TrackedTargeting renewable energy share in chemicals to reach over 40% by end of FY27.
Revenue
Target to achieve INR 10,000 crore revenue in the third year of full operations, with profitability at that point.
Q4 FY24B2B E-commerce: $1 billion revenue in 3 yearsTrackedBirla Pivot aspires to reach $1 billion revenue in the next three years.
Q1 FY25B2B e-commerce: $1 billion revenue in three yearsTrackedBirla Pivot aims to reach $1 billion in revenue within three years.
Q2 FY25Birla Pivot: $1 billion revenue in three yearsTrackedB2B e-commerce platform targeting $1 billion revenue within three years from FY24, with current ramp-up ahead of expectations.
Q1 FY26B2B e-commerce: $1B revenue by FY27TrackedBirla Pivot's annualized revenue run rate is on track to achieve INR 8,500 crore ($1 billion) by FY27.
Q2 FY26Paints: double-digit QoQ growth in Q3 FY26ActiveManagement guided for continued double-digit sequential growth in Q3, citing strong September and October sales momentum.
Q2 FY26Birla Pivot: likely to achieve INR 8,500 crore revenue target sooner than FY27TrackedCEO indicated a likely chance of reaching the billion-dollar (INR 8,500 crore) milestone earlier than the stated FY27 target, though no formal revision yet.
Q3 FY26Birla Opus revenue target of INR 10,000 crore by FY28TrackedManagement reiterated achieving INR 10,000 crore revenue in the third full year of operations (FY28).
Margins
Birla Opus targets breakeven within three years after all plants are fully operational, with first year being the heaviest investment period.
Q4 FY25Birla Opus breakeven at INR 10,000 crore revenueTrackedThe paint business is expected to break even at an EBITDA level when it reaches INR 10,000 crore in revenue within three years of full-scale operations.
Q4 FY25Birla Pivot to break even at $1 billion (INR 8,500 crore) scaleTrackedThe B2B e-commerce platform expects to achieve EBITDA breakeven at an annual run rate of INR 8,500 crore.
Q3 FY26Birla Opus profitability target within three yearsTrackedTargeting to become a profitable number two player within three years of full-scale operation.